June 29, 2018: Non-subscriber update. Hot.

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June 29, 2018
Friday Forecast Details
Excessive Heat into next week. Use care.
Forecast: Mostly sunny. A few clouds. Hot and humid. Isolated to widely scattered intense storms. Heat index above 105.
Temperatures: MO ~ 93 to 96 IL ~ 93 to 96 KY ~ 93 to 96 TN ~ 93 to 96
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 30% IL ~ 30% KY ~ 30% TN ~ 30%
Coverage of precipitation: None to isolated
Winds: Southwest 7 to 14 mph with gusts to 18 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? High heat index values could cause problems for young children, senior citizens, and those working outside.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: High
Is severe weather expected? Summer thunderstorms can occasionally produce pockets of high winds and hail.
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index: 9 to 10 Very high
Sunrise: 5:37 AM

Friday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast: Mostly clear. Warm and muggy. A thunderstorm possible.
Temperatures: MO ~ 72 to 76 IL ~ 72 to 76 KY ~ 72 to 76 TN ~ 72 to 76
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 20% IL ~ 20% KY ~ 30% TN ~ 20%
Coverage of precipitation: Isolated to widely scattered.
Winds: South and southwest at 7 to 14 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roads. Lightning. Gusty wind near storms.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: High
Is severe weather expected? Summer thunderstorms can occasionally produce pockets of high winds and hail.
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Sunset: 8:19 PM
Moonrise: 9:30 PM Waning Gibbous
Moonset: 6:51 AM

June 30, 2018
Saturday Forecast Details
Forecast: Mostly sunny. A few clouds. Hot and muggy. Isolated thunderstorms possible. Heat index above 100.
Temperatures: MO ~ 93 to 96 IL ~ 93 to 96 KY ~ 93 to 96 TN ~ 93 to 96
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 20% IL ~ 20% KY ~ 20% TN ~ 20%
Coverage of precipitation: None to isolated
Winds: South and southwest at 7 to 14 mph with gusts to 18
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? High heat index values could cause problems for young children, senior citizens, and those working outside. Summer thunderstorms can produce torrential downpours, gusty winds, and small hail. Frequent cloud to ground lightning, as well.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: High
Is severe weather expected? Summer thunderstorms can occasionally produce pockets of high winds and hail.
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index: 9 to 10 Very high
Sunrise: 5:37 AM

Saturday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast: Mostly clear. A few clouds. Warm and muggy.
Temperatures: MO ~ 72 to 76 IL ~ 72 to 76 KY ~ 72 to 76 TN ~ 72 to 76
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 20% IL ~ 20% KY ~ 20% TN ~ 20%
Coverage of precipitation: None to isolated
Winds: South and southwest at 7 to 14 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Isolated wet roadways. Summer thunderstorms can produce torrential downpours, gusty winds, and small hail. Frequent cloud to ground lightning, as well.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: High
Is severe weather expected? Summer thunderstorms can occasionally produce pockets of high winds and hail.
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Sunset: 8:19 PM
Moonrise: 10:10 PM Waning Gibbous
Moonset: 7:44 AM

July 1, 2018
Sunday Forecast Details
Forecast: Partly cloudy and hot. Humid. Isolated to perhaps scattered thunderstorms possible. Heat index above 100.
Temperatures: MO ~ 92 to 96 IL ~ 92 to 96 KY ~ 92 to 96 TN ~ 92 to 96
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 30% IL ~ 30% KY ~ 30% TN ~ 30%
Coverage of precipitation: Isolated to perhaps scattered
Winds: South and southwest at 7 to 14 mph with gusts to 18
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? High heat index values could cause problems for young children, senior citizens, and those working outside. Summer thunderstorms can produce torrential downpours, gusty winds, and small hail. Frequent cloud to ground lightning, as well.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium
Is severe weather expected? Summer thunderstorms can occasionally produce pockets of high winds and hail.
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index: 9 to 10 Very high
Sunrise: 5:38 AM

Sunday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast: Partly cloudy. Scattered thunderstorms. Warm and muggy.
Temperatures: MO ~ 72 to 76 IL ~ 72 to 76 KY ~ 72 to 76 TN ~ 72 to 76
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 40% IL ~ 40% KY ~ 40% TN ~ 40%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
Winds: South and southwest at 7 to 14 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Scattered wet roadways. Summer thunderstorms can produce torrential downpours, gusty winds, and small hail. Frequent cloud to ground lightning, as well.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium
Is severe weather expected? Summer thunderstorms can occasionally produce pockets of high winds and hail.
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Sunset: 8:19 PM
Moonrise: 10:47 PM Waning Gibbous
Moonset: 8:38 AM

