Weather Blog Post
Last Updated: Jul 07, 2019 8:59 PM

June 15, 2019

BEGIN LIVE BLOG

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Live lightning data: Click here.

Radar Link: Interactive local city-view radars & regional radars.

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County Maps:  Click Here
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FACEBOOK Q&A LINK
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Live-interactive radars:  Click here
Regional radar link:  Click here
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Live lightning data: Click here.
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Additional storm tracking tools can be found at the bottom of the page.

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.6:4 PM

9:28 PM

Christian and Todd. Storms have weakened quite a bit.

8:14 PM

Henderson, Webster, Hopkins. Storms are approaching from the west. Isolated high wind is possible. Heavy rain/lightning.

8:08 PM

Union County, KY. The storm is bowing out a bit. That could mean stronger wind. Be aware as the storms moved east through your county.

7:50 PM

Union, Crittenden, Caldwell, Lyon, Trigg. Storms approaching with gusty wind and heavy rain. They have weakened from what they were earlier. Isolated high wind is possible.

7:17 PM

Appears to have been a brief tornado or gustnado near the Big Bay exit in Massac County earlier as the storm moved through. It is gone now.

7:15 PM

Local Storm Report by NWS PAH: 2 ENE Bertrand [Mississippi Co, MO] law enforcement reports TSTM WND DMG at 06:05 PM CDT -- trees down near intersection of us 62 and 77 highway. time estimated.

Local Storm Report by NWS PAH: 1 W La Center [Ballard Co, KY] law enforcement reports TSTM WND DMG at 06:33 PM CDT -- trees down along hazelwood road near lacenter, extending westward towards wickliffe. time estimated.

7:15 PM

Pope, Livingston, Marshall, Calloway, & Henry. Storms moving through and into your area have been weakening. Isolated wind damage is still possible. Heavy rain.

6:52 PM

Local Storm Report by NWS PAH: Bluford [Jefferson Co, IL] law enforcement reports FLASH FLOOD at 06:30 PM CDT -- numerous roads flooded around bluford, including highway 15. several wrecks reported on interstate 64 and interstate 57 due to water ponding issues.

6:45 PM

Pulaski/Massac Storms moving through and into your area could produce pockets of wind damage. Be weather aware. Very heavy rain.

6:42 PM

Rotation is weakening as it enters McCracken County. Let's be aware in case it tightens up again. Damaging wind is poss with these storms as they move east/ne.

6:40 PM

Possible tornado entering McCracken County, KY. Rotation is near or just north of Kevil, KY at this time.

6:38 PM

I am tracking a possible tornado north of La Center KY in northern Ballard County. Movement is now E NE at 50 mph. If you are in the path seek shelter.

6:33 PM

Ballard/Carlisle. Radar shows pockets of 55+ mph winds embedded in the heavy rain. Remain weather aware.

Tornado possible in Ballard County, KY.  North of La Center. Movement E NE at 50

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6:30 PM

The storm remains intense.

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6:20 PM

Local Storm Report by NWS PAH: 1 ENE Ware [Union Co, IL] law enforcement reports FLASH FLOOD at 06:18 PM CDT -- one lane of highway 146 near the intersection of Highway 3 is flooded.

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6:20 PM

Mississippi, Ballard, and Carlisle Counties. Radar shows damaging wind moving out of MS County. Winds of 50 to 60 mph are indicated by radar. Very heavy rain will flood some roadways.

Blue color represents damaging wind potential.

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6:14 PM

NWS issues Severe Thunderstorm Warning [wind: 60 MPH, hail: <.75 IN] for Ballard, Carlisle [KY] till 7:00 PM CDT

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6:13 PM

White County. Intense storms continue to move through your county. Isolated high wind and hail possible as it moves NE at 30 mph.

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6:12 PM

Hamilton County. The heaviest cell has moved into White County.

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6:09 PM

Radar estimating nearly 5 inches of rain over the last 3 hours in Union County, IL.

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6:05 PM

Pulaski, Massac, Ballard, and McCracken:
Storms approaching from the west could produce pockets of hail, 55 mph wind, torrential rain, and lightning. Be aware as storms approach over the coming hour.

