Beau Dodson's WeatherTalk Blog

September 13, 2018: Non-subscriber update. Warm and dry weather.

WeatherTalk monthly operating costs can top $2000.00.  Your $5 subscription helps pay for those costs.  I work for you.

The $5 will allow you to register up to seven phones!

For $5 a month you can receive the following.  You may choose to receive these via your WeatherTalk app or regular text messaging.

Severe weather app/text alerts from my keyboard to your app/cell phone.  These are hand typed messages from me to you.   During tornado outbreaks, you will receive numerous app/text messages telling you exactly where the tornado is located.

 

  • Daily forecast app/texts from my computer to your app/cell phone.
  • Social media links sent directly to your app/cell phone.  When I update the blog, videos, or Facebook you will receive the link.
  • AWARE emails.  These emails keep you well ahead of the storm. They give you several days of lead time before significant weather events.
  • Direct access to Beau via text and email.  Your very own personal meteorologist.  I work for you!
  • Missouri and Ohio Valley centered video updates
  • Long-range weather videos
  • Week one, two, three and four temperature and precipitation outlooks.
    Monthly outlooks.
  • Your subscription also will help support several local charities.

 

Would you like to subscribe?  Subscribe at www.beaudodsonweather.com

 

 

I encourage subscribers to use the app vs regular text messaging.  We have found text messaging to be delayed during severe weather.  The app typically will receive the messages instantly.  I recommend people have three to four methods of receiving their severe weather information.

 

Remember, my app and text alerts are hand typed and not computer generated.  You are being given my personal attention during significant weather events.

 

 

WWW.WEATHERTALK.COM subscribers, here is my day to day schedule for your weather products.

 

These are bonus videos and maps for subscribers.  I bring these to you from the BAMwx team. I pay them to help with videos.

The Ohio and Missouri Valley videos cover most of our area. They do not have a specific Tennessee Valley forecast but may add one in the future.

The long-range video is technical. Over time, you can learn a lot about meteorology from the long range video. Just keep in mind, it is a bit more technical.

 

This product is for subscribers.
 
Subscribe at www.weathertalk.com
Subscriber graphics can be viewed on this page  CLICK HERE

 

This product is for subscribers.
 
Subscribe at www.weathertalk.com
Subscriber graphics can be viewed on this page  CLICK HERE

 

This product is for subscribers.
 
Subscribe at www.weathertalk.com
Subscriber graphics can be viewed on this page  CLICK HERE

 

 

 

September 13, 2018
Thursday Forecast Details
Forecast:  Partly to mostly sunny.   Mild.
Temperatures:  MO ~ 84 to 86     IL ~ 82 to 86       KY ~ 82 to 86      TN ~ 82 to 86
What is the chance of precipitation?  MO ~ 0%     IL ~ 0%       KY ~ 0%      TN ~  0%
Coverage of precipitation:  None
Wind: Northeast at 4 to 6 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  None
My confidence in the forecast verifying: High
Is severe weather expected?  No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index: 6 to 8 High
Sunrise:  6:36 AM

 

Thursday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast:  Mostly clear.  Mild.  Patchy fog possible.
Temperatures:  MO ~ 62 to 64      IL ~ 62 to 64      KY ~ 62 to 64      TN ~ 64 to 66
What is the chance of precipitation?  MO ~ 0%     IL ~ 0%       KY ~ 0%      TN ~  0%
Coverage of precipitation:  None
Wind:  North and northeast at 4 to 8 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Most likely none.  Perhaps patchy fog reducing visibility.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: High
Is severe weather expected?  No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No
Sunset:  7:06 PM
Moonrise: 10:44 AM  Waxing Crescent
Moonset:  9:52 PM

 

September 14, 2018
Friday Forecast Details
Forecast:  Mostly sunny.  Warmer.
Temperatures:  MO ~ 86 to 88     IL ~ 86 to 88       KY ~ 86 to 88      TN ~ 86 to 88
What is the chance of precipitation?  MO ~ 0%     IL ~ 0%       KY ~ 0%      TN ~  0%
Coverage of precipitation:  None
Wind:  North and northeast at 5 to 10 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? None
My confidence in the forecast verifying: High
Is severe weather expected?  No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index:  8 High
Sunrise:  6:37 AM

