.
A Weather Talk subscription ($3 a month) is required to view the videos. This helps cover monthly costs (which can run between one and two thousand dollars).
Videos are posted on the www.weathertalk.com website. Once there, click the Beau Video-Cast tab. Long Range Video Update
If you believe you missed a video then you may check the LIVE FEED link on the Weather Talk website. You will find an archive of videos on that page.
You can also receive the videos via your Weather Talk app/text messages. Turn text option FOUR to the on position. The Weather Extra text option. Sign up for the app/text messages, videos, and more at www.beaudodsonweather.com
Your $3 a month helps cover the following monthly costs. These are my out of pocket expenses.
This forecast covers the counties in red. The counties in orange are covered by the forecast discussion further down in the blog.
November 26, 2017
Sunday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast: Mostly clear. Cool.
Temperatures: MO ~ 36 to 42 IL ~ 35 to 40 KY ~ 35 to 40
Wind chill values: 34 to 36
Accumulating snow or ice: No
Winds: South and southwest at 3 to 6 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? None
My confidence in the forecast verifying: High
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Is freezing rain, sleet, or snow expected? No
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 0% IL ~ 0% KY ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation: None
Should I cancel my outdoor plans: No
.
November 27, 2017
Monday Forecast Details
Forecast: Mostly sunny. Mild. A few passing clouds.
Temperatures: MO ~ 65 to 70 IL ~ 65 to 68 KY ~ 65 to 68
Wind chill values: N/A
Accumulating snow or ice: No
Winds: South and southwest at 5 to 10 mph during the morning increasing to 8 to 16 mph in the afternoon.
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? None.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: High
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Is freezing rain, sleet, or snow expected? No
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 0% IL ~ 0% KY ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation: None
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
.
Monday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast: Clear. Not as cold.
Temperatures: MO ~ 38 to 44 IL ~ 38 to 44 KY ~ 38 to 44
Wind chill values: N/A
Accumulating snow or ice: No
Winds: South and southwest at 7 to 14 mph with gusts to 20 mph late (esp over MO/IL)
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? None
My confidence in the forecast verifying: High
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Is freezing rain, sleet, or snow expected? No
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 0% IL ~ 0% KY ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation: None
Should I cancel my outdoor plans: No
.
November 28, 2017
Tuesday Forecast Details
Forecast: Mostly sunny with a few passing clouds. Breezy, at times. Mild with well above normal temperatures.
Temperatures: MO ~ 65 to 70 IL ~ 65 to 68 KY ~ 65 to 68
Wind chill values: N/A
Accumulating snow or ice: No
Winds: South and southwest at 7 to 14 mph with gusts to 25 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? None.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: High
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Is freezing rain, sleet, or snow expected? No
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 0% IL ~ 0% KY ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation: None
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
.
Tuesday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast: Mostly clear early. Perhaps a few clouds late.
Temperatures: MO ~ 40 to 45 IL ~ 40 to 45 KY ~ 40 to 45
Wind chill values: N/A
Accumulating snow or ice: No
Winds: South and southwest at 5 to 10 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? None.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Is freezing rain, sleet, or snow expected? No
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 20% IL ~ 10% KY ~ 10%
Coverage of precipitation: None to isolated
Should I cancel my outdoor plans: No
.
November 29, 2017
Wednesday Forecast Details
Forecast: Mostly sunny with some occasional clouds. Mild. Isolated showers possible in the afternoon.
Temperatures: MO ~ 60 to 64 IL ~ 58 to 64 KY ~ 60 to 64
Wind chill values: N/A
Accumulating snow or ice: No
Winds: South and southwest at 5 to 10 mph with gusts to 12 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Isolated wet roadways after 3 pm.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Is freezing rain, sleet, or snow expected? No
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 30% IL ~ 30% KY ~ 30%
Coverage of precipitation: Isolated
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Monitor updates
.
Wednesday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast: Becoming cloudy. Cool. Widely scattered showers.
Temperatures: MO ~ 45 to 48 IL ~ 44 to 48 KY ~ 44 to 48
Wind chill values: N/A
Accumulating snow or ice: No
Winds: South and southeast winds at 6 to 12 mph with gusts to 15 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways are possible
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Is freezing rain, sleet, or snow expected? No
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 40% IL ~ 40% KY ~ 40%
Coverage of precipitation: Widely scattered
Should I cancel my outdoor plans: Monitor updates
.
November 30, 2017
Thursday Forecast Details
Forecast: Partly to mostly cloudy. Scattered rain showers possible.