Carlisle, Hickman, Fulton, Graves, and Obion Counties.
Storms approaching from the west could produce pockets of hail, 55 mph wind, torrential rain, and lightning. Be aware as storms approach over the coming hour.

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6:00 PM

Mississippi, Scott, and Alexander Counties.

Storms moving through your counties could produce quarter size hail, 55 mph wind, frequent lightning, and torrential rain. Be weather aware.

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6:00 PM

There is rotation just north of Norris City, IL. Moving NE at 35 mph. Be prepared to seek shelter.

Hamilton/White Counties.

A severe storm was near Norris City moving NE at 35 MPH. This storm has some rotation, as well. Be aware and prepared to seek shelter.

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5;53 PM

Extreme southern IL, western KY, and NW TN. Storms are moving eastward. With time, they will impact areas currently dry.

Continue to be aware.

Click to enlarge.

See the live interactive radars

Click here

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5:44 PM

Flash flood statement

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5:40 PM

Wow, this is a large storm cell with extremely heavy rain over Union County, IL. Impressive size. Torrential rain.

Flash flooding likely.

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5:38 PM

Getting concerned about flash flooding in Union County, IL.  Radar is estimated over 2.5 inches of rain in the last hour. Any reports from there appreciated.

5:38 PM

Local Storm Report by NWS PAH: 2 NNE Wayne City, IL [Wayne Co, IL] trained spotter reports FLASH FLOOD at 05:19 PM CDT -- water flowing over Illinois highway 15 in multiple places near Wayne City.

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5:37 PM

NWS issues Severe Thunderstorm Warning [wind: 60 MPH, hail: 1.00 IN] for New Madrid [MO] till 6:00 PM CDT

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5:36 PM

Local Storm Report by NWS PAH: 4 SE Murphysboro [Jackson Co, IL] public reports FLASH FLOOD at 05:29 PM CDT -- Pump House Road and Chautauqua Road covered with water.

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5:35 PM

Colors represent hail.

A hail core is just SW of Cobden, IL moving NE at 15. Hail could impact areas near Cobden shortly. High wind is also possible.

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5:30 PM

Paducah, KY NWS issues Severe Thunderstorm Warning [wind: 60 MPH, hail: 0.88 IN] for Jackson, Union [IL] till 6:15 PM CDT

Also, NWS said this

We issued a large FFW from SE MO into S IL to cover the training thunderstorm flooding threat. Radar is indicating several locations in this area near or above flash flood warning guidance.  Also, I issued a flash flood warning for Pike County, IN, due to training thunderstorms in the southern part of the county. The area near Petersburg had heavy rain earlier today and am worried about any additional rain causing flooding to develop quickly.

5:22 PM

Memphis, TN, NWS issues Severe Thunderstorm Warning [wind: 60 MPH, hail: 1.00 IN] for Lake [TN] and Pemiscot [MO] till 5:45 PM CDT

Hail likely near Hayti, MO at this time
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5:15 PM

Paducah, KY, NWS issues Flash Flood Warning for Bollinger, Butler, Cape Girardeau, Wayne [MO] and Franklin, Jackson, Jefferson, Union, Wayne [IL] till 8:00 PM CDT

Local Storm Report by NWS PAH: 3 WSW Waltonville [Jefferson Co, IL] trained spotter reports HAIL of quarter size (E1.00 INCH) at 04:58 PM CDT -- dime to quarter size hail.

Local Storm Report by NWS PAH: Rombauer [Butler Co, MO] trained spotter reports TSTM WND GST of E60 MPH at 05:04 PM CDT

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5:12 PM

The Missouri Bootheel storms are intense. They could produce wind damage and very heavy rain. They are moving north and northeast.

These may impact NW TN and SW KY.

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4:55 PM

You can see the explosive thunderstorm development over the last few hours.

That is what happens when you have 3000+ CAPE.

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4:45 PM

Dunklin, New Madrid, Pemiscot, Fulton, Lake, and Obion Counties.
Storms over the coming hours could produce sporadic quarter size hail, pockets of 55 mph wind, frequent lightning, and torrential downpours. Be weather aware.

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4:41 PM

Special flash flood statement from the WPC

Click all images to enlarge them.

