Beau Dodson's WeatherTalk Blog

June 25, 2017: Amazing weather for late June. Enjoy it.

 

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Interactive Weather Radar Page.  Choose the city nearest your location:  Click this link
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Live lightning data ~ click here
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Weather Talk subscribers ~ I have hired a team of long-range meteorologist to help cover agriculture forecasts.  Videos are updated once or twice each day (Monday through Friday).
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Videos can be viewed at this link.    Long Range Video Update

If you believe you missed a video then you can also click the LIVE FEED link on the Weather Talk website.  That page holds links for several days.

I can text you the videos, as well.  Make sure you have text option FOUR turned on.  That would be the Weather Extra text option.  Sign up for the text messages at www.beaudodsonweather.com

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This forecast update covers southern Illinois, southeast Missouri, western Kentucky. and northwest Tennessee.
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The following link is for Weather Text subscribers.  This is the page where short and long range video outlooks have been posted.  The videos are being produced by a team of meteorologists.  Some of the best in the region.
https://weathertalk.com/app/beaucast

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June 25, 2017
Sunday Forecast Details
Forecast
:  Partly sunny.  Pleasant.  Some gusty winds developing from the west and northwest.
Temperatures:   MO ~ 78 to 84     IL ~76 to 84     KY ~ 76 to 84     TN ~ 78 to 84
Winds: West and northwest at 6 to 12 mph becoming 10 to 20 mph and gusty during the late morning and afternoon hours.
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? None anticipated.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: High.  This forecast should verify.
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph winds or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
What is the chance of precipitation
?  MO ~ 0%    IL ~ 0%    KY ~ 0%    TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation
: None anticipated
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No
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June 25, 2017
Sunday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast
:  Clear with a few clouds late.
Temperatures:  MO ~ 56 to 62      IL ~ 56 to 62        KY ~ 56 to 62       TN ~ 56 to 62
Winds: W NW 6 to 12 mph.  Gusty.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium.  Some adjustments possible.
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Should remain dry through the night.
Is severe weather expected?  No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph winds or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
What is the chance of precipitation
:  MO ~ 10%    IL ~ 10%    KY ~ 10%    TN ~ 10%
Coverage of precipitation
: We should remain dry.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No

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June 26, 2017
Monday Forecast Details
Forecast
:  A mix of sun and clouds.  I will be monitoring an incoming front from the northwest.  Some data wants to pop a few showers during the afternoon hours.
Temperatures:   MO ~ 76 to 82     IL ~ 76 to 82     KY ~ 76 to 82    TN ~ 76 to 82
Winds:  N NW at 5 to 10 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? During the late afternoon hours perhaps some wet roadways.  Perhaps some lightning.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium.  Some adjustments are possible.
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph winds or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
What is the chance of precipitation
?  MO ~ 30%    IL ~ 20%    KY ~ 20%    TN ~ 20%
Coverage of precipitation
: None to isolated
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but check radars
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Monday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast
:  Cloudy.  A chance for showers and thunderstorms.
Temperatures:  MO ~ 65 to 70      IL ~ 65 to 70        KY ~ 65 to 70       TN ~ 65 to 70
Winds: N NW 5 to 10 mph
My confidence in the forecast verifying:  Medium.  Some adjustments possible.
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  Wet roadways.  Perhaps some lightning.
Is severe weather expected?  No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph winds or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
What is the chance of precipitation
:  MO ~ 60%    IL ~ 60%    KY ~ 50%    TN ~ 50%
Coverage of precipitation
: Scattered.  Perhaps a band of showers and thunderstorms.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but check radars.

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June 27, 2017
Tuesday Forecast Details
Forecast
:  Morning clouds and rain should exit.  Becoming mostly to partly sunny.  Pleasant temperatures for late June.
Temperatures:   MO ~ 76 to 84     IL ~ 76 to 84     KY ~ 78 to 84    TN ~ 78 to 84
Winds:  N NE at 5 to 10 mph.  Winds becoming variable and eventually may  become southeast
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  Early in the morning we may still have some lightning and wet roadways.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium.  Some adjustments are possible
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph winds or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
What is the chance of precipitation
?  MO ~ 30%    IL ~ 30%    KY ~ 30%    TN ~ 30%
Coverage of precipitation
: Morning rain should exit to the south and east.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but check radars before 9 am.
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Tuesday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast
:  Mostly clear.  Cool.
Temperatures:  MO ~ 60 to 64      IL ~ 60 to 64        KY ~ 60 to 65       TN ~ 60 to 65
Winds: South and southeast 3 to 6 mph
My confidence in the forecast verifying:  Medium.  Some adjustments possible.
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  None.
Is severe weather expected?  No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph winds or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
What is the chance of precipitation
:  MO ~ 0%    IL ~ 0%    KY ~ 0%    TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation
: None.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No