July 2, 2018
Monday Forecast Details
Forecast: Partly cloudy. Scattered thunderstorms. Hot and muggy.
Temperatures: MO ~ 92 to 96 IL ~ 92 to 96 KY ~ 92 to 96 TN ~ 92 to 96
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 40% IL ~ 40% KY ~ 40% TN ~ 40%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
Winds: South and southwest at 7 to 14 mph with gusts to 18
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? High heat index values could cause problems for young children, senior citizens, and those working outside. Summer thunderstorms can produce torrential downpours, gusty winds, and small hail. Frequent cloud to ground lightning, as well.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium
Is severe weather expected? Summer thunderstorms can occasionally produce pockets of high winds and hail.
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index: 9 to 10 Very high
Sunrise: 5:38 AM

Monday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast: Mostly clear. Warm and muggy. A few thunderstorms possible.
Temperatures: MO ~ 72 to 76 IL ~ 72 to 76 KY ~ 72 to 76 TN ~ 72 to 76
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 30% IL ~ 30% KY ~ 30% TN ~ 30%
Coverage of precipitation: Isolated to perhaps scattered
Winds: South and southwest at 7 to 14 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Scattered wet roadways. Summer thunderstorms can produce torrential downpours, gusty winds, and small hail. Frequent cloud to ground lightning, as well.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium
Is severe weather expected? Summer thunderstorms can occasionally produce pockets of high winds and hail.
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Sunset: 8:19 PM
Moonrise: 11:20 PM Waning Gibbous
Moonset: 8:19 AM

July 3, 2018
Tuesday Forecast Details
Forecast: Partly to mostly sunny. Hot. Muggy. Heat index above 100 degrees. An isolated storm possible.
Temperatures: MO ~ 92 to 95 IL ~ 92 to 95 KY ~ 92 to 95 TN ~ 92 to 95
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 20% IL ~ 30% KY ~ 20% TN ~ 20%
Coverage of precipitation: Isolated
Winds: South and southwest at 7 to 14 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? High heat index values could cause problems for young children, senior citizens, and those working outside. Summer thunderstorms can produce torrential downpours, gusty winds, and small hail. Frequent cloud to ground lightning, as well.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium
Is severe weather expected? Summer thunderstorms can occasionally produce pockets of high winds and hail.
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index: 9 to 10 Very high
Sunrise: 5:39 AM

Tuesday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast: Mostly clear. Warm and muggy.
Temperatures: MO ~ 72 to 76 IL ~ 72 to 76 KY ~ 72 to 76 TN ~ 72 to 76
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 20% IL ~ 20% KY ~ 20% TN ~ 20%
Coverage of precipitation: Mostly likely none
Winds: South and southwest at 7 to 14 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Most likely none.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium
Is severe weather expected? Summer thunderstorms can occasionally produce pockets of high winds and hail.
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Sunset: 8:19 PM
Moonrise: 11:52 PM Waning Gibbous
Moonset: 10:31 AM

July 4, 2018
Wednesday Forecast Details
Forecast: Partly to mostly sunny. Hot. Muggy. An isolated thunderstorm possible. Heat index above 100 degrees.
Temperatures: MO ~ 88 to 94 IL ~ 88 to 94 KY ~ 88 to 94 TN ~ 88 to 94
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 20% IL ~ 20% KY ~ 20% TN ~ 20%
Coverage of precipitation: Isolated
Winds: South and southwest at 7 to 14 mph with gusts to 18
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Summer thunderstorms can produce torrential downpours, gusty winds, and small hail. Frequent cloud to ground lightning, as well.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium
Is severe weather expected? Summer thunderstorms can occasionally produce pockets of high winds and hail.
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index: 9 to 10 Very high
Sunrise: 5:39 AM

Wednesday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast: Mostly clear. Warm and muggy.
Temperatures: MO ~ 72 to 76 IL ~ 72 to 76 KY ~ 72 to 76 TN ~ 72 to 76
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 10% IL ~ 10% KY ~ 10% TN ~ 10%
Coverage of precipitation: Most likely none
Winds: South and southwest at 7 to 14 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Most likely none.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium
Is severe weather expected? Summer thunderstorms can occasionally produce pockets of high winds and hail.
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Sunset: 8:19 PM
Moonrise: 11:59 PM Waning Gibbous
Moonset: 11:27 AM

Learn more about the UV index readings. Click here.