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4:40 PM

The storms, thus far, have stayed out of TN and KY.  That should change over the coming hours and some of the storms will move into these areas, as well.

Storms are going to remain intense for several more hours.

Flash flooding is a concern where storms train over the same areas.

 

4:39 PM

Local Storm Report by NWS Paducah: Cobden, IL [Union Co, IL] law enforcement reports TSTM WND DMG at 04:16 PM CDT -- trees down on power lines. time estimated.

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4:37 PM

Stoddard County, Missouri.
Storms approaching from Butler could produce pockets of quarter size hail, 55 mph wind, lightning, and torrential rain could flood some roadways. Be weather aware.

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4:33 PM

Local Storm Report by NWS PAH: 1 N De Soto [Jackson Co, IL] trained spotter reports TSTM WND DMG at 04:10 PM CDT -- large tree snapped. time estimated by radar.

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4:30 PM

Union & Henderson Counties. Storms over the coming hours could produce sporadic quarter size hail, pockets of 55 mph wind, frequent lightning, and torrential downpours. Be weather aware.

Jefferson, Franklin, and Hamilton. Storms over the coming hours could produce sporadic quarter size hail, pockets of 55 mph wind, frequent lightning, and torrential downpours. Be weather aware.

Saline, White, and Gallatin. Storms over the coming hours could produce sporadic quarter size hail, pockets of 55 mph wind, frequent lightning, and torrential downpours. Be weather aware.

Johnson, Pope, and Hardin. Storms over the coming hours could produce sporadic quarter size hail, pockets of 55 mph wind, frequent lightning, and torrential downpours. Be weather aware.

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4:25 PM

Local Storm Report by NWS Paducah: 3 miles SSW De Soto, IL [Jackson Co, IL] asos reports thunderstorm wind gust of 55 MPH at 04:14 PM CDT -- measured

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4:12 PM

Perry County, MO, Bollinger, Cape Girardeau County.

Storms are spreading NE at 20 mph. Storms over the coming one to two hours could produce sporadic hail and wind damage. Very heavy rain could flood some roads. Lightning.

Radars are rapidly lighting up.  Check them to track each storm.

These storms are slow movers and could flood roadways.

Torrential rain is occurring with the thunderstorms.

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4:08 PM

Union County, IL. Intense storms are scattered throughout the county. Some could produce quarter size hail and isolated wind damage. Torrential rain/lightning. Moving NE at 20 mph.
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4:05 PM

The atmosphere remains very unstable.   Storms continue to form and increase in intensity.  Many of them are producing frequent cloud to ground lightning, torrential rain, hail, and high winds.  Be weather aware.

NE Jackson, SW Franklin, extreme NW Williamson.

An intense small cell near De Soto moving NE at 25. Hail and high wind likely. Torrential rain.

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3:55 PM

SPC special weather statement.

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3:53 PM

Bollinger County. Intense storms are moving out of NE Wayne County, MO. These storms could produce hail and damaging wind/very heavy rain. Central and southern Bollinger County will be in the path.

Live radar
http://weatherobservatory.com/radar_cape.htm

Here is a radar shot

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3:49 PM

Multiple storms in Butler County. Storms could produce hail, torrential rain, and isolated damaging wind. Movement NE at 20 mph.

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3:46 PM

Radar
http://weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm

Storms continue to rapidly form in a very unstable atmosphere.

Wind shear is lacking but most other severe weather ingredients are there.

Some of these are supercell thunderstorms.   The one cell in southeast Missouri has produced hail.  The one northwest of Poplar Bluff.

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3:31 PM

A significant weather advisory is below severe levels.

Sorry for the NWS caps.

SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WESTERN WAYNE AND SOUTHEASTERN JEFFERSON COUNTIES UNTIL 415 PM CDT for Jefferson, Wayne [IL] till 4:15 PM CDT

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3:38 PM

2 miles south of Hunter, Missouri [Carter Co, MO] public reports HAIL of quarter size (E1.00 INCH) at 03:23 PM CDT

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3:20 PM

Storms are rapidly developing over the area.

http://weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm

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3:00 PM

3 PM NW Butler County.
Monitor incoming storm. The storm could produce hail and high winds. Moving in from the Grandin, MO area. Movement E NE at 20.