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June 28, 2017
Wednesday Forecast Details
Forecast
:  Partly to mostly sunny.  Warmer.  Breezy, at times.
Temperatures:   MO ~ 85 to 90     IL ~ 85 to 90    KY ~ 85 to 90   TN ~ 85 to 90
Winds:  South and southwest at 10 to 20 mph with higher gusts possible.
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  None
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium.  Some adjustments are possible
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph winds or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
What is the chance of precipitation
?  MO ~ 0%    IL ~ 0%    KY ~ 0%    TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation
: None
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
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Wednesday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast
:  Mostly clear. Warmer.
Temperatures:  MO ~ 66 to 72      IL ~ 66 to 72      KY ~ 66 to 72     TN ~ 68 to 72
Winds: South and southwest 6 to 12 mph
My confidence in the forecast verifying:  Medium.  Some adjustments possible.
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  None.
Is severe weather expected?  No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph winds or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
What is the chance of precipitation
:  MO ~ 0%    IL ~ 0%    KY ~ 0%    TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation
: None.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?No

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June 29, 2017
Thursday Forecast Details
Forecast
:  Partly to mostly sunny.  Warmer.  Breezy, at times.  A chance for a thunderstorm.
Temperatures:   MO ~ 85 to 90     IL ~ 85 to 90    KY ~ 85 to 90   TN ~ 85 to 90
Winds:  South and southwest at 10 to 20 mph with higher gusts possible.
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  Lightning.  Wet roadways
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium.  Some adjustments are possible
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph winds or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
What is the chance of precipitation
?  MO ~ 30%    IL ~ 30%    KY ~ 30%    TN ~ 30%
Coverage of precipitation
: Isolated to scattered
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but monitor updates and radars.
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Thursday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast
:  Some clouds.  Mild.  A chance for a thunderstorm.
Temperatures:  MO ~ 70 to 74      IL ~ 70 to 74      KY ~ 70 to 74     TN ~ 70 to 74
Winds: South and southwest 6 to 12 mph
My confidence in the forecast verifying:  Medium.  Some adjustments possible.
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  Lighting. Wet roadways.
Is severe weather expected?  Unlikely, but monitor updates.
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph winds or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
What is the chance of precipitation
:  MO ~ 30%    IL ~ 30%    KY ~ 30%    TN ~ 30%
Coverage of precipitation
: Scattered
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but monitor updates and radars.

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June 30, 2017
Friday Forecast Details
Forecast
:  Partly to mostly sunny.  Warmer.  Breezy, at times.  A chance for a thunderstorm.
Temperatures:   MO ~ 85 to 90     IL ~ 85 to 90    KY ~ 85 to 90   TN ~ 85 to 90
Winds:  South and southwest at 10 to 20 mph with higher gusts possible.
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  Lightning.  Wet roadways
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium.  Some adjustments are possible
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph winds or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
What is the chance of precipitation
?  MO ~ 30%    IL ~ 30%    KY ~ 30%    TN ~ 30%
Coverage of precipitation
: Isolated to scattered
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but monitor updates and radars.
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Friday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast
: Partly to mostly sunny.  Warmer.  Breezy, at times.  A chance for a thunderstorm.
Temperatures:   MO ~ 85 to 90     IL ~ 85 to 90    KY ~ 85 to 90   TN ~ 85 to 90
Winds:  South and southwest at 10 to 20 mph with higher gusts possible.
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  Lightning.  Wet roadways
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium.  Some adjustments are possible
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph winds or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
What is the chance of precipitation
?  MO ~ 30%    IL ~ 30%    KY ~ 30%    TN ~ 30%
Coverage of precipitation
: Isolated to scattered
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but monitor updates and radars.

beausanalysis

I will put together a longer update on Sunday night.  I am just returning home from my vacation.

Thank you!