A fairly typical weather pattern for our local area.

A few storms are possible again today (Friday). Where storms form they will be heavy.

Smaller chances of rain on Saturday (<20%).

A few more storms Sunday into Monday as a cold front approaches the region. Locally heavy rain possible (summer storms).

Here is the latest WPC / NOAA

A WIDE range of rainfall totals (even within the same county).

This graphic will not cover those wild swings in rainfall totals that occur from locally heavy thunderstorms.

We offer interactive local city live radars and regional radars. If a radar does not update then try another one.

If a radar does not appear to be refreshing then hit Ctrl F5 on your keyboard.

You may also try restarting your browser.

The local city view radars also have clickable warnings.

During the winter months, you can track snow and ice by clicking the winterize button on the local city view interactive radars.

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You may email me at beaudodson@usawx.com

The National Weather Service defines a severe thunderstorm as one that produces quarter size hail or larger, 58 mph winds or greater, and/or a tornado.

Friday through Monday. Isolated storms are possible Friday into Saturday. Most of the area will remain dry. We could see an uptick of thunderstorm chances Sunday and Monday. Some storms could produce heavy rain and gusty winds. Lightning, of course.

Isolated severe thunderstorms can’t be ruled out during the heat of the day. Monitor updates.

There will also be a risk of downburst winds. Downburst winds can exceed 50 mph.

What are downbursts?

Interactive live weather radar page. Choose the city nearest your location. If one of the cities does not work then try a nearby one. Click here.

National map of weather watches and warnings. Click here.

Storm Prediction Center. Click here.

Weather Prediction Center. Click here.

Live lightning data: Click here.

Interactive GOES R satellite. Track clouds. Click here.

Here are the latest local river stage forecast numbers Click Here.

Here are the latest lake stage forecast numbers for Kentucky Lake and Lake Barkley Click Here.

The spring and preliminary summer outlooks have been posted for subscribers. Scroll down to see the outlook.Not a subscriber? Learn more at this link.

Weather Headlines

Major damaging wind event for the region
The heat is going to be a big topic over the coming seven to ten days
Scattered thunderstorms

Widespread wind damage struck the region Thursday afternoon and night.

This is what the radar looked like as the storm pushed across westernKentucky.

Notice that bowing of the line? That is a good indication that damaging wind is occurring.

Many areas across southern Illinois and western Kentucky reported wind damage. Portions of southeast Missouri and northwest Tennessee, as well.

Wind gusts of 55 to 70 mph were common.

The storm cluster moved out of Iowa early Thursday afternoon and then started to dive south-southeast across Missouri and Illinois. It eventually turned southwest.

Many areas were without power last night and still are without power this morning.

Here is the IR satellite view of the storm. This image shows you cold cloud tops in red. Those whites in the red are very cold temperatures. High clouds tops would be thunderstorms.

Impressive system.

There will be a few thunderstorms today. Storms that form will be heavy with frequent lightning and gusty winds. I can’t rule out isolated severe thunderstorms.

The bigger story will be the oppressive heat and high dew points. High dew points equal muggy conditions.

Heat indexes on Thursday topped 80 degrees across much of southern Illinois. It is rare to see dew points that high in our region. Especially the widespread nature of the high dew points.

High temperatures today through next Friday will likely range from 90 to 98 degrees. Each day, heat index values of 100 to 115 degrees will be possible during the late morning and afternoon hours.

Overnight lows will remain in the 70’s through next week,

The longevity of the heat wave will be harsh on our senior citizen friends, young children, and those working outside.

Do you know the symptoms of heat illnesses? Most people do not.

Those cleaning up from the storm should use care.

Outlook definitions

EQ = Equal chances of above or below normal
BN= Below normal
M/BN = Much below normal
AN = Above normal
M/AN = Much above normal
E/AN = Extremely above normal.

Normal high temperatures for this time of the year are around 88 degrees.
Normal low temperatures for this time of the year are around 65 degrees.

Normal precipitation during this time period ranges from 0.60″ to 0.80″

This outlook covers June 12th through June 18th

These graphics are for subscribers.