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2:56 PM

Severe Thunderstorm Warning [wind: 70 MPH, hail: 1.25 IN] for Carter, Ripley [MO] till 3:45 PM CDT

https://talk.weathertalk.com/county-maps/

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2:23 PM

This storm west of Butler County, Missouri, may become severe.

Hail and wind are the concern.  Heavy rain and lightning.

The storm is moving east/northeast at 25 mph.

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2:10 PM

Severe thunderstorm watch

Counties included https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/wou0388.html

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2:00 PM

Storms are beginning to form.

Radar Link: Interactive local city-view radars & regional radars.

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2:00 PM

The Storm Prediction Center will likely issue a severe thunderstorm watch for some of my forecast counties.

They outlined the blue zone.  That does not mean that is exactly where the watch will be issued.

Monitor updates.

 

11:40 AM

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Numerous parameters are now in place for severe thunderstorms.

CAPE is a measure of instability.  Storms feed off CAPE (in layman terms).

We are now near 4000 CAPE.  That is high.  Lift index -9.  Lapse rates of -7.  These are all ingredients for severe thunderstorms.

The one missing ingredient is wind shear.  Wind shear is in the 20 to 30-knot range.  Not all that high.

Thunderstorms should increase over the coming hours.

I am concerned about isolated flash flooding if storms train over some counties.  This is a concern because PWAT values are 1.8".  That is high.

Lapse rates are around seven.

That is how fast it cools as you move aloft.  That is a decent number.  Hail could occur in some storms.

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Mid-level lapse rates are around 7 to 7.5.

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Last nights storm complex in Kansas and southwest Missouri.

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That has left boundaries moving into our area.  I circled what is left of that mess.  Part of what is over us right now is also related.

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Visible satellite shows boundaries.

These boundaries are moving east.

Boundaries are where new storms usually form.  Boundaries are created by dying storms.

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PWAT values are very high.  That means the atmosphere is super-saturated.

Heavy rain is in the end result.

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CAPE values are high.  They are above 4000 over many of my forecast counties.

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Lift index is low.  It is -8 to -9.  Those are big numbers.  That is an indicator of an unstable atmosphere.

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11:15 AM

Let me show you some future-cast radar images from a variety of computer models.  Computer models struggle with this type of set-up.

Keep in mind, this is a model.  Models are not perfect.

This is one of the high-resolution models.

Click to enlarge these animations.

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10:00 AM

Good morning, everyone.

Do me a quick favor, please.  We have several hundred accounts that have expired credit cards.

Can you check your account?

Check it by signing in to your WeatherTalk account at www.weathertalk.com and then if you see a yellow bar that says free account then you need to update your payment information.  PayPal / credit card.

Click the My Account tab and then the yellow button that says Update Payment Info.

We have a greater risk of severe thunderstorms today.

I know the pattern has been a bit crazy lately.  It has been difficult to pinpoint who will receive severe storms.

The chance is higher today.

I will keep this thread going today and not start a new one.

The main concern today will be heavy rain, high winds, and hail.  Flash flooding is a concern if thunderstorms train in the same area.

Yesterday, portions of Kansas, Missouri, Illinois, and Indiana received two to four inches of rain with pockets greater than five inches.

The atmosphere is super-saturated.  Any storms that form will produce gully washers.

 

3:15 AM

SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN WAYNE, NORTHERN WABASH, NORTHERN JEFFERSON AND NORTHERN EDWARDS COUNTIES UNTIL 400 AM CDT for Edwards, Jefferson, Wabash, Wayne [IL] till 4:00 AM CDT

Radar

Main concern is very heavy rain and strong winds.

http://weatherobservatory.com/radar_mtver.htm

1:35 AM

Thunderstorms are training over the same area.

So far, mostly outside my forecast area.

They are, however moving southward.

WPC has just issued a statement.

Here it is.

The area inside the blue squiggly zone if the area of flash flood risk.  That extends from Poplar Bluff, Missouri, northeast towards Carbondale, Illinois

 

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1:10 AM

Storms are reforming along a boundary.  These storms are training over the same area and producing extremely heavy rain.

