Beau Dodson's WeatherTalk Blog

June 12, 2018: Non-subscriber update. Thunderstorm chances. Hot and muggy.

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June 12, 2018
Tuesday F
orecast Details
Forecast
:  Partly sunny.  Thunderstorms.  Some storms will be intense.  Hot and muggy.
Temperatures:  MO ~ 90 to 94      IL ~ 90 to 94       KY ~ 90 to 94       TN ~  90 to 94
What is the chance of precipitation?  MO ~ 40%      IL ~ 50%       KY ~ 50%          TN ~ 40%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
Winds: South and southwest winds at 7 to 14 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.  Lightning.   High winds possible near storms.  Nickel size hail.  Torrential downpours of one to two inches per hour.  Some flash flooding is possible is storms train over the same areas.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium
Is severe weather expected? A few severe thunderstorms are possible.  Monitor updates.
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  Monitor updates and radars.
UV Index: 9 to 10  Very high
Sunrise: 5:34 AM

 

Flash flooding is a concern where slow moving storms occur.  

 

Tuesday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast:  Quite a few clouds.  Scattered strong thunderstorms.  Warm.  Humid.
Temperatures:  MO ~ 68 to 72       IL ~ 68 to 72       KY ~ 68 to 72        TN ~ 68 to 72
What is the chance of precipitation?  MO ~ 30%      IL ~  40%       KY ~  40%          TN ~ 40%
Coverage of precipitation:  Scattered
Winds: West and southwest 7 to 14 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.  Lightning.   High winds possible near storms.  Nickel size hail.  Torrential downpours possible.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium
Is severe weather expected? I can’t rule out severe thunderstorms.  Monitor updates, especially early in the night.
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  Monitor updates and radars.
Sunset: 8:15 PM
Moonrise: 4:45 AM Waning Crescent
Moonset: 7:03 PM

 

June 13, 2018
Wednesday F
orecast Details
Forecast
:  Partly sunny.  A chance of scattered thunderstorms.
Temperatures:  MO ~ 88 to 92      IL ~ 86 to 92       KY ~ 86 to 92       TN ~  88 to 92
What is the chance of precipitation?  MO ~ 30%      IL ~ 30%       KY ~ 40%          TN ~ 40%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
Winds: West becoming northwest at 5 to 10 mph with gusts to 14 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Scattered wet roadways.  Lightning.  Where summer storms occur you can have locally heavy downpours, small hail, and strong winds.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: High
Is severe weather expected? Typical summer isolated severe risk.  Isolated downburst winds from dying storms.
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No, but monitor radars
UV Index: 9 to 10  Very high
Sunrise: 5:34 AM

 

Wednesday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast:  Partly cloudy. Warm.  Humid.  Isolated evening thunderstorms possible.
Temperatures:  MO ~ 68 to 72       IL ~ 64 (near Mt Vernon) to 72       KY ~ 66 to 72        TN ~ 68 to 72
What is the chance of precipitation?  MO ~ 10%      IL ~  10%       KY ~  20%          TN ~ 20%
Coverage of precipitation: None to isolated
Winds: Light and variable winds
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  None to isolated wet roadways.  Lightning.  Where summer storms occur you can have locally heavy downpours, small hail, and strong winds.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: High
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No
Sunset: 8:16 PM
Moonrise: 5:33 AM New
Moonset: 8:12 PM

 

June 14, 2018
Thursday F
orecast Details
Forecast
:  Partly cloudy.  Hot and muggy for most of us.  Northeast counties might be a bit cooler and less humid.
Temperatures:  MO ~ 88 to 94      IL ~ 85 to 88       KY ~ 85 to 90       TN ~  88 to 94
What is the chance of precipitation?  MO ~ 10%      IL ~ 10%       KY ~ 10%          TN ~ 10%
Coverage of precipitation: Most likely none.  A slight chance of an isolated storm.
Winds: East and southeast at 5 to 10 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? None to isolated wet roadways.  Lightning.  Where summer storms occur you can have locally heavy downpours, small hail, and strong winds.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No
UV Index: 9 to 10  Very high
Sunrise: 5:34 AM