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We have regional radars and local city radars – if a radar does not update then try another one. Occasional browsers need their cache cleared. You may also try restarting your browser. That usually fixes the problem. Occasionally we do have a radar go down. That is why I have duplicates. Thus, if one fails then try another one.

During the winter you can track snow and ice by clicking the winterize button on the local city view interactive radars.

If you have any problems then please send me an email beaudodson@usawx.com

Interactive Weather Radar Page.  Choose the city nearest your location:  Click this link

National interactive radar:  Click this link.

Local interactive city radars include St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, Memphis, Nashville, Dyersburg, and all of eastern Kentucky.  These are interactive radars.  Local city radars – click here

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The official 6-10 day and 8-14 day temperature and precipitation outlook.  Check the date stamp at the top of each image (so you understand the time frame).
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The forecast maps below are issued by the Weather Prediction Center (NOAA)
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The latest 8-14 day temperature and precipitation outlook.  Note the dates are at the top of the image.  These maps DO NOT tell you how high or low temperatures or precipitation will be.  They simply give you the probability as to whether temperatures or precipitation will be above or below normal.
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The Beau Dodson Weather APP is ready for Apple and Android users.  The purpose of this app is for me to deliver your text messages instantly.  ATT and Verizon have not always been reliable when it comes to speed.  The app allows instant delivery.

Some of you have asked if you can keep receiving the texts on your phone and the app.  The answer to that is, yes.  The Android app will automatically allow that to happen.  On the Apple app, however, you will need to go into your app and click settings.  Make sure the green tab is OFF.  Off means you will still receive the texts to your phone and the app.  If you have any questions, then email me at beaudodson@usawx.com

The app is for text subscribers.

The direct download, for the Apple app, can be viewed here

https://itunes.apple.com/us/app/id1190136514

If you have not signed up for the texting service then you may do so at www.beaudodsonweather.com

The Android app is also ready.

Remember, the app’s are for www.weathertalk.com subscribers.  The app allows your to receive the text messages faster than ATT and Verizon.

Here is the download link for the Android version  Click Here

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If you have not signed up for the texts messages, then please do.  Link www.beaudodsonweather.com

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Who do you trust for your weather information and who holds them accountable?

I have studied weather in our region since the late 1970’s.  I have 39 years of experience in observing our regions weather patterns.  My degree is in Broadcast Meteorology and a Bachelor’s of Science.

My resume includes:

Member of the American Meteorological Society.

NOAA Weather-Ready Nation Ambassador. 

Meteorologist for McCracken County Emergency Management.  I served from 2005 through 2015.

Meteorologist for McCracken County Rescue.  2015 through current

I own and operate the Southern Illinois Weather Observatory.

I am the chief meteorologist for Weather Talk LLC.  I am the owner of Weather Talk LLC.

I am also a business owner in western Kentucky.

Recipient of the Mark Trail Award, WPSD Six Who Make A Difference Award, Kentucky Colonel, and the Caesar J. Fiamma” Award from the American Red Cross

In 2005 I helped open the largest American Cross shelter in U.S. history in Houston, Texas.  I was deployed to help after Hurricane Katrina and Hurricane Rita.  I was a shelter manager of one of the Houston, Texas shelter divisions.

In 2009 I was presented with the Kentucky Office of Highway Safety Award. 

Recognized by the Kentucky House of Representatives for my service to the State of Kentucky leading up to several winter storms and severe weather outbreaks.

If you click on the image below you can read the Kentucky House of Representatives Resolution.

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I am also President of the Shadow Angel Foundation which serves portions of western Kentucky and southern Illinois.

There is a lot of noise on the internet.  A lot of weather maps are posted without explanation.  Over time you should learn who to trust for your weather information.

My forecast philosophy is simple and straight forward.

  • Communicate in simple terms
  • To be as accurate as possible within a reasonable time frame before an event
  • Interact with you on Twitter, Facebook, email, texts, and this blog
  • Minimize the “hype” that you might see on some television stations or through other weather sources
  • Push you towards utilizing wall-to-wall LOCAL TV coverage during severe weather events

Many of the graphics on this page are from www.weatherbell.com

WeatherBell is a great resource for weather model guidance.

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You can sign up for my AWARE email by clicking here I typically send out AWARE emails before severe weather, winter storms, or other active weather situations. I do not email watches or warnings. The emails are a basic “heads up” concerning incoming weather conditions

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