 

Friday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast: Mostly clear.    Mild.  Patchy fog.
Temperatures:  MO ~ 64 to 68     IL ~ 64 to 68       KY ~ 64 to 68      TN ~ 64 to 68
What is the chance of precipitation?  MO ~ 0%     IL ~ 0%       KY ~ 0%      TN ~  0%
Coverage of precipitation:  None
Wind:  North and northeast at 4 to 8 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  Perhaps patchy fog reducing visibility.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: High
Is severe weather expected?  No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No
Sunset:  7:04 PM
Moonrise: 11:45 AM  Waxing Crescent
Moonset:  10:29 PM

 

September 15, 2018
Saturday Forecast Details
Forecast:  Mostly sunny.  Warm.
Temperatures:  MO ~ 86 to 88     IL ~ 86 to 88       KY ~ 86 to 88      TN ~ 86 to 88
What is the chance of precipitation?  MO ~ 0%     IL ~ 0%       KY ~ 0%      TN ~  0%
Coverage of precipitation: None
Wind: North at 4 to 8 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  None
My confidence in the forecast verifying: High
Is severe weather expected?  No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index:  8 High
Sunrise:  6:37 AM

 

Saturday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast:  Mostly clear.  Mild.
Temperatures:  MO ~ 65 to 70      IL ~ 65 to 70       KY ~ 65 to 70      TN ~ 65 to 70
What is the chance of precipitation?  MO ~ 0%     IL ~ 0%       KY ~ 0%      TN ~  0%
Coverage of precipitation:  None
Wind:  North and northeast at 4 to 8 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Perhaps patchy fog reducing visibility.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: High
Is severe weather expected?   No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No
Sunset:  7:03 PM
Moonrise: 12:45 PM  Waxing Crescent
Moonset:  11:08 PM

 

September 16, 2018
Sunday Forecast Details
Forecast:  Mostly sunny 86 to 88     IL ~ 86 to 88       KY ~ 86 to 88      TN ~ 86 to 88
What is the chance of precipitation?  MO ~ 0%     IL ~ 0%       KY ~ 0%      TN ~  0%
Coverage of precipitation:  None.
Wind:  North and northeast at 6 to 12 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? None
My confidence in the forecast verifying:  High
Is severe weather expected?  No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index: 8 High
Sunrise:  6:38 AM

 

Sunday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast:  Mostly clear to partly cloudy.  Mild.
Temperatures:  MO ~ 65 to 70      IL ~ 65 to 70       KY ~ 65 to 70      TN ~ 65 to 70
What is the chance of precipitation?  MO ~ 0%     IL ~ 0%       KY ~ 0%      TN ~  0%
Coverage of precipitation: None
Wind:  North at 5 to 10 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  Perhaps patchy fog reducing visibility.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium
Is severe weather expected?  No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No
Sunset:  7:01 PM
Moonrise: 1:41 PM  Waxing Crescent
Moonset:  11:51 PM

 

September 17, 2018
Monday Forecast Details
Forecast:  Partly cloudy.  Perhaps cloudy over the Pennyrile area of western Kentucky.
Temperatures:  MO ~ 86 to 88     IL ~ 86 to 88       KY ~ 86 to 88      TN ~ 86 to 88
What is the chance of precipitation?  MO ~ 0%     IL ~ 0%       KY ~ 10%      TN ~  10%
Coverage of precipitation:  Most likely none.  I am monitoring Florence and the eventual track of its center.
Wind:  North winds at 5 to 10 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? None
My confidence in the forecast verifying:  Medium
Is severe weather expected?  No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index: 7 High
Sunrise:  6:39 AM

 