 

Thursday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast:  Mostly clear.  A few clouds.
Temperatures:  MO ~ 66 to 70       IL ~ 66 to 70        KY ~ 66 to 70         TN ~ 66 to 70
What is the chance of precipitation?  MO ~ 10%      IL ~  10%       KY ~  10%          TN ~ 10%
Coverage of precipitation: Most likely none.  A slight chance.
Winds: South and southwest 5 to 10 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Most likely none
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No
Sunset: 8:16 PM
Moonrise: 6:30 AM New
Moonset: 9:18 PM

 

June 15, 2018
Friday F
orecast Details
Forecast
:  Partly to mostly sunny.  Hot and muggy.  Heat index 96 to 104.
Temperatures:  MO ~ 90 to 95      IL ~ 90 to 94       KY ~ 90 to 94       TN ~  90 to 94
What is the chance of precipitation?  MO ~ 5%      IL ~ 5%       KY ~ 5%          TN ~ 5%
Coverage of precipitation: Most likely none.
Winds: Southeast at 4 to 8 mph with gusts to 12 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Most likely none
My confidence in the forecast verifying: High
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No
UV Index: 9 to 11  Very high
Sunrise: 5:34 AM

 

Friday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast:  Mostly clear.  A few clouds. Warm and humid.
Temperatures:  MO ~ 70 to 74       IL ~ 70 to 74       KY ~ 70 to 74        TN ~ 70 to 74
What is the chance of precipitation?  MO ~ 5%      IL ~ 5%       KY ~  5%          TN ~ 5%
Coverage of precipitation: Most likely none.
Winds: South and southeast 5 to 10 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Most likely none
My confidence in the forecast verifying: High
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No
Sunset: 8:17 PM
Moonrise: 7:32 AM Waxing Crescent
Moonset: 10:18 PM

 

June 16, 2018
Saturday F
orecast Details
Forecast
:  Mostly sunny.  Hot and muggy.  Some cumulus clouds.  Heat index 96 to 104.
Temperatures:  MO ~ 92 to 96      IL ~ 90 to 95       KY ~ 90 to 95       TN ~  92 to 96
What is the chance of precipitation?  MO ~ 5%      IL ~ 5%       KY ~ 5%          TN ~ 5%
Coverage of precipitation: None
Winds: Southwest at 4 to 8 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? None
My confidence in the forecast verifying: High
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No
UV Index: 9 to 11  Very high
Sunrise: 5:34 AM

 

Saturday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast:  Mostly clear.  A few clouds.  Muggy.  Warm.
Temperatures:  MO ~ 72 to 75       IL ~ 72 to 74       KY ~ 72 to 75        TN ~ 72 to 75
What is the chance of precipitation?  MO ~ 5%      IL ~  5%       KY ~  5%          TN ~ 5%
Coverage of precipitation: None
Winds: South and southwest 5 to 10 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? None
My confidence in the forecast verifying: High
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No
Sunset: 8:17 PM
Moonrise: 8:42 AM Waxing Crescent
Moonset: 11:09 PM

 

June 17, 2018
Sunday F
orecast Details
Forecast
:  Mostly sunny.  Some cumulus clouds.  Hot and muggy.  Heat index 96 to 104.
Temperatures:  MO ~ 92 to 96      IL ~ 92 to 95       KY ~ 92 to 95       TN ~  92 to 96
What is the chance of precipitation?  MO ~ 5%      IL ~ 5%       KY ~ 5%          TN ~ 5%
Coverage of precipitation: None
Winds: Southwest at 4 to 8 mph with gusts to 14 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? None
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No
UV Index: 9 to 11  Very high
Sunrise: 5:34 AM

 

Sunday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast:  Mostly clear.  A few clouds.  Muggy.  Warm.
Temperatures:  MO ~ 72 to 75       IL ~ 72 to 74       KY ~ 72 to 75        TN ~ 72 to 75
What is the chance of precipitation?  MO ~ 5%      IL ~  5%       KY ~  5%          TN ~ 5%
Coverage of precipitation: None
Winds: South and southwest 5 to 10 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? None
My confidence in the forecast verifying: High
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No
Sunset: 8:17 PM
Moonrise: 9:49 AM Waxing Crescent
Moonset: 11:54 PM

