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We offer interactive local city live radars and regional radars. If a radar does not update then try another one. If a radar does not appear to be refreshing then hit Ctrl F5. You may also try restarting your browser.
Interactive Radars:
Interactive live weather radar page. Choose the city nearest your location. If one of the city radars won’t load then try a nearby one. Click here.
June 14, 2018
Thursday Forecast Details
Forecast: Partly cloudy. Northeast counties might be a bit cooler and less humid. Only an isolated thunderstorm risk.
Temperatures: MO ~ 86 to 94 IL ~ 84 (cooler towards Mt Vernon) to 88 KY ~ 84 to 88 TN ~ 88 to 94
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 10% IL ~ 10% KY ~ 10% TN ~ 10%
Coverage of precipitation: Most likely none. A slight chance of an isolated storm.
Winds: East and southeast at 5 to 10 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? None to isolated wet roadways. Lightning. Where summer storms occur you can have locally heavy downpours, small hail, and strong winds.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index: 9 to 10 Very high
Sunrise: 5:34 AM
Thursday Night Forecast Details:
UPDATED
Forecast: Partly cloudy. Thunderstorms possible over southeast Missouri and southwest Illinois. Lesser chances elsewhere.
Temperatures: MO ~ 66 to 70 IL ~ 66 to 70 KY ~ 66 to 70 TN ~ 66 to 70
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 30% IL ~ 30% KY ~ 10% TN ~ 10%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
Winds: South and southwest 5 to 10 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Heavy rain, lightning, high winds, and nickel size hail where storms occur.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium
Is severe weather expected? Some storms could produce high winds and hail. Heavy rain
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but check radars
Sunset: 8:16 PM
Moonrise: 6:30 AM New
Moonset: 9:18 PM
June 15, 2018
Friday Forecast Details
Forecast: Partly to mostly sunny. Hot and muggy. Heat index 96 to 106. Thunderstorm chances will only be 10%.
Temperatures: MO ~ 90 to 95 IL ~ 90 to 95 KY ~ 90 to 95 TN ~ 90 to 95
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 10% IL ~ 10% KY ~ 10% TN ~ 10%
Coverage of precipitation: Isolated if any.
Winds: Southeast at 4 to 8 mph with gusts to 12 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Most likely none
My confidence in the forecast verifying: High
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index: 9 to 11 Very high
Sunrise: 5:34 AM
Friday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast: Mostly clear. A few clouds. Warm and humid. Thunderstorm chances will only be 10%.
Temperatures: MO ~ 70 to 74 IL ~ 70 to 74 KY ~ 70 to 74 TN ~ 70 to 74
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ MO ~ 10% IL ~ 10% KY ~ 10% TN ~ 10%
Coverage of precipitation: Isolated if any.
Winds: South and southeast 5 to 10 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Most likely none
My confidence in the forecast verifying: High
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Sunset: 8:17 PM
Moonrise: 7:32 AM Waxing Crescent
Moonset: 10:18 PM
June 16, 2018
Saturday Forecast Details
Forecast: Mostly sunny. Hot and muggy. Some cumulus clouds. Heat index 96 to 106. Thunderstorm chances will only be 10%.
Temperatures: MO ~ 92 to 96 IL ~ 90 to 95 KY ~ 90 to 95 TN ~ 92 to 96
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 10% IL ~ 10% KY ~ 10% TN ~ 10%
Coverage of precipitation: Isolated if any.
Winds: Southwest at 4 to 8 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Most likely none.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: High
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index: 9 to 11 Very high
Sunrise: 5:34 AM
Saturday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast: Mostly clear. A few clouds. Muggy. Warm. Thunderstorm chances will only be 10%.
Temperatures: MO ~ 72 to 75 IL ~ 72 to 74 KY ~ 72 to 75 TN ~ 72 to 75
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 10% IL ~ 10% KY ~ 10% TN ~ 10%
Coverage of precipitation: Isolated if any.