Monday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast:  Partly cloudy.  Mild.  Patchy fog again possible.
Temperatures:  MO ~ 65 to 70      IL ~ 65 to 70       KY ~ 65 to 70      TN ~ 65 to 70
What is the chance of precipitation?  MO ~ 0%     IL ~ 0%       KY ~ 0%      TN ~  0%
Coverage of precipitation: None
Wind:  North at 5 to 10 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  Perhaps patchy fog reducing visibility.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium
Is severe weather expected?  No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No
Sunset:  7:00 PM
Moonrise: 2:35 PM  First Quarter
Moonset:  12:01 AM

 

September 18, 2018
Tuesday Forecast Details
Forecast:  Partly cloudy.  Mild.
Temperatures:  MO ~ 86 to 88     IL ~ 86 to 88       KY ~ 86 to 88      TN ~ 86 to 88
What is the chance of precipitation?  MO ~ 0%     IL ~ 0%       KY ~ 0%      TN ~  0%
Coverage of precipitation:  None.
Wind:  Northwest winds at 5 to 10 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? None
My confidence in the forecast verifying:  High
Is severe weather expected?  No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index: 7 High
Sunrise:  6:40AM

 

Tuesday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast:  Mostly clear.  Mild.  Patchy fog again possible.
Temperatures:  MO ~ 65 to 70      IL ~ 65 to 70       KY ~ 65 to 70      TN ~ 65 to 70
What is the chance of precipitation?  MO ~ 0%     IL ~ 0%       KY ~ 0%      TN ~  0%
Coverage of precipitation: None
Wind:  Light winds
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  Perhaps patchy fog reducing visibility.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium
Is severe weather expected?  No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No
Sunset:  6:58 PM
Moonrise: 3:23 PM  Waxing Gibbous
Moonset:  12:38 AM

 

September 19, 2018
Wednesday Forecast Details
Forecast:  Partly sunny and warm.
Temperatures:  MO ~ 86 to 88     IL ~ 86 to 88       KY ~ 86 to 88      TN ~ 86 to 88
What is the chance of precipitation?  MO ~ 0%     IL ~ 0%       KY ~ 0%      TN ~  0%
Coverage of precipitation:  None.
Wind:  Southeast and south winds at 5 to 10 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? None
My confidence in the forecast verifying:  Medium
Is severe weather expected?  No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index: 7 High
Sunrise:  6:41 AM

 

Wednesday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast:  Mostly clear.  Mild.  Patchy fog again possible.
Temperatures:  MO ~ 65 to 70      IL ~ 65 to 70       KY ~ 65 to 70      TN ~ 65 to 70
What is the chance of precipitation?  MO ~ 0%     IL ~ 0%       KY ~ 0%      TN ~  0%
Coverage of precipitation: None
Wind:  Northwest at 5 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Perhaps patchy fog reducing visibility.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium
Is severe weather expected?  No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No
Sunset:  6:57 PM
Moonrise: 4:08 PM  Waxing Gibbous
Moonset:  1:27 AM

 

September 20, 2018
Thursday Forecast Details
Forecast:  Partly sunny and warm.  A slight chance of a shower or thunderstorm.
Temperatures:  MO ~ 84 to 88     IL ~ 84 to 88       KY ~ 84 to 88      TN ~ 84 to 88
What is the chance of precipitation?  MO ~ 20%     IL ~ 10%       KY ~ 10%      TN ~  20%
Coverage of precipitation: Isolated
Wind:  Southeast and south winds at 5 to 10 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? None to isolated wet roadways
My confidence in the forecast verifying:  Medium
Is severe weather expected?  No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index: 7 High
Sunrise:  6:42 AM

 

Thursday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast:  Some increase in clouds.
Temperatures:  MO ~ 65 to 70      IL ~ 65 to 70       KY ~ 65 to 70      TN ~ 65 to 70
What is the chance of precipitation?  MO ~ 0%     IL ~ 0%       KY ~ 0%      TN ~  0%
Coverage of precipitation: Most likely none
Wind:  Variable at 3 to 6 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  Most likely none
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium
Is severe weather expected?  No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No
Sunset:  6:55 PM
Moonrise: 4:48 PM  Waxing Gibbous
Moonset:  2:20 AM

 