Temperatures: MO ~ 56 to 62 IL ~ 56 to 60 KY ~ 56 to 62
Wind chill values: N/A
Accumulating snow or ice: No
Winds: South and southwest winds becoming west and northwest at 5 to 10 mph with gusts to 20 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Is freezing rain, sleet, or snow expected? No
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 50% IL ~ 50% KY ~ 50%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Monitor updates
.
Thursday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast: Showers ending. Clouds clearing. Cooler.
Temperatures: MO ~ 30 to 35 IL ~ 28 to 34 KY ~ 30 to 35
Wind chill values: N/A
Accumulating snow or ice: No
Winds: North at 6 to 12 mph with gusts to 20 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways are possible early (rain may have ended by Thursday night)
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Is freezing rain, sleet, or snow expected? No
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 20% IL ~ 20% KY ~ 20%
Coverage of precipitation: Ending
Should I cancel my outdoor plans: No
.
December 1, 2017
Friday Forecast Details
Forecast: Mostly sunny. Cool.
Temperatures: MO ~ 50 to 55 IL ~ 50 to 55 KY ~ 50 to 55
Wind chill values: N/A
Accumulating snow or ice: No
Winds: Variable at 5 to 10 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? None
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Is freezing rain, sleet, or snow expected? No
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 0% IL ~ 0% KY ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation: None
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
.
Friday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast: Mostly clear and chilly.
Temperatures: MO ~ 28 to 34 IL ~ 28 to 34 KY ~ 30 to 35
Wind chill values: N/A
Accumulating snow or ice: No
Winds: North at 5 to 10 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? None
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Is freezing rain, sleet, or snow expected? No
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 0% IL ~ 0% KY ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation: None
Should I cancel my outdoor plans: No
.
December 2, 2017
Saturday Forecast Details
Forecast: Partly to mostly sunny.
Temperatures: MO ~ 54 to 58 IL ~ 54 to 58 KY ~ 54 to 58
Wind chill values: N/A
Accumulating snow or ice: No
Winds: Southwest at 5 to 10 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? None
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Is freezing rain, sleet, or snow expected? No
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 10% IL ~ 10% KY ~ 10%
Coverage of precipitation: None
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
.
Saturday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast: Mostly clear and cool.
Temperatures: MO ~ 35 to 40 IL ~ 35 to 40 KY ~ 35 to 40
Wind chill values: N/A
Accumulating snow or ice: No
Winds: Southwest at 4 to 8 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Is freezing rain, sleet, or snow expected? No
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 0% IL ~ 0% KY ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Should I cancel my outdoor plans: No
.
December 3, 2017
Sunday Forecast Details
Forecast: Mostly sunny. Warmer.
Temperatures: MO ~ 58 to 62 IL ~ 58 to 62 KY ~ 58 to 62
Wind chill values: N/A
Accumulating snow or ice: No
Winds: South and southwest at 7 to 14 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? None
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Is freezing rain, sleet, or snow expected? No
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 0% IL ~ 0% KY ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
.
Sunday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast: Partly cloudy and cool.
Temperatures: MO ~ 40 to 45 IL ~ 40 to 45 KY ~ 40 to 45
Wind chill values: N/A
Accumulating snow or ice: No
Winds: Southwest at 6 to 12 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? None
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Is freezing rain, sleet, or snow expected? No
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 0% IL ~ 0% KY ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation: None
Should I cancel my outdoor plans: No
.
.
Monday through Sunday: Accumulating snow or ice is not anticipated.
.
The National Weather Service definition of a severe thunderstorm is one that produces quarter size hail or larger, 58 mph winds or greater, and/or a tornado.
Monday through Sunday: No severe weather.
.
Weather Highlights:
.
Our quiet weather is going to continue for a few more days. I hope you are able to enjoy it!
Well above normal temperatures can be expected on both Monday and Tuesday. Highs will range from 65 to 68 degrees. It will feel nice outside.
This will be ten to fifteen+ degrees above normal.
Our next storm system will begin to take shape on Wednesday. A few showers might spread into the region on Wednesday afternoon, but it appears the bulk of the rain will arrive late Wednesday night into Thursday. This is not a wash-out event, by any means.
Rainfall totals are anticipated to be on the light side. You can expect 0.10″ to 0.30″. Thunderstorms appear unlikely.
Here is my forecast for rainfall totals. This graphic shows you the % chance of X amount of rain falling at your location.
.
.