Winds: South and southwest 5 to 10 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Most likely none.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: High
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Sunset: 8:17 PM
Moonrise: 8:42 AM Waxing Crescent
Moonset: 11:09 PM
June 17, 2018
Sunday Forecast Details
Forecast: Mostly sunny. Some cumulus clouds. Hot and muggy. Heat index 96 to 106. Thunderstorm chances will only be 10%.
Temperatures: MO ~ 92 to 96 IL ~ 92 to 95 KY ~ 92 to 95 TN ~ 92 to 96
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 10% IL ~ 10% KY ~ 10% TN ~ 10%
Coverage of precipitation: Isolated if any.
Winds: Southwest at 4 to 8 mph with gusts to 14 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Most likely none.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index: 9 to 11 Very high
Sunrise: 5:34 AM
Sunday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast: Mostly clear. A few clouds. Muggy. Warm. Thunderstorm chances will only be 10%.
Temperatures: MO ~ 72 to 75 IL ~ 72 to 74 KY ~ 72 to 75 TN ~ 72 to 75
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 10% IL ~ 10% KY ~ 10% TN ~ 10%
Coverage of precipitation: Isolated if any.
Winds: South and southwest 5 to 10 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Most likely none
My confidence in the forecast verifying: High
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Sunset: 8:17 PM
Moonrise: 9:49 AM Waxing Crescent
Moonset: 11:54 PM
June 18, 2018
Monday Forecast Details
Forecast: Partly cloudy. A few thunderstorms possible. Hot and muggy.
Temperatures: MO ~ 88 to 94 IL ~ 88 to 94 KY ~ 88 to 94 TN ~ 88 to 94
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 30% IL ~ 20% KY ~ 20% TN ~ 20%
Coverage of precipitation: Widely scattered
Winds: Southwest at 4 to 8 mph with gusts to 16 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Scattered wet roadways. Summer thunderstorms can produce torrential downpours, gusty winds, and small hail. Frequent cloud to ground lightning, as well.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium
Is severe weather expected? Summer thunderstorms can occasionally produce pockets of high winds.
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but monitor radars
UV Index: 9 to 11 Very high
Sunrise: 5:34 AM
Monday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast: Partly cloudy. Scattered thunderstorms possible.
Temperatures: MO ~ 72 to 75 IL ~ 72 to 74 KY ~ 72 to 75 TN ~ 72 to 75
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 30% IL ~ 20% KY ~ 20% TN ~ 20%
Coverage of precipitation: Widely scattered
Winds: South and southwest 5 to 10 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Scattered wet roadways. Summer thunderstorms can produce torrential downpours, gusty winds, and small hail. Frequent cloud to ground lightning, as well.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium
Is severe weather expected? Summer thunderstorms can occasionally produce pockets of high winds.
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but monitor radars
Sunset: 8:18 PM
Moonrise: 10:59 AM Waxing Crescent
Moonset: 12:01 AM
June 18, 2018
Tuesday Forecast Details
Forecast: Partly cloudy. A few thunderstorms possible. Hot and muggy.
Temperatures: MO ~ 88 to 94 IL ~ 88 to 94 KY ~ 88 to 94 TN ~ 88 to 94
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 30% IL ~ 30% KY ~ 30% TN ~ 30%
Coverage of precipitation: Widely scattered
Winds: Southwest at 4 to 8 mph with gusts to 14 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Scattered wet roadways. Summer thunderstorms can produce torrential downpours, gusty winds, and small hail. Frequent cloud to ground lightning, as well.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium
Is severe weather expected? Summer thunderstorms can occasionally produce pockets of high winds.
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but monitor radars
UV Index: 9 to 11 Very high
Sunrise: 5:34 AM
Tuesday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast: Partly cloudy. Scattered thunderstorms possible.