September 21, 2018
Friday Forecast Details
Forecast:  Some clouds. A  chance of showers.
Temperatures:  MO ~ 78 to 84     IL ~ 78 to 84       KY ~ 78 to 84      TN ~ 78 to 84
What is the chance of precipitation?  MO ~ 20%     IL ~ 20%       KY ~ 20%      TN ~  20%
Coverage of precipitation:  Scattered
Wind:  South winds at 5 to 10 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways
My confidence in the forecast verifying LOW
Is severe weather expected?  No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Monitor updates
UV Index: 5 to 6 Medium
Sunrise:  6:42 AM

 

Friday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast:  Mostly cloudy.  Showers possible.
Temperatures:  MO ~ 56 to 62      IL ~ 56 to 62        KY ~ 56 to 62      TN ~ 56 to 62
What is the chance of precipitation?  MO ~ 30%     IL ~ 30%       KY ~ 30%      TN ~  30%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
Wind:
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  Wet roadways.
My confidence in the forecast verifyingLOW
Is severe weather expected?  No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  Monitor updates
Sunset:  6:54 PM
Moonrise: 5:25 PM  Waxing Gibbous
Moonset:  3:14 AM

 

 

September 22, 2018
Saturday Forecast Details
Forecast:  Some clouds. A  chance of showers.
Temperatures:  MO ~ 78 to 84     IL ~ 78 to 84       KY ~ 78 to 84      TN ~ 78 to 84
What is the chance of precipitation?  MO ~ 30%     IL ~ 30%       KY ~ 30%      TN ~  30%
Coverage of precipitation:  Scattered
Wind:  South winds at 5 to 10 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways
My confidence in the forecast verifying LOW
Is severe weather expected?  No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Monitor updates
UV Index: 4 to 5  Low to medium
Sunrise:  6:42 AM

 

Friday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast:  Mostly cloudy.  Showers possible.
Temperatures:  MO ~ 56 to 62      IL ~ 56 to 62        KY ~ 56 to 62      TN ~ 56 to 62
What is the chance of precipitation?  MO ~ 20%     IL ~ 20%       KY ~ 20%      TN ~  20%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
Wind:
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  Wet roadways.
My confidence in the forecast verifyingLOW
Is severe weather expected?  No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  Monitor updates
Sunset:  6:54 PM
Moonrise: 5:25 PM  Waxing Gibbous
Moonset:  3:14 AM

 

Learn more about the UV index readings. Click here.

 

 

 

 

Here is the latest WPC/NOAA rainfall outlook.

This graphic takes us through next Thursday morning

You can see where Florence will cause major problems.  Inland flooding and coastal flooding.

 

 

Zoomed view

 

 

 

We offer interactive local city live radars and regional radars.

If a radar does not update then try another one.  If a radar does not appear to be refreshing then hit Ctrl F5 on your keyboard.

You may also try restarting your browser.  The local city view radars also have clickable warnings.

During the winter months, you can track snow and ice by clicking the winterize button on the local city view interactive radars.

 

Questions? Broken links? Other questions?

You may email me at beaudodson@usawx.com

 

The National Weather Service defines a severe thunderstorm as one that produces quarter size hail or larger, 58 mph winds or greater, and/or a tornado.

 

Today through next Tuesday:  Severe weather is not anticipated.

 

 

 

 

Interactive live weather radar page. Choose the city nearest your location. If one of the cities does not work then try a nearby one. Click here.

National map of weather watches and warnings. Click here.

Storm Prediction Center. Click here.

Weather Prediction Center. Click here.

 

Live lightning data: Click here.

 

Interactive GOES R satellite. Track clouds. Click here.

 

Here are the latest local river stage forecast numbers Click Here.

Here are the latest lake stage forecast numbers for Kentucky Lake and Lake Barkley Click Here.

 

  1. Warming trend
  2. Rain-free weather through at least Tuesday
  3. Hurricane Florence

Wow, the weather sure has been calm this week.  We had plenty of rain last week into the weekend.  This week has simply been wonderful.  Locally, at least.

Warm weather will continue into the middle of next week.  Daily highs in the middle to upper 80’s.  Overnight lows in the upper 60’s to lower 70’s.