The main concern continues to be our northern counties over the coming hours.

Flash flooding will occur if storms train.

You can see on these two radar images where the storms are reforming.

Live radars

Radar Link: Interactive local city-view radars & regional radars.

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9:05 PM

The squall line has formed to our northwest. How far south it travels will need to be monitored.

Northern counties of SE MO and northern parts of southern IL will have the best chance of intense storms late tonight.

Then, areas to the south will need to be monitored.

You can see the severe thunderstorm watch to our northwest.

The line of storms is moving south/southeast.

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5:54 PM

PAH cancels Tornado Watch for Edwards, Wabash, Wayne [IL] and Gibson, Pike [IN]

4:35 PM

Nothing new to report.

Storms are forming but they are struggling.  Updrafts are not maintaining themselves.

I continue to monitor radars and will update if storms start to increase in intensity.

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3:40 PM

The line of storms late tonight could be severe over parts of southeast Missouri and southern Illinois.  Northern parts.

I am not confident that this line will survive all the way into west Kentucky and northwest Tennessee.

I am more confidence about southeast Missouri and southern Illinois (esp northern counties).

Here is the NAM 3K 4 AM future-cast radar

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3:35 PM

I just sent this message to the apps.

Click to enlarge.

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3:20 PM

This is the new area of concern now as the system continues to move east.

I have shifted the area further south, as well.  Confidence in severe weather is rather low for KY and TN.  Not that great either for IL.

For now, it is a monitor situation.

These clouds are part of an old thunderstorm complex.  This may help new thunderstorms form.

Some could be severe.

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A new storm has formed in southern Johnson County.  I am watching it.

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Severe Weather Ingredients.

SPC severe weather parameters indicate there is enough CAPE over western Kentucky and southern Illinois for some concerns.

There are some negatives, as well.

Wind shear will be weakening tonight.  There are some other negative factors, as well.

This leads to lower than normal confidence as to how this unfolds over the next few hours.

Thunderstorms are possible.  If so, they could produce high winds and hail.  Isolated tornado risk.

CAPE (energy for storms) has risen into the 2000 range.  That is high enough for concern.

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Wind shear is one ingredient for severe thunderstorms.

Wind shear of 30, 40. or 50 knots is certainly enough for concern.

You can see we have those numbers locally.

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Enhanced EHI numbers are spiking over our northern counties into Indiana.  That is an indicator of tornado potential.

You can see the numbers of our northern counties.  Most of the storms, thus far, however, are further east and northeast.

Remember, we also have the Iowa complex to deal with later tonight.  A squall line will push southward into our region.  Heavy rain and strong winds are possible with it.  This is especially true over northern portions of southeast Missouri and northern portions of southern Illinois.

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Here is what the Paducah, Kentucky, NWS office is monitoring.  I am doing the same.

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3:15 PM

Tornado watch for our far northeastern counties.

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Commentary

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Counties

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1:22 PM

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1:05 PM

The Storm Prediction Center says there is a 40% chance of a watch being issued in this orange outline area.

Now, they have come pretty far south with their circle.  We will see how it goes.

I am thinking that this is more of a MO/IL event.

With that said, they have outlined a larger area.  Thus, let's keep a close eye on it.

Here is their technical discussion concerning the atmospheric set-up.

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Saturday
12:30 PM

I will update periodically throughout the day.  If severe storms form, of course, I will update frequently and send out app updates.

Please use the app.  Do not rely on the texts.  The app receives my hand-typed messages instantly.  Use the app.  Scroll down to see where to find the app in the app store.  It is under Beau Dodson Weather.

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Good afternoon, everyone.

First, happy Father's Day to all of the dads out there!  I hope you have a great weekend.

It appears that we are going to have some active weather over the coming 48 hours (and perhaps beyond).

We have a lake wind advisory today.  Gusty south and southwest winds could cause some issues for boaters.  Use care, as always.

Let's take a look at the Storm Prediction Center's severe weather outlook.

Today and tonight's outlook:

Light green is where thunderstorms may occur but should be below severe levels.

Dark green is a level one risk.  Yellow is a level two risk.  Orange is a level three (enhanced) risk.  Red is a level four (moderate) risk.  Pink is a level five (high) risk.