Temperatures: MO ~ 72 to 75 IL ~ 72 to 74 KY ~ 72 to 75 TN ~ 72 to 75
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 30% IL ~ 30% KY ~ 30% TN ~ 30%
Coverage of precipitation: Widely scattered
Winds: South and southwest 5 to 10 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Scattered wet roadways. Summer thunderstorms can produce torrential downpours, gusty winds, and small hail. Frequent cloud to ground lightning, as well.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium
Is severe weather expected? Summer thunderstorms can occasionally produce pockets of high winds.
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but monitor radars
Sunset: 8:18 PM
Moonrise: 12:06 PM Waxing Crescent
Moonset: 12:34 AM
June 18, 2018
Wednesday Forecast Details
Forecast: Partly cloudy. Scattered thunderstorms. Hot and muggy.
Temperatures: MO ~ 88 to 94 IL ~ 88 to 94 KY ~ 88 to 94 TN ~ 88 to 94
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 40% IL ~ 40% KY ~ 40% TN ~ 40%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
Winds: Southwest at 4 to 8 mph with gusts to 14 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Scattered wet roadways. Summer thunderstorms can produce torrential downpours, gusty winds, and small hail. Frequent cloud to ground lightning, as well.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium
Is severe weather expected? Summer thunderstorms can occasionally produce pockets of high winds.
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but monitor radars
UV Index: 9 to 11 Very high
Sunrise: 5:34 AM
Wednesday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast: Partly cloudy. Scattered thunderstorms possible.
Temperatures: MO ~ 72 to 75 IL ~ 72 to 74 KY ~ 72 to 75 TN ~ 72 to 75
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 40% IL ~ 40% KY ~ 40% TN ~ 40%
Coverage of precipitation: Widely scattered
Winds: South and southwest 5 to 10 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Scattered wet roadways. Summer thunderstorms can produce torrential downpours, gusty winds, and small hail. Frequent cloud to ground lightning, as well.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium
Is severe weather expected? Summer thunderstorms can occasionally produce pockets of high winds.
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but monitor radars
Sunset: 8:18 PM
Moonrise: 1:10 PM Waxing Crescent
Moonset: 1:09 AM
June 19, 2018
Thursday Forecast Details
Forecast: Partly cloudy. Scattered thunderstorms. Hot and muggy.
Temperatures: MO ~ 88 to 94 IL ~ 88 to 94 KY ~ 88 to 94 TN ~ 88 to 94
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 40% IL ~ 40% KY ~ 40% TN ~ 40%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
Winds: Southwest at 6 to 12 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Scattered wet roadways. Summer thunderstorms can produce torrential downpours, gusty winds, and small hail. Frequent cloud to ground lightning, as well.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium
Is severe weather expected? Summer thunderstorms can occasionally produce pockets of high winds.
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but monitor radars
UV Index: 9 to 11 Very high
Sunrise: 5:34 AM
Thursday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast: Partly cloudy. Scattered thunderstorms possible.
Temperatures: MO ~ 72 to 75 IL ~ 72 to 74 KY ~ 72 to 75 TN ~ 72 to 75
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 40% IL ~ 40% KY ~ 40% TN ~ 40%
Coverage of precipitation: Widely scattered
Winds: South and southwest 5 to 10 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Scattered wet roadways. Summer thunderstorms can produce torrential downpours, gusty winds, and small hail. Frequent cloud to ground lightning, as well.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium
Is severe weather expected? Summer thunderstorms can occasionally produce pockets of high winds.
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but monitor radars
Sunset: 8:18 PM
Moonrise: 2:13 PM First Quarter
Moonset: 1:41 AM
Learn more about the UV index readings. Click here.
The chance of thunderstorms through Sunday will be low. I can not completely rule out an isolated storm today as there are several boundaries in the region.
Otherwise, chances of storms will be 10% or less through Sunday.
Thunderstorm chances return Monday into Wednesday. Heavy rain possible where storms occur.
Here is the latest WPC / NOAA rainfall forecast through 7 AM Thursday.
We are in a summer pattern. That means a WIDE range of rainfall totals (even within the same county).
This graphic will not cover those wild swings in rainfall totals that occur from locally heavy thunderstorms.