Here is the GFS rainfall total forecast for the mid-week event.
.
.
Canadian model forecast for rainfall totals (this is for WED through THU).
.
.
No threat for snow or ice. No threat for severe thunderstorms through this coming weekend.
I am monitoring a system around December 5th. Perhaps colder air will follow that event.
The GFS has been showing an event around December 5th for a long time. Did it sniff something out in the long range? We shall see.
This is the GFS surface map depiction for December 5th at 12 pm. It shows rain across our region. Some heavy rain back in Missouri and Arkansas. Long way out. Plenty of time to monitor this one.
.
.
I am monitoring mid-December for additional cold shots and precipitation.
.
The EC guidance shows sharply colder air as we move into the second week of December. We shall see.
.
Meteorological winter begins December 1st.
.
.
Are you subscribing to Weather Talk app/text messages and videos? This is what helps support all of the data you see each day.
We now offer premium videos for the short and long-range forecasts! These videos are produced by a team of long-range forecast experts. They are brought to you as bonus information. Activate text option four in order to receive these on your app or via text.
Subscribe at www.beaudodsonweather.com
We offer an Apple and Android app (scroll to the bottom of this page for more information).
Were you aware that I hired a team of meteorologists for long range videos?
To learn more, click this link
http://cms.weathertalk.com/meet-the-team/
.
We offer regional radars and local city radars – if a radar does not update then try another one. Occasional browsers need their cache cleared. You may also try restarting your browser. This will usually fix any problems.
During the winter you can track snow and ice by clicking the winterize button on the local city view interactive radars.
You may email me at beaudodson@usawx.com
Interactive Weather Radar Page. Choose the city nearest your location: Click this link
National interactive radar: Click this link.
The Beau Dodson Weather APP is ready for Apple and Android users. The app provides a faster way for you to receive my text messages. ATT and Verizon are not always reliable when it comes to speed.
Some of you have asked if you can receive the texts on your phone and the app. The answer to that is, yes. The Android app will automatically allow that to happen. On the Apple app, however, you will need to open your app and click the settings button. Make sure the green tab is OFF. Off means you will still receive the texts to your phone and the app. If you have any questions, then email me at beaudodson@usawx.com
The app is for text subscribers.
The direct download, for the Apple app, can be viewed here
https://itunes.apple.com/us/app/id1190136514
Here is the download link for the Android version Click Here
If you have not signed up for the texting service then you may do so at www.beaudodsonweather.com
——————————————————–
Your support helps with the following:
and
.
Whom do you trust for your weather information?
I have studied weather, in our region, since the late 1970’s. I have 40 years of experience in observing our regions weather patterns. My degree is in Broadcast Meteorology and a Bachelor’s of Science.
My resume includes:
Member of the American Meteorological Society.
NOAA Weather-Ready Nation Ambassador.
Meteorologist for McCracken County Emergency Management. I served from 2005 through 2015.
Meteorologist for McCracken County Rescue. 2015 through current
I own and operate the Southern Illinois Weather Observatory.
I am the chief meteorologist for Weather Talk LLC.
I am also a business owner in western Kentucky.
Recipient of the Mark Trail Award, WPSD Six Who Make A Difference Award, Kentucky Colonel, and the Caesar J. Fiamma” Award from the American Red Cross.
In 2005, I helped open the largest American Cross shelter in U.S. history. This was in Houston, Texas. I was deployed to help with the aftermath of Hurricane Katrina and Hurricane Rita. I was a shelter manager of one of the Houston, Texas shelter divisions.
In 2009 I was presented with the Kentucky Office of Highway Safety Award.
Recognized by the Kentucky House of Representatives for my service to the State of Kentucky leading up to several winter storms and severe weather outbreaks.
If you click on the image below you can read the Kentucky House of Representatives Resolution.
I am President of the Shadow Angel Foundation which serves portions of western Kentucky and southern Illinois.
There is a lot of noise on the internet. A lot of weather maps are posted without explanation. You need a trusted source for information.
My forecast philosophy is simple and straight forward.
- Communicate in simple terms
- To be as accurate as possible within a reasonable time frame before an event
- Interact with you on Twitter, Facebook, email, texts, and this blog
- Minimize the “hype” that you might see through other weather sources
- Push you towards utilizing wall-to-wall LOCAL TV coverage during severe weather events
Sign up for my AWARE email by clicking here.
I typically send AWARE emails before severe weather, winter storms, or other active weather situations. I do not email watches or warnings. The emails are a basic “heads up” concerning incoming weather conditions