One is the lowest risk.  Five is the highest risk.

Light green is not assigned a number.  Light green is where storms may occur but should be below severe levels.

A severe storm is one that produces 60 mph winds or higher, quarter size hail, and/or a tornado.  One or more of those is defined as a severe thunderstorm.

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The black outline is our local area.

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We had a line of storms push through southeast Missouri and southern Illinois earlier this morning.  The placement was just about right where they were expected.

Some of the storms produced heavy rain, pea size hail, 35 mph winds, and lightning.

As of this writing, we have a band of light showers moving across southeast Missouri.  A few thunderstorms over the northern portions of southern Illinois, as well.  These are tracking towards the east and northeast at 30 to 40 mph.

I do not have any severe weather concerns over the next couple of hours.

Concerns will increase later this afternoon and overnight.

Right now, an MCV is tracking across Missouri.  This MCV will help focus new thunderstorm develop across portions of Missouri and Illinois later today.

The main concern between now and 6 PM will likely be from Poplar Bluff,  Missouri, towards Cape Girardeau, Missouri, and then northwest towards Marion, Illinois, and then towards Evansville, Indiana.

I outlined the area in yellow.  This is where I believe there could be some intense storms this afternoon.

The Storm Prediction Center outline above (where you see yellow) is mostly for the squall line tonight.

Here is what one model shows.

Storms form in SE MO and SW IL and then move E/NE.

Some of these could be supercells.

Areas south and southeast of that line should monitor updates, as well.

Click images to enlarge them.

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Then, a squall line (line of intense storms) will push across northern Missouri and Central Illinois tonight.  This near solid line of heavy thunderstorms will move southward into our region.

Very heavy rain will occur with this line of thunderstorms.  Flash flooding will be a concern where thunderstorms train over the same area.

Tonight, I am mainly concerned about the northern half of southeast Missouri, much of southern Illinois, and northwest Kentucky (near the Indiana border).

Whether this line of thunderstorms makes it all the way into southern portions of southeast Missouri, western Kentucky and northwest Tennessee will need to be monitored.

The storms will weaken early tomorrow morning.  It is possible they almost completely dissipate.  Then, they will leave a boundary for tomorrow.  Boundaries are where new storms will form.

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Severe Weather Concerns:

Some of the thunderstorms this afternoon and tonight will produce large hail, damaging wind, very heavy rain, frequent lightning, and even an isolated tornado.

Your storm tracking tools can be found above and then scroll down for additional links.

I will post updates, as necessary.  The newest update will be posted at the top of this page.

Heavy Rain Concerns:

The atmosphere is saturated.  If thunderstorms train (repeatedly move over the same area) then extremely heavy rain will occur.  Historically, patterns like this have produced very localized extreme rain totals.  Extreme meaning two to four inches (or more)  of rain in a 1 to 3 hour period of time.

Will that happen this time?  There is no way of knowing that.  Monitor updates.

Here is the WPC excessive rainfall outlook.

What does this mean?  WPC issues these maps (NOAA).

They paint where thunderstorms could cause flash flooding.  The yellow zone is the higher risk area.

This is for today and tonight.

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Future-cast Radars:

Let me show you some future-cast radar images from a variety of computer models.  Computer models struggle with this type of set-up.

Keep in mind, this is a model.  Models are not perfect.

This is one of the high-resolution models.

Notice the storms tonight form in a line and then die off.

This is in Zulu time.  00z is 7 PM.  03z is 10 PM.  06z is 1 AM.

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WRF model guidance.  This is a high-resolution model.

It usually does well with storms.

Time-stamp upper left.

Click all of these to enlarge them.

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NAM 3K model.  This is a messy future-cast radar.

Storms form then die off.  New storms form from boundaries.

Have a plan B this weekend.  Just in case it storms on your event.

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PWAT values are going to be high.  This is a signal for heavy rain.

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Look at this incredible feed of moisture from the Gulf of Mexico, Carribean, and the Atlantic Ocean.

I am impressed by this feed.  Large PWAT numbers.

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Dew points are what make it feel muggy outside.

These are muggy dew points.  Air you wear, as Jim Rasor says.