We will have a daily chance of fog as we move into the overnight hours and early morning hours.  Patchy dense fog is possible.  As always, use care.

Great camping weather this coming weekend.  I hope you can get out and enjoy it.

Dry weather is likely to continue through at least Tuesday and perhaps Wednesday.

At this time, it appears Florence should miss our region.  I am carefully monitoring trends.  A few models bring rain into our region.

 

 

Please visit the National Hurricane Center’s website for the latest information on Florence.

The National Hurricane Center will be issuing forecasts on this system.

Here is their link  CLICK HERE

 

Spotter classes

 

 

Here is the preliminary fall outlook from the long range meteorology team.

Click to enlarge this graphic.

This product is for subscribers.
Subscribe at www.weathertalk.com

.

.
The September forecast has been updated. 
This product is for subscribers.
Subscribe at www.weathertalk.com
Subscriber graphics can be viewed on this page  CLICK HERE

 

 

 

I bring these to you from the BAMwx team. They are excellent long-range forecasters.

Remember, long-range outlooks are a bit of skill, understanding weather patterns, and luck combined. It is not an exact science.

 

 

This product is for subscribers.

 

Subscribe at www.weathertalk.com

 

Subscriber graphics can be viewed on this page  CLICK HERE


This product is for subscribers.

 

Subscribe at www.weathertalk.com

 

Subscriber graphics can be viewed on this page  CLICK HERE

This product is for subscribers.

 

Subscribe at www.weathertalk.com

 

 Subscriber graphics can be viewed on this page  CLICK HERE

.

First glance at fall!

 

These products are for subscribers.
 
Subscribe at www.weathertalk.com

 

Subscriber graphics can be viewed on this page  CLICK HERE

 

Preliminary October temperature outlook

Preliminary October precipitation outlook

Here is the preliminary November temperature and precipitation outlook

Preliminary November  temperature outlook

Preliminary November precipitation outlook

.

 

This product is for subscribers.
 
Subscribe at www.weathertalk.com

 

 

 

 


 

 

A new weather podcast is now available! Weather Geeks (which you might remember is on The Weather Channel each Sunday)

To learn more visit their website. Click here.

 

 

WeatherBrains Episode 660

Joining us once again for this episode of WeatherBrains is Dr. Marshall Shepherd from the University of Georgia. He needs almost no introduction to our audience as a former President of the AMS and the host of The Weather Channel’s WxGeeks show. Dr. Marshall Shepherd, welcome back to WeatherBrains! Dr. Shepherd was a guest panelist on episode 572 and guest WeatherBrain on episode 628.

Other discussions in this weekly podcast include topics like:

  • Extremes: 111 at Death Valley, CA. & Ocotillo Wells, CA, and 21 at Stanley, ID
  • Three hurricanes in the Atlantic
  • Florence threatening landfall in the Carolinas as major hurricane
  • Isaac to move into Caribbean
  • Helene to stay at sea
  • Another storm to affect Hawaii (Olivia)
  • Astronomy Outlook with Tony Rice
  • and more!

 

Link to web-site  https://weatherbrains.com/

Previous episodes can be viewed by clicking here.

 

We offer interactive local city live radars and regional radars. If a radar does not update then try another one. If a radar does not appear to be refreshing then hit Ctrl F5. You may also try restarting your browser.

The local city view radars also have clickable warnings.

During the winter months, you can track snow and ice by clicking the winterize button on the local city view interactive radars.

You may email me at beaudodson@usawx.com

 

Find me on Facebook!

Find me on Twitter!

2016-11-19_11-50-24

 

Did you know that a portion of your monthly subscription helps support local charity projects?

You can learn more about those projects by visiting the Shadow Angel Foundation website and the Beau Dodson News website.

 

 

I encourage subscribers to use the app vs regular text messaging. We have found text messaging to be delayed during severe weather. The app typically will receive the messages instantly. I recommend people have three to four methods of receiving their severe weather information.

Remember, my app and text alerts are hand typed and not computer generated. You are being given personal attention during significant weather events.

 

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *