Beau Dodson's WeatherTalk Blog

March 20, 2018: Colder. Non-subscribers post.

WeatherTalk monthly operating costs can top $2000.00.  Your $3 subscription helps pay for those costs.  I work for you.

For $3 a month you can receive the following.  You may choose to receive these via your WeatherTalk app or regular text messaging.

  1.  Severe weather app/text alerts from my keyboard to your app/cell phone.  These are hand typed by Beau.   During tornado outbreaks, you will receive numerous app/text messages telling you exactly where the tornado is located.
  2.  Daily forecast app/texts from my computer to your app/cell phone.
  3.  Social media links sent directly to your app/cell phone.  When I update the blog, videos, or Facebook you will receive the link.
  4.  AWARE emails.  These emails keep you well ahead of the storm. They give you several days of lead time before significant weather events.
  5.  Direct access to Beau via text and email.  Your very own personal meteorologist.  I work for you!
  6.  Missouri and Ohio Valley centered video updates
  7.  Long-range weather videos
  8.  Week one, two, three and four temperature and precipitation outlooks.
  9.  Monthly outlooks.
  10.  Your subscription also will help support several local charities.

Haven’t you subscribed?  Subscribe at www.beaudodsonweather.com

Example of a recent severe weather alert.  I issued this well before the official tornado warning.  You would have had plenty of time for you and your family to seek shelter.

Your $3 per month also helps support these local charity projects.

I encourage subscribers to use the app vs regular text messaging.  We have found text messaging to be delayed during severe weather.  The app typically will receive the messages instantly.  I recommend people have three to four methods of receiving their severe weather information.

Remember, my app and text alerts are hand typed and not computer generated.  You are being given personal attention during significant weather events.

 

WWW.WEATHERTALK.COM subscribers, here is my day to day schedule for your weather products.

 

Video update

 

 

March 20, 2018
Tuesday F
orecast Details
Forecast
:  Quite a few clouds.  Colder.  Breezy.  Patchy light rain and drizzle developing.  Rain may mix with or change to wet snow.  Air, road, and surface temperatures will be above freezing.  It will be difficult for snow to accumulate.  If there were to be accumulation it would most likely be on grassy and elevated surfaces.
Temperatures:  MO ~  38 to 46        IL ~ 38 to 44        KY ~  38 to 44      TN ~  44 to 48
What is the chance of precipitation?  MO ~ 60%      IL ~ 60%       KY ~ 60%          TN ~ 60%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered to perhaps widespread.
Winds:  North at 10 to 20 mph with higher gusts likely.
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.  I will monitor the snow chances.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Sunrise 6:57 AM

UPDATED

Tuesday  Night Forecast Details:
Forecast: Winter weather alert for southeast Illinois and portions of western Kentucky. Cloudy with rain and snow likely.  Moderate snow possible southeast IL into northwest KY and portions of western Kentucky.  Snow totals of one to three inches likely for southeast Illinois into northwest Kentucky and the Pennyrile area of western Kentucky.
Temperatures:  MO ~ 28 to 34        IL ~ 28 to 34         KY ~  28 to 34      TN ~  30 to 35
What is the chance of precipitation?  MO ~ 40%      IL ~ 70%       KY ~ 70%          TN ~  50%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered to widespread
Winds:  North and northwest at 6 to 12 mph with gusts to 18 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Frost or freeze possible.  Wet roadways possible.  Icy roads where the heavier snow bands occur.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium
Is severe weather expected?  No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Have a plan B.
Sunset  7:06 PM

 

March 21, 2018
Wednesday F
orecast Details
Forecast
:  A mix of sun and clouds.  Cool.  Any remaining morning rain or snow showers should have come to an end.
Temperatures:  MO ~  50 to 55          IL ~ 46 to 52        KY ~  48 to 54      TN ~  50 to 54
What is the chance of precipitation?  MO ~ 0%      IL ~  0%       KY ~ 20%          TN ~  10%
Coverage of precipitation: Perhaps scattered early in the morning over our eastern counties.
Winds:  Northwest 6 to 12 mph with gusts to 20 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Most likely none.  There could be some morning slick spots from the overnight rain/snow.
My confidence in the forecast verifying:  Medium
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Sunrise 6:56 AM

