Beau Dodson's WeatherTalk Blog

June 13, 2018: Non-subscriber update. Summer weather pattern.

WeatherTalk monthly operating costs can top $2000.00.  Your $3 subscription helps pay for those costs.  I work for you.

For $3 a month you can receive the following.  You may choose to receive these via your WeatherTalk app or regular text messaging.

  1.  Severe weather app/text alerts from my keyboard to your app/cell phone.  These are hand typed by Beau.   During tornado outbreaks, you will receive numerous app/text messages telling you exactly where the tornado is located.
  2.  Daily forecast app/texts from my computer to your app/cell phone.
  3.  Social media links sent directly to your app/cell phone.  When I update the blog, videos, or Facebook you will receive the link.
  4.  AWARE emails.  These emails keep you well ahead of the storm. They give you several days of lead time before significant weather events.
  5.  Direct access to Beau via text and email.  Your very own personal meteorologist.  I work for you!
  6.  Missouri and Ohio Valley centered video updates
  7.  Long-range weather videos
  8.  Week one, two, three and four temperature and precipitation outlooks.
  9.  Monthly outlooks.
  10.  Your subscription also will help support several local charities.

Haven’t you subscribed?  Subscribe at www.beaudodsonweather.com

 

 

Example of a recent severe weather alert.  I issued this well before the official tornado warning.  You would have had plenty of time for you and your family to seek shelter.

 

 

 

Your $3 per month also helps support these local charity projects.

 

I encourage subscribers to use the app vs regular text messaging.  We have found text messaging to be delayed during severe weather.  The app typically will receive the messages instantly.  I recommend people have three to four methods of receiving their severe weather information.

Remember, my app and text alerts are hand typed and not computer generated.  You are being given personal attention during significant weather events.

 

 

WWW.WEATHERTALK.COM subscribers, here is my day to day schedule for your weather products.

 

 

 

We offer interactive local city live radars and regional radars.   If a radar does not update then try another one.  If a radar does not appear to be refreshing then hit Ctrl F5.  You may also try restarting your browser.

 

 

Interactive Radars:
Interactive live weather radar page.  Choose the city nearest your location. If one of the city radars won’t load then try a nearby one.  Click here.

 

June 13, 2018
Wednesday F
orecast Details
Forecast
:  Partly sunny.  A chance of mainly afternoon scattered strong thunderstorms.
Temperatures:  MO ~ 88 to 92      IL ~ 86 to 92       KY ~ 86 to 92       TN ~  88 to 92
What is the chance of precipitation?  MO ~ 30%      IL ~ 30%       KY ~ 40%          TN ~ 40%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
Winds: West becoming northwest at 5 to 10 mph with gusts to 14 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Scattered wet roadways.  Lightning.  Where summer storms occur you can have locally heavy downpours, small hail, and strong winds.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: High
Is severe weather expected? Typical summer isolated severe risk.  Isolated downburst winds from dying storms.
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No, but monitor radars
UV Index: 9 to 10  Very high
Sunrise: 5:34 AM

 

Wednesday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast:  Partly cloudy. Warm.  Humid.  A few evening thunderstorms possible.
Temperatures:  MO ~ 68 to 72       IL ~ 64 (near Mt Vernon) to 72       KY ~ 66 to 72        TN ~ 68 to 72
What is the chance of precipitation?  MO ~ 20%      IL ~  20%       KY ~  30%          TN ~ 30%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
Winds: Light and variable winds
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  Scattered wet roadways.  Lightning.  Where summer storms occur you can have locally heavy downpours, small hail, and strong winds.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: High
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No
Sunset: 8:16 PM
Moonrise: 5:33 AM New
Moonset: 8:12 PM

 

June 14, 2018
Thursday F
orecast Details
Forecast
:  Partly cloudy.  Northeast counties might be a bit cooler and less humid.  Only an isolated thunderstorm risk.
Temperatures:  MO ~ 86 to 94      IL ~ 84 (cooler towards Mt Vernon) to 88       KY ~ 84 to 88      TN ~  88 to 94
What is the chance of precipitation?  MO ~ 10%      IL ~ 10%       KY ~ 10%          TN ~ 10%
Coverage of precipitation: Most likely none.  A slight chance of an isolated storm.
Winds: East and southeast at 5 to 10 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? None to isolated wet roadways.  Lightning.  Where summer storms occur you can have locally heavy downpours, small hail, and strong winds.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No
UV Index: 9 to 10  Very high
Sunrise: 5:34 AM

 

Thursday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast:  Mostly clear.  A few clouds.  The risk of thunderstorms will be less than 20%.
Temperatures:  MO ~ 66 to 70       IL ~ 66 to 70        KY ~ 66 to 70         TN ~ 66 to 70
What is the chance of precipitation?  MO ~ 10%      IL ~  10%       KY ~  10%          TN ~ 10%
Coverage of precipitation: Most likely none.  A slight chance.
Winds: South and southwest 5 to 10 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Most likely none
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No
Sunset: 8:16 PM
Moonrise: 6:30 AM New
Moonset: 9:18 PM