This map is not showing the potential of thunderstorm complexes next week. This may need adjusting IF MCS’s occur.
This next graphic is the NAM model guidance rainfall forecast
This is today through 1 PM Sunday
Click images to enlarge
This next graphic is the 3K NAM
This is through 1 PM Saturday
This next graphic is the GFS model rainfall
This is from now through 1 AM Tuesday
We will have to monitor for thunderstorm complexes next week. If they occur then very heavy rain would likely fall in a few locations.
Model’s are not handling that idea all that well.
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We offer interactive local city live radars and regional radars. If a radar does not update then try another one.
If a radar does not appear to be refreshing then hit Ctrl F5 on your keyboard.
You may also try restarting your browser.
The local city view radars also have clickable warnings.
During the winter months, you can track snow and ice by clicking the winterize button on the local city view interactive radars.
Questions? Broken links? Other questions?
You may email me at beaudodson@usawx.com
The National Weather Service defines a severe thunderstorm as one that produces quarter size hail or larger, 58 mph winds or greater, and/or a tornado.
Thursday through Sunday: Thunderstorm chances are low through Sunday. Isolated to scattered.
Where storms occur there will be heavy rain, gusty winds, small hail, and frequent cloud to ground lightning. At this time, organized severe weather appears unlikely.
The risk of severe thunderstorms is low. Isolated severe storm concerns.
Monday through Friday: Thunderstorm chances are expected to rise next week. Some of the storms could be intense. Heavy rain is a concern (where storms occur). Moisture content of the atmosphere will be high.
We may have to deal with some more MCS’s next week. MCS’s are thunderstorm complexes.
Interactive live weather radar page. Choose the city nearest your location. If one of the cities does not work then try a nearby one. Click here.
National map of weather watches and warnings. Click here.
Storm Prediction Center. Click here.
Weather Prediction Center. Click here.
Live lightning data: Click here.
Interactive GOES R satellite. Track clouds. Click here.
Here are the latest local river stage forecast numbers Click Here.
Here are the latest lake stage forecast numbers for Kentucky Lake and Lake Barkley Click Here.
The spring and preliminary summer outlooks have been posted for subscribers. Scroll down to see the outlook.Not a subscriber? Learn more at this link.
Weather Headlines
- Hot and muggy weather to continue (intensify this week)
- Portions of the region will experience somewhat lower dew points today (measure of how sticky it feels outside)
- Thunderstorm chances will be less than 10% Thursday through Sunday.
- Heat index values of 98 to 106 Thursday into Sunday.
- Intense thunderstorms possible next week. Monitor updates.
Not much change from yesterday’s update. Forecast remains the same.
Hot weather will be with us into the weekend.
Daily highs will be in the 90’s and overnight lows in the 70’s. Next index values will range from 98 to 106 degrees
Some storms this afternoon and tonight over southeast Missouri and southwest Illinois (mainly). Where storms occur they will be heavy.
There is one brief reprieve.
A cold front has pushed into the region. That means somewhat cooler and drier air for our northeast counties. That would include portions of southeast Illinois and northwest Kentucky.
Most of us, however, will not feel this drier air and will remain hot and muggy.
You can see how the NAM model shows slightly lower dew points over our northeast counties. This is 4 PM today.
Otherwise, a typical summer pattern is underway.
Shower and thunderstorm chances decrease considerably as we move into Thursday through Sunday. Rain chances will drift below 10%.
Looking ahead to next week.
Very high PWAT values are forecast to push into the region next week. Thunderstorms that form next week will be prolific rain producers. We will have to keep a close eye on thunderstorm complexes that form around the edge of a center of high pressure.
These thunderstorm complexes, also called MCS’s, could produce very heavy rain for portions of the region.
Much like this week, some areas will receive inches of rain and some areas will receive very little rain.
It is still a bit early to know details on next weeks thunderstorm chances.
Here is the PWAT value animation for Monday through Wednesday. This is the GFS model.
The GFS is showing numbers north of two inches. That is considered extreme for PWAT values.