 

Wednesday  Night Forecast Details:
Forecast: Mostly clear.  Cold.  Frost and/or freeze possible.
Temperatures:  MO ~  28 to 34        IL ~ 28 to 34         KY ~  30 to 34       TN ~  32 to 36
What is the chance of precipitation?  MO ~ 0%      IL ~  0%       KY ~  0%          TN ~  0%
Coverage of precipitation: None
Winds:  North and northeast at 4 to 8 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Frost or freeze possible
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium
Is severe weather expected?  No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Sunset  7:07 PM

 

March 22, 2018
Thursday F
orecast Details
Forecast
:  Partly sunny.  Cool.  A 20% of a shower.
Temperatures:  MO ~  54 to 60          IL ~ 54 to 56        KY ~  54 to 58      TN ~  54 to 58
What is the chance of precipitation?  MO ~ 20%      IL ~  20%       KY ~ 20%          TN ~  10%
Coverage of precipitation: None to isolated.
Winds:  East and northeast at 5 to 10 mph.  Winds becoming variable in direction.
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Isolated wet roadways.
My confidence in the forecast verifying:  Medium
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Sunrise 6:54 AM

 

Thursday  Night Forecast Details:
Forecast: Increasing clouds.  I will monitor precipitation chances late at night.  A chance of a few light showers.
Temperatures:  MO ~  36 to 42        IL ~ 36 to 42         KY ~  36 to 42      TN ~ 38 to 42
What is the chance of precipitation?  MO ~ 30%      IL ~  30%       KY ~  30%          TN ~  20%
Coverage of precipitation:  Isolated
Winds:  Variable at 4 to 8 mph becoming southeast at 6 to 12 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  Wet roadways.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium
Is severe weather expected?  No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Sunset  7:08 PM

 

March 23, 2018
Friday F
orecast Details
Forecast
:  Mostly cloudy.  Scattered showers and possibly a thunderstorm.
Temperatures:  MO ~  55 to 60        IL ~ 53 to 58        KY ~  55 to 60     TN ~  55 to 60
What is the chance of precipitation?  MO ~ 40%      IL ~  40%       KY ~ 40%          TN ~  40%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
Winds:  South and southeast at 7 to 14 mph and gusty
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.  Lightning.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium
Is severe weather expected? Unlikely
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but I would monitor updates.
Sunrise 6:53 AM

 

Friday  Night Forecast Details:
Forecast: Cloudy.  A chance of showers.
Temperatures:  MO ~  45 to 50        IL ~ 44 to 48         KY ~  44 to 48      TN ~ 45 to 50
What is the chance of precipitation?  MO ~ 60%      IL ~  60%       KY ~  60%          TN ~  60%
Coverage of precipitation:  Scattered to perhaps becoming numerous
Winds:  South and southeast at 7 to 14 mph with gusts to 18 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  Wet roadways.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium
Is severe weather expected?  Monitor updates
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Monitor updates
Sunset  7:08 PM

 

March 24, 2018
Saturday F
orecast Details
Forecast
:  Cloudy.  Showers and thunderstorms likely.  Some moderate rain possible.
Temperatures:  MO ~  63 to 67  (warmest near Poplar Bluff)      IL ~ 54 to 60 (cooler towards Mt Vernon vs Metropolis)        KY ~  60 to 64      TN ~  63 to 66
What is the chance of precipitation?  MO ~ 70%      IL ~  70%       KY ~ 70%          TN ~  70%
Coverage of precipitation: Becoming widespread.
Winds:  South and southwest at 10 to 20 mph.  Becoming west at 10 to 20 mph and gusty.
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.  Lightning.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium
Is severe weather expected? Monitor updates
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Have a plan B.
Sunrise 6:51 AM

 