 

June 18, 2018
Monday F
orecast Details
Forecast
:  Partly cloudy.  A few thunderstorms possible.  Hot and muggy.
Temperatures:  MO ~ 88 to 94      IL ~ 88 to 94       KY ~ 88 to 94       TN ~  88 to 94
What is the chance of precipitation?  MO ~ 30%      IL ~ 20%       KY ~ 20%          TN ~ 20%
Coverage of precipitation: Widely scattered
Winds: Southwest at 4 to 8 mph with gusts to 16 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Scattered wet roadways.  Summer thunderstorms can produce torrential downpours, gusty winds, and small hail.  Frequent cloud to ground lightning, as well.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium
Is severe weather expected? Summer thunderstorms can occasionally produce pockets of high winds.
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No, but monitor radars
UV Index: 9 to 11  Very high
Sunrise: 5:34 AM

 

Monday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast:  Partly cloudy.  Scattered thunderstorms possible.
Temperatures:  MO ~ 72 to 75       IL ~ 72 to 74       KY ~ 72 to 75        TN ~ 72 to 75
What is the chance of precipitation?  MO ~ 30%      IL ~  20%       KY ~  20%          TN ~ 20%
Coverage of precipitation: Widely scattered
Winds: South and southwest 5 to 10 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Scattered wet roadways.  Summer thunderstorms can produce torrential downpours, gusty winds, and small hail.  Frequent cloud to ground lightning, as well.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium
Is severe weather expected? Summer thunderstorms can occasionally produce pockets of high winds.
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No, but monitor radars
Sunset: 8:18 PM
Moonrise: 10:59 AM Waxing Crescent
Moonset: 12:01 AM

 

June 18, 2018
Tuesday F
orecast Details
Forecast
:  Partly cloudy.  A few thunderstorms possible.  Hot and muggy.
Temperatures:  MO ~ 88 to 94      IL ~ 88 to 94       KY ~ 88 to 94       TN ~  88 to 94
What is the chance of precipitation?  MO ~ 30%      IL ~ 30%       KY ~ 30%          TN ~ 30%
Coverage of precipitation: Widely scattered
Winds: Southwest at 4 to 8 mph with gusts to 14 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Scattered wet roadways.  Summer thunderstorms can produce torrential downpours, gusty winds, and small hail.  Frequent cloud to ground lightning, as well.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium
Is severe weather expected? Summer thunderstorms can occasionally produce pockets of high winds.
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No, but monitor radars
UV Index: 9 to 11  Very high
Sunrise: 5:34 AM

 

Tuesday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast:  Partly cloudy.  Scattered thunderstorms possible.
Temperatures:  MO ~ 72 to 75       IL ~ 72 to 74       KY ~ 72 to 75        TN ~ 72 to 75
What is the chance of precipitation?  MO ~ 30%      IL ~  30%       KY ~  30%          TN ~ 30%
Coverage of precipitation: Widely scattered
Winds: South and southwest 5 to 10 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Scattered wet roadways.  Summer thunderstorms can produce torrential downpours, gusty winds, and small hail.  Frequent cloud to ground lightning, as well.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium
Is severe weather expected? Summer thunderstorms can occasionally produce pockets of high winds.
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No, but monitor radars
Sunset: 8:18 PM
Moonrise: 12:06 PM Waxing Crescent
Moonset: 12:34 AM

 

June 18, 2018
Wednesday F
orecast Details
Forecast
:  Partly cloudy. Scattered thunderstorms.  Hot and muggy.
Temperatures:  MO ~ 88 to 94      IL ~ 88 to 94       KY ~ 88 to 94       TN ~  88 to 94
What is the chance of precipitation?  MO ~ 40%      IL ~ 40%       KY ~ 40%          TN ~ 40%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
Winds: Southwest at 4 to 8 mph with gusts to 14 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Scattered wet roadways.  Summer thunderstorms can produce torrential downpours, gusty winds, and small hail.  Frequent cloud to ground lightning, as well.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium
Is severe weather expected? Summer thunderstorms can occasionally produce pockets of high winds.
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No, but monitor radars
UV Index: 9 to 11  Very high
Sunrise: 5:34 AM