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Saturday AM video update from the video team (BAMwx).

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Not receiving app/text messages?

Make sure you have the correct app/text options turned on.  Find those under the personal notification settings tab at www.weathertalk.comRed is off.  Green is on.

Subscribers, PLEASE USE THE APP.  ATT and Verizon are not reliable during severe weather.  They are delaying text messages.

The app is under Beau Dodson Weather in the app store.

Apple users click here

Android users click here

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Click here

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Today's outlook (below).

Light green is where thunderstorms may occur but should be below severe levels.

Dark green is a level one risk.  Yellow is a level two risk.  Orange is a level three (enhanced) risk.  Red is a level four (moderate) risk.  Pink is a level five (high) risk.

One is the lowest risk.  Five is the highest risk.

Light green is not assigned a number.  Light green is where storms may occur but should be below severe levels.

A severe storm is one that produces 60 mph winds or higher, quarter size hail, and/or a tornado.  One or more of those is defined as a severe thunderstorm.

The black outline is our local area.

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Tomorrow's outlook.

Light green is where thunderstorms may occur but should be below severe levels.

Dark green is a level one risk.  Yellow is a level two risk.  Orange is a level three (enhanced) risk.  Red is a level four (moderate) risk.  Pink is a level five (high) risk.

One is the lowest risk.  Five is the highest risk.  Light green is not assigned a number.

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Here is the latest graphic from the WPC/NOAA.

24-hour precipitation outlook.
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48-hour precipitation outlook.
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72-hour precipitation outlook.
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Days one through seven added together.  Seven-day rainfall totals.

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Radar Link: Interactive local city-view radars & regional radars.

You will find clickable warning and advisory buttons on the local city-view radars.

If the radar is not updating then try another one. If a radar does not appear to be refreshing then hit Ctrl F5.  You may also try restarting your browser.

Not working?  Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com

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National map of weather watches and warnings. Click here.

Storm Prediction Center. Click here.

Weather Prediction Center. Click here.

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Live lightning data: Click here.

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Interactive GOES R satellite. Track clouds. Click here.

GOES 16 slider tool.  Click here.

College of Dupage satellites.  Click here

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Here are the latest local river stage forecast numbers Click Here.

Here are the latest lake stage forecast numbers for Kentucky Lake and Lake Barkley Click Here.

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Did you know that you can find me on Twitter?  Click here to view my Twitter weather account.

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Who do you trust for your weather information and who holds them accountable?

I have studied the weather in our region since the late 1970s.  I have 40 years of experience in observing our regions weather patterns.

My degree is in Broadcast Meteorology from Mississippi State University and a Bachelor of Science (BS).

I am an NOAA Weather-Ready Nation Ambassador.  I am the Meteorologist for McCracken County rescue squad.  When asked, I assist Ballard and Massac Counties, as well.

I own and operate the Southern Illinois Weather Observatory  and WeatherTalk LLC.

There is a lot of noise on the internet.  Over time you should learn who to trust for your weather information.

My forecast philosophy is simple and straight forward.

  • Communicate in simple terms
  • To be as accurate as possible within a reasonable time frame before an event
  • Interact with you on Twitter, Facebook, and the blog
  • Minimize the “hype” that you might see on television or through other weather sources
  • Push you towards utilizing wall-to-wall LOCAL TV coverage during severe weather events

I am a recipient of the Mark Trail Award, WPSD Six Who Make A Difference Award, Kentucky Colonel, and the Caesar J. Fiamma” Award from the American Red Cross.

In 2009 I was presented with the Kentucky Office of Highway Safety Award.

I was recognized by the Kentucky House of Representatives for my service to the State of Kentucky leading up to several winter storms and severe weather outbreaks.

If you click on the image below you can read the Kentucky House of Representatives Resolution.

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Link to their website https://weatherbrains.com/

Previous episodes can be viewed by clicking here.

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Find Beau on Twitter!   Share your weather photos!  @beaudodson

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Did you know that a portion of your monthly subscription helps support local charity projects? Not a subscriber? Becoming one at www.weathertalk.com

You can learn more about those projects by visiting the Shadow Angel Foundation website and the Beau Dodson News website.