Saturday  Night Forecast Details:
Forecast: Cloudy.  Rain ending.  Turning cooler.
Temperatures:  MO ~  42 to 48        IL ~ 38 to 44         KY ~  40 to 46         TN ~ 44 to 48
What is the chance of precipitation?  MO ~ 60%      IL ~  60%       KY ~  60%          TN ~  60%
Coverage of precipitation: Numerous early and then becoming scattered
Winds: Southwest at 10 to 20 mph.  Winds becoming variable.
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.  Perhaps lightning.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium
Is severe weather expected? Unlikely
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Monitor updates
Sunset  7:09 PM

 

March 25, 2018
Sunday F
orecast Details
Forecast
:  A mix of sun and clouds.  A slight chance of a shower.
Temperatures:  MO ~  55 to 60      IL ~ 54 to 58        KY ~  55 to 60      TN ~  55 to 60
What is the chance of precipitation?  MO ~ 20%      IL ~  20%       KY ~30%          TN ~  20%
Coverage of precipitation: Isolated to widely scattered.
Winds:  East and northeast at 5 to 10 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Most likely none
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium
Is severe weather expected?  No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Sunrise 6:50 AM

 

Sunday  Night Forecast Details:
Forecast: Becoming cloudy. A  chance of showers.
Temperatures:  MO ~  42 to 48        IL ~ 38 to 44         KY ~  40 to 46         TN ~ 44 to 48
What is the chance of precipitation?  MO ~ 30%      IL ~  30%       KY ~  30%          TN ~  30%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
Winds: East at 5 to 10 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Monitor updates
Sunset  7:10 PM

 

 

Questions?  Broken links?  Other?

You may email me at beaudodson@usawx.com

The National Weather Service defines a severe thunderstorm as one that produces quarter size hail or larger, 58 mph winds or greater, and/or a  tornado.

Tuesday through Friday: Severe weather is not anticipated.   I will monitor thunderstorm chances late Thursday night into Saturday.

 

 

 

Interactive live weather radar page.  Choose the city nearest your location. If one of the cities does not work then try a nearby one.  Click here.

National map of weather watches and warnings. Click here.

Storm Prediction Center.  Click here.

Weather Prediction Center.  Click here.

 

Live lightning data: Click here.

 

Interactive GOES R satellite.  Track clouds.  Click here.

 

Here are the latest local river stage forecast numbers Click Here.

Here are the latest lake stage forecast numbers for Kentucky Lake and Lake Barkley Click Here.

 

The spring and preliminary summer outlooks have been posted for subscribers.  Scroll down to see the outlook.

Not a subscriber?  Learn more at this link.

 

 

WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS

  1.  Colder today with rain/snow showers.
  2.  Frost/freeze possible tonight and Wednesday night.
  3.  Rain chances by the weekend.
  4.  In case you missed it!  Here is the Facebook thread with some exciting new announcements concerning Weather Talk.  Click here to read that.

 

Highlights

What has changed over the last 24 hours?

Weather Hazards.

Certainties and uncertainties

 

Welcome to spring!  Someone, please tell the weather it is spring.

Speaking of spring, we had some severe thunderstorms in the region Monday.  There were numerous reports of hail across northwest Tennessee into western Kentucky.  Several locations received hail the size of nickels.  There were numerous reports of pea to dime size hail.

The more intense weather occurred in Tennesse, Mississippi, and Alabama.  Several tornadoes struck those states.

Large hail was reported across Alabama.  There were some impressive hail images from that state.  I saw one hail photograph that appeared to be the size of softballs.  Numerous cars were damaged.

This photo was from Twitter.  Dennis, Mississippi.  Crazy hail!

 

 

All in all the weather was about as anticipated.  It was a low-end risk from the Bootheel into parts of western Kentucky and Tennessee.

Much colder air has filtered into the region today.  This cold air will linger into Thursday.

Frost or frost/freeze conditions are possible tonight and again Wednesday night.

We will have an upper-level disturbance in the area today and tonight, as well.  That means clouds and precipitation.

This disturbance will likely produce rain and rain/snow showers.  The rain may change to all snow as colder air arrives.