 

Wednesday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast:  Partly cloudy.  Scattered thunderstorms possible.
Temperatures:  MO ~ 72 to 75       IL ~ 72 to 74       KY ~ 72 to 75        TN ~ 72 to 75
What is the chance of precipitation?  MO ~ 40%      IL ~  40%       KY ~  40%          TN ~ 40%
Coverage of precipitation: Widely scattered
Winds: South and southwest 5 to 10 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Scattered wet roadways.  Summer thunderstorms can produce torrential downpours, gusty winds, and small hail.  Frequent cloud to ground lightning, as well.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium
Is severe weather expected? Summer thunderstorms can occasionally produce pockets of high winds.
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No, but monitor radars
Sunset: 8:18 PM
Moonrise: 1:10 PM Waxing Crescent
Moonset: 1:09 AM

 

June 19, 2018
Thursday F
orecast Details
Forecast
:  Partly cloudy. Scattered thunderstorms.  Hot and muggy.
Temperatures:  MO ~ 88 to 94      IL ~ 88 to 94       KY ~ 88 to 94       TN ~  88 to 94
What is the chance of precipitation?  MO ~ 40%      IL ~ 40%       KY ~ 40%          TN ~ 40%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
Winds: Southwest at 6 to 12 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Scattered wet roadways.  Summer thunderstorms can produce torrential downpours, gusty winds, and small hail.  Frequent cloud to ground lightning, as well.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium
Is severe weather expected? Summer thunderstorms can occasionally produce pockets of high winds.
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No, but monitor radars
UV Index: 9 to 11  Very high
Sunrise: 5:34 AM

 

Thursday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast:  Partly cloudy.  Scattered thunderstorms possible.
Temperatures:  MO ~ 72 to 75       IL ~ 72 to 74       KY ~ 72 to 75        TN ~ 72 to 75
What is the chance of precipitation?  MO ~ 40%      IL ~  40%       KY ~  40%          TN ~ 40%
Coverage of precipitation: Widely scattered
Winds: South and southwest 5 to 10 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Scattered wet roadways.  Summer thunderstorms can produce torrential downpours, gusty winds, and small hail.  Frequent cloud to ground lightning, as well.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium
Is severe weather expected? Summer thunderstorms can occasionally produce pockets of high winds.
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No, but monitor radars
Sunset: 8:18 PM
Moonrise: 2:13 PM First Quarter
Moonset: 1:41 AM

 

Learn more about the UV index readings.  Click here.

 

 

A frontal boundary has slipped into the region.  This front will be the focus of showers and thunderstorms.  Some of these storms will produce torrential downpours.  Rain totals in some areas could easily top an inch or two.  Those big totals won’t happen everyone, of course.  Pockets of big rain totals.  Same as recent days.

 

Here is the latest WPC / NOAA rainfall forecast.

This is broad brushed. 

We are in a summer pattern.  That means a WIDE range of rainfall totals (even within the same county).

This graphic will not cover those wild swings in rainfall totals that occur from locally heavy thunderstorms.

For some locations, these numbers are way too low.

This graphic takes us from now through next Monday night

 

 

This next graphic is the NAM model guidance rainfall forecast through 7 AM Friday

Notice the differences in each of the models.  The differences center around thunderstorm complexes that commonly form during the summer months.  These complexes are tricky, at best, to forecast more than 12 to 24 hours in advance.  Rainfall totals can vary greatly within the complexes.

Click images to enlarge

 

 

This next graphic is the 3K NAM

This goes through 7 PM Thursday

 

 

This next graphic is the GFS model rainfall through 1 PM Friday

 

 

.