Senior citizens, young children, and those working outside will have to deal with high heat index values over the coming days. Especially true Friday into Sunday.
Do you know the symptoms of heat related illness?
Also, don’t forget our outdoor friends.
The preliminary July forecast has been updated. The heat will likely be the big story.
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These are bonus videos and maps for subscribers.
I bring these to you from the BAMwx team. I pay them to help with videos. They have a great team of meteorologists. The Ohio and Missouri Valley videos cover most of our area. They do not have a specific Tennessee Valley forecast but may add one in the future.
The long-range video is technical. Over time, you can learn a lot about meteorology from the long range video. Just keep in mind, it is a bit more technical.
NOTE: THESE ARE USUALLY NOT UPDATED ON SATURDAY OR SUNDAY.
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Illinois/Ohio Valley
These graphics are for subscribers.
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Missouri Valley and Central Plains
These graphics are for subscribers.
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Long Range
I bring these to you from the BAMwx team. They are excellent long-range forecasters.
Remember, long-range outlooks are a bit of skill, understanding weather patterns, and luck combined. It is not an exact science.
Outlook definitions
EQ = Equal chances of above or below normal
BN= Below normal
M/BN = Much below normal
AN = Above normal
M/AN = Much above normal
E/AN = Extremely above normal.
Normal high temperatures for this time of the year are around 88 degrees.
Normal low temperatures for this time of the year are around 65 degrees.
Normal precipitation during this time period ranges from 0.60″ to 0.80″
This outlook covers June 12th through June 18th
These graphics are for subscribers.
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These graphics are for subscribers.
The precipitation forecast is PERCENT OF NORMAL. For example, if your normal rainfall is 1.00″ and the graphic shows 10%, then that would mean 0.10″ of rain is anticipated.
These graphics are for subscribers.
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This outlook covers June 22nd through July 5th
These graphics are for subscribers.
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And precipitation
These graphics are for subscribers.
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June temperature and precipitation outlook
These graphics are for subscribers.
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Outlook definitions
EQ = Equal chances of above or below normal
BN= Below normal
M/BN = Much below normal
AN = Above normal
M/AN = Much above normal
E/AN = Extremely above normal.
Temperature outlook for April through June.
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Precipitation outlook for March through May.
These graphics are for subscribers.
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Temperature outlook for June through August.
These graphics are for subscribers.
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July temperature and precipitation outlook
These graphics are for subscribers.
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August temperature and precipitation outlook
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A new weather podcast is now available! Weather Geeks (which you might remember is on The Weather Channel each Sunday)
To learn more visit their website. Click here.
WeatherBrains Episode 647
WeatherBrains Episode 647 is now online (June 11, 2018).
If you are crazy about weather, this is THE netcast audio program for you!
This week’s Guest WeatherBrain is a Philom. We will find out exactly what that means in a moment. He is the seventh editor of Farmers’ Almanac, which is significant, given that it was founded in 1818. Peter Geiger, welcome to WeatherBrains!
Other discussions in this weekly podcast include topics like:
Sun spot cycles
Tropical disturbance in the Caribbean
Meaning of the word “Philom”
Astronomy Outlook with Tony Rice
and more!
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Previous episodes can be viewed by clicking here.
We offer interactive local city live radars and regional radars. If a radar does not update then try another one. If a radar does not appear to be refreshing then hit Ctrl F5. You may also try restarting your browser.
The local city view radars also have clickable warnings.
During the winter months, you can track snow and ice by clicking the winterize button on the local city view interactive radars.
You may email me at beaudodson@usawx.com
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Did you know that a portion of your monthly subscription helps support local charity projects?
You can learn more about those projects by visiting the Shadow Angel Foundation website and the Beau Dodson News website.
I encourage subscribers to use the app vs regular text messaging. We have found text messaging to be delayed during severe weather. The app typically will receive the messages instantly. I recommend people have three to four methods of receiving their severe weather information.
Remember, my app and text alerts are hand typed and not computer generated. You are being given personal attention during significant weather events.