I can’t rule out slushy accumulation on grassy services and elevated surfaces.  There will be little or no impact on roadways.

Heavier snow may occur just a bit to our east.  Spring?

Here is the Hrrr guidance future-cast radar.  Green is rain.  Blue is snow.  This takes us into this afternoon and evening.

The time-stamp is in the upper left portion of the image.

 

 

Another storm system will move into our region late Thursday night and Friday.  This will bring another round of showers and thunderstorms.

There is some debate about when the rain and storms will arrive.

Some of the guidance holds the bulk of the rain off until late Friday night and Saturday.

The timing of the rain will need to be monitored.

I know some of you have outdoor plans this coming weekend.  I would suggest you monitor updates.

 

 

 

Weather Brains is a weekly podcast/video for those who love weather and want more!

Weather Brains episode number 633

Previous episodes can be viewed by clicking here.

t’s a full house for this episode of WeatherBrains with representatives from a number of weather-related podcasts. Joining us are Becky DePodwin, Ice Station Housman, Scotty Powell from Carolina Weather Gang, Castle Williams,

WeatherHype

, Mark Jelinek, What is it About the Weather, and Phil Johnson of Storm Front Freaks Podcast. This show marks National Weather Podcast Month.

Other discussions in this weekly podcast include topics like:

  • Extremes: 98 at Rio Grande Village, TX, and -7 at Cut Bank, MT
  • The creative outlet that is podcasts and how they have changed over time
  • The importance of providing good content in podcasting
  • 25th Anniversary of Blizzard of 1993
  • Astronomy Outlook with Tony Rice
  • and more

.

 

ANNOUNCEMENT!

 

I am working on a few new items for us.

As always, I am grateful for all of you and the support you bring to my passion.

There was never a plan.

All of this started with a severe weather email list of ten or twenty people after the killer 2003 tornadoes. That grew to what you see today.

From that tornado, the Shadow Angel Foundation was born. We delivered hundreds of teddy bears to Pulaski, Massac, and Pope Counties. The “storm” bears went to Head Start, Kindergarten, and first graders. Included with the bears was a package of information for parents on how to talk to their child about tornadoes and severe weather.

We then worked with the Metropolis Planet on producing the Terror in the Night tornado book. The book was filled with personal accounts of that horrible night. Many people said the book helped bring closure.

Since then we have delivered thousands of teddy bears to Child Watch and Pasac. The counselors use the teddy bears to help the children feel safe.

Soon after that, the late Kent King (radio DJ and emergency manager) asked me to cover weather for McCracken County OEM/DES. I was COM 10 on the scanner feeds.

Ed Duff, with McCracken County Rescue, now utilizes my services during severe weather events along with two other local counties. They receive one on one attention during events.

That led me to Sue Henry with the American Red Cross where I was able to help during Hurricane Katrina and Rita. An experience that changed my life.

Around that time social media exploded onto the scene. My personal Facebook page quickly filled up with 5000 people. The limit Facebook allows for personal pages.

Facebook then started pages. I was able to make a page just for weather.

It was soon after that that I bought a portion of my family farm back. We built my house and the Weather Observatory.

Jason Darnall helped put together an amazing weather center. Many hours of work.

Then the Paducah Sun then asked me to do weather for them.

That led to the amazing team at Innovations Branding House. They produced my Weather Observatory website.

About four years ago there was a falling out with some local meteorologists. It bothered me so much that I almost quit weather.

The Paducah Sun even ran a story that I was taking a break from weather. I was taking a year off.

Several other local meteorologists then came to me and told me to brush it off. They encouraged me to start a weather business. They explained what I could bring to the local weather table.

Soon after that, as fate would have it, Preston Ursini and the Fire Horn team asked me to think about producing text messages during severe weather. That led to Weather Talk. That then led to the Weather Talk app.

Had it not been for that low point, I don’t think Weather Talk would have ever come to be. Life is funny like that. Something bad turned into something good.

I often times tell people that I have the best Facebook friends, enthusiasts, and followers. It is rare that someone complains on the weather page.