 

We offer interactive local city live radars and regional radars.   If a radar does not update then try another one.

If a radar does not appear to be refreshing then hit Ctrl F5 on your keyboard.

You may also try restarting your browser.

The local city view radars also have clickable warnings.

During the winter months, you can track snow and ice by clicking the winterize button on the local city view interactive radars.

 

Questions?  Broken links?  Other questions?

You may email me at beaudodson@usawx.com

 

 

The National Weather Service defines a severe thunderstorm as one that produces quarter size hail or larger, 58 mph winds or greater, and/or a  tornado.

 

Tuesday and Tuesday night: Thunderstorms are likely along an incoming cold front.  Some of the storms could become severe with high winds, hail, frequent lightning, and torrential downpours.  Monitor updates.

Wednesday through Sunday:  I am expecting less thunderstorm coverage as we push through the week.  We should see storms become more isolated in nature from Thursday onward.  Where storms occur there will be heavy rain, gusty winds, small hail, and frequent cloud to ground lightning.  At this time, organized severe weather appears unlikely.   Monitor updates.  Isolated severe weather risk.

 

SPC has outlined out region for a level one risk of severe weather.  One is the lowest risk.  Five is the highest.

A marginal risk.  That means a few storms could be severe.  High wind is the main concern.  Downburst winds.

 

 

Interactive live weather radar page.  Choose the city nearest your location. If one of the cities does not work then try a nearby one.  Click here.

National map of weather watches and warnings. Click here.

Storm Prediction Center.  Click here.

Weather Prediction Center.  Click here.

 

Live lightning data: Click here.

 

Interactive GOES R satellite.  Track clouds.  Click here.

 

Here are the latest local river stage forecast numbers Click Here.

Here are the latest lake stage forecast numbers for Kentucky Lake and Lake Barkley Click Here.

 

The spring and preliminary summer outlooks have been posted for subscribers.  Scroll down to see the outlook.Not a subscriber?  Learn more at this link.

 

 

 

Weather Headlines

  1. Hot and muggy
  2. Thunderstorm chances (some intense)
  3. Monitoring Thursday’s forecast to see if somewhat cooler air moves in from the northeast.  Low confidence.
  4. Hot and muggy Friday into Sunday.  Heat index values above 95 degrees.

 

We have an interesting weather day ahead of us.

A cold front/stationary front will drift southward today.  This will provide a focus for showers and thunderstorms.  Some of the storms will be intense.

Storms over the last few days have produced torrential rain (some areas receiving two to four+ inches in a few hours), 50 to 65 mph wind gusts, nickel size hail, and frequent cloud to ground lightning.

Today will be no different.  Some severe thunderstorms are possible.  The overall severe weather threat is fairly low at any given location.

A few reports of downburst winds or straight line winds will be possible.  The tornado risk is low/isolated.  A few reports of hail possible.  Frequent lightning.

There could be flash flooding in some areas if thunderstorms train over the same areas.

Portions of central Illinois into southeast Illinois into southwest Indiana have been dealing with flash flooding over the last few days.  This is the same system.

There are some questions about Thursday’s weather.  A back door cold front could briefly move southwest into our region.  If this happens (low confidence) then it would mean lower dew points and cooler temperatures.  It will be a brief reprieve if it happens.

How and muggy weather will be on tap for Friday into Tuesday.  Daily highs in the 90’s.  Lows in the 70’s.  Heat index values of 94 to 98 (locally higher).  Not the best weather for outdoor activities.  Peak heating will be 11 am to 5 pm.

Thunderstorm chances will become more and more isolated as we move into Thursday, Friday, Saturday, and Sunday.  I know some of you would like to cut hay.  This could provide an opportunity.

Heat index values will be a concern for the young and the senior citizens.

 

Do you know the symptoms of heat related illness?

 

 

Also, don’t forget our outdoor friends.

 

 

 

The preliminary July forecast has been updated.  The heat will likely be the big story.

These graphics are for subscribers.

Subscribe at www.weathertalk.com

 

 

These are bonus videos and maps for subscribers.