Some of you have basically become like family to me. When severe weather strikes it becomes personal to both you and me.

Here is what we are going to bring you.

1. We are coming out with a major app update for subscribers. We plan on having radar in the app, as well as your usual app/text messages to the daily blog, video, and Facebook updates.

2. We are completely revamping the WeatherTalk website. Preston Ursini, from The Fire Horn, is working alongside Innovations Branding House to complete this task. The Fire Horn is who I partner with to make all of this work.

3. I am going to try and stick to a daily schedule. That way everyone knows when to expect an update. See the comment section.

4. Many of you have asked me to do Facebook Live video updates during winter storms and severe weather outbreaks. I have spent the last week learning how to use OBS studio software. This software will allow me to deliver you Facebook Live events. You will get your wish.

5. We are moving towards a flat subscription fee of $5 a month. Everyone that is paying $3 a month will be grandfathered in. If you want to voluntarily upgrade to the $5 plan then that would be great. We will roll this out when the new website is finished.

Right now we have a $3, $5, and $10 plan. The only difference is how many cell phone numbers you can add.

With the $5 a month plan we will let everyone have up to seven phone numbers. That should cover your family members. Sound good?

6. I have streamlined the digital media blog. That would be the talk.weathertalk.com site. You will find that is has been organized.

Remember, I work for you. I don’t work for television or radio. I am your employee.

You have a personal meteorologist. And, as everyone knows, I put my heart and soul into this.

Subscribers will receive the following:

You may subscribe at www.beaudodsonweather.com

1. The app/text updates during tornado outbreaks and all other weather events.
2. Rapid-fire tornado app/text messages. I send out numerous updates as I track the tornado. Some of you can testify to these rapid-fire tornado messages.
3. Daily weather forecast sent to your app/text.
4. Link sent to the app/text to the daily blog and Facebook updates on non-severe weather days. Instead of waiting around for me to post a new Facebook thread you can receive it in your app/text.
5. Link sent to the app/text to the daily blog and Facebook updates on severe weather or winter storm days.
6. We are updating the weather map page on the website. That page will have thousands of daily weather maps for you to access.
7. I answer every email you send. I try to answer every private message you send to me.
8. We run three hour live feeds during severe weather where we attempt to answer as many questions as possible. Same for winter storms.
9. You receive access to special short and long-range video updates from the Bamwx team (who help me with daily videos).
10. You receive access to special short, long-range, and seasonal temperature and precipitation outlooks.
11. Your subscription fee helps six local charities (see comment section for more information).

Normal monthly out of pocket operating costs (see comment section) are around $2000.00.

The service I provide is unique. I don’t believe there is anything else like it in the country. Not for this price and not for the volume of information you receive.

We hope to have the new app and website finished soon. Watch for announcements.

 

 

New schedule

 

Example of some of my rapid-fire tornado app/text messages.

Make sure you have app/text notification ONE turned on.  This one is called WeatherOne.  You can make sure that is on by signing into your www.weathertalk.com account and clicking the personal notification settings tab.  Make sure WeatherOne is on (green).  Green is on.  Red is off.

 

 


We offer interactive local city live radars and regional radars.   If a radar does not update then try another one.  If a radar does not appear to be refreshing then hit Ctrl F5.  You may also try restarting your browser.

The local city view radars also have clickable warnings.

During the winter months, you can track snow and ice by clicking the winterize button on the local city view interactive radars.

You may email me at beaudodson@usawx.com

 

Find me on Facebook!

Find me on Twitter!

2016-11-19_11-50-24

 

Did you know that a portion of your monthly subscription helps support local charity projects?

You can learn more about those projects by visiting the Shadow Angel Foundation website and the Beau Dodson News website.

I encourage subscribers to use the app vs regular text messaging.  We have found text messaging to be delayed during severe weather.  The app typically will receive the messages instantly.  I recommend people have three to four methods of receiving their severe weather information.

Remember, my app and text alerts are hand typed and not computer generated.  You are being given personal attention during significant weather events.

 

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