I bring these to you from the BAMwx team.  I pay them to help with videos.  They have a great team of meteorologists.  The Ohio and Missouri Valley videos cover most of our area.  They do not have a specific Tennessee Valley forecast but may add one in the future.

The long-range video is technical.  Over time, you can learn a lot about meteorology from the long range video.  Just keep in mind, it is a bit more technical.

 

NOTE:  THESE ARE USUALLY NOT UPDATED ON SATURDAY OR SUNDAY.

 

 

 

These graphics are for subscribers.

Subscribe at www.weathertalk.com

Illinois/Ohio Valley

 

 

These graphics are for subscribers.

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Missouri Valley and Central Plains

 

 

These graphics are for subscribers.

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Long Range

 

 

I bring these to you from the BAMwx team.  They are excellent long-range forecasters.

Remember, long-range outlooks are a bit of skill, understanding weather patterns, and luck combined.  It is not an exact science.

 

 

Outlook definitions

EQ = Equal chances of above or below normal
BN= Below normal
M/BN = Much below normal
AN = Above normal
M/AN = Much above normal
E/AN = Extremely above normal.

Normal high temperatures for this time of the year are around 88 degrees.
Normal low temperatures for this time of the year are around 65 degrees.

Normal precipitation during this time period ranges from 0.60″ to 0.80″

This outlook covers June 12th through June 18th

 

These graphics are for subscribers.

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These graphics are for subscribers.

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The precipitation forecast is PERCENT OF NORMAL.  For example, if your normal rainfall is 1.00″ and the graphic shows 10%, then that would mean 0.10″ of rain is anticipated.

 

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Subscribe at www.weathertalk.com

 

 

 

This outlook covers June 22nd through July 5th

 

These graphics are for subscribers.

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And precipitation

 

These graphics are for subscribers.

Subscribe at www.weathertalk.com

 

June temperature and precipitation outlook

 

These graphics are for subscribers.

Subscribe at www.weathertalk.com

 

 

 

 

Outlook definitions

EQ = Equal chances of above or below normal
BN= Below normal
M/BN = Much below normal
AN = Above normal
M/AN = Much above normal
E/AN = Extremely above normal.

Temperature outlook for April through June.

 

These graphics are for subscribers.

Subscribe at www.weathertalk.com

 

Precipitation outlook for March through May.

 

These graphics are for subscribers.

Subscribe at www.weathertalk.com

 

 

Temperature outlook for June through August.

 

These graphics are for subscribers.

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July temperature and precipitation outlook

 

These graphics are for subscribers.

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August temperature and precipitation outlook

 

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A new weather podcast is now available!  Weather Geeks (which you might remember is on The Weather Channel each Sunday)

To learn more visit their website.  Click here.

 

 

WeatherBrains Episode 646

We couldn’t get Google Hangouts to function for our guest this week, so this week’s WeatherBrains is a discussion amongst the regulars about what is on their minds.

Other discussions in this weekly podcast include topics like:

  • Subtropical Storm Alberto
  • Extreme heat in the Southwest early in season
  • Negativity and fighting on social media
  • Problematic attempts at forecasting random summertime afternoon storms
  • “First Alert Days” and their place in 2018 broadcast meteorology
  • and more!

 

 

Previous episodes can be viewed by clicking here.

 

We offer interactive local city live radars and regional radars.   If a radar does not update then try another one.  If a radar does not appear to be refreshing then hit Ctrl F5.  You may also try restarting your browser.

The local city view radars also have clickable warnings.

During the winter months, you can track snow and ice by clicking the winterize button on the local city view interactive radars.

You may email me at beaudodson@usawx.com

 

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Did you know that a portion of your monthly subscription helps support local charity projects?

You can learn more about those projects by visiting the Shadow Angel Foundation website and the Beau Dodson News website.

I encourage subscribers to use the app vs regular text messaging.  We have found text messaging to be delayed during severe weather.  The app typically will receive the messages instantly.  I recommend people have three to four methods of receiving their severe weather information.

Remember, my app and text alerts are hand typed and not computer generated.  You are being given personal attention during significant weather events.

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