 

June 15, 2018
Friday F
orecast Details
Forecast
:  Partly to mostly sunny.  Hot and muggy.  Heat index 96 to 104.  Thunderstorm chances will only be 10%.
Temperatures:  MO ~ 90 to 95      IL ~ 90 to 94       KY ~ 90 to 94       TN ~  90 to 94
What is the chance of precipitation?  MO ~ 10%      IL ~ 10%       KY ~ 10%          TN ~ 10%
Coverage of precipitation: Isolated if any.
Winds: Southeast at 4 to 8 mph with gusts to 12 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Most likely none
My confidence in the forecast verifying: High
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No
UV Index: 9 to 11  Very high
Sunrise: 5:34 AM

 

Friday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast:  Mostly clear.  A few clouds. Warm and humid.  Thunderstorm chances will only be 10%.
Temperatures:  MO ~ 70 to 74       IL ~ 70 to 74       KY ~ 70 to 74        TN ~ 70 to 74
What is the chance of precipitation?  MO ~ MO ~ 10%      IL ~ 10%       KY ~ 10%          TN ~ 10%
Coverage of precipitation: Isolated if any.
Winds: South and southeast 5 to 10 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Most likely none
My confidence in the forecast verifying: High
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No
Sunset: 8:17 PM
Moonrise: 7:32 AM Waxing Crescent
Moonset: 10:18 PM

 

June 16, 2018
Saturday F
orecast Details
Forecast
:  Mostly sunny.  Hot and muggy.  Some cumulus clouds.  Heat index 96 to 104.  Thunderstorm chances will only be 10%.
Temperatures:  MO ~ 92 to 96      IL ~ 90 to 95       KY ~ 90 to 95       TN ~  92 to 96
What is the chance of precipitation?  MO ~ 10%      IL ~ 10%       KY ~ 10%          TN ~ 10%
Coverage of precipitation: Isolated if any.
Winds: Southwest at 4 to 8 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Most likely none.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: High
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No
UV Index: 9 to 11  Very high
Sunrise: 5:34 AM

 

Saturday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast:  Mostly clear.  A few clouds.  Muggy.  Warm.  Thunderstorm chances will only be 10%.
Temperatures:  MO ~ 72 to 75       IL ~ 72 to 74       KY ~ 72 to 75        TN ~ 72 to 75
What is the chance of precipitation?  MO ~ 10%      IL ~ 10%       KY ~ 10%          TN ~ 10%
Coverage of precipitation: Isolated if any.
Winds: South and southwest 5 to 10 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Most likely none.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: High
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No
Sunset: 8:17 PM
Moonrise: 8:42 AM Waxing Crescent
Moonset: 11:09 PM

 

June 17, 2018
Sunday F
orecast Details
Forecast
:  Mostly sunny.  Some cumulus clouds.  Hot and muggy.  Heat index 96 to 104.  Thunderstorm chances will only be 10%.
Temperatures:  MO ~ 92 to 96      IL ~ 92 to 95       KY ~ 92 to 95       TN ~  92 to 96
What is the chance of precipitation?  MO ~ 10%      IL ~ 10%       KY ~ 10%          TN ~ 10%
Coverage of precipitation: Isolated if any.
Winds: Southwest at 4 to 8 mph with gusts to 14 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Most likely none.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No
UV Index: 9 to 11  Very high
Sunrise: 5:34 AM

 

Sunday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast:  Mostly clear.  A few clouds.  Muggy.  Warm.  Thunderstorm chances will only be 10%.
Temperatures:  MO ~ 72 to 75       IL ~ 72 to 74       KY ~ 72 to 75        TN ~ 72 to 75
What is the chance of precipitation?  MO ~ 10%      IL ~ 10%       KY ~ 10%          TN ~ 10%
Coverage of precipitation: Isolated if any.
Winds: South and southwest 5 to 10 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Most likely none
My confidence in the forecast verifying: High
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No
Sunset: 8:17 PM
Moonrise: 9:49 AM Waxing Crescent
Moonset: 11:54 PM

 

June 18, 2018
Monday F
orecast Details
Forecast
:  Partly cloudy.  A few thunderstorms possible.  Hot and muggy.
Temperatures:  MO ~ 88 to 94      IL ~ 88 to 94       KY ~ 88 to 94       TN ~  88 to 94
What is the chance of precipitation?  MO ~ 30%      IL ~ 20%       KY ~ 20%          TN ~ 20%
Coverage of precipitation: Widely scattered
Winds: Southwest at 4 to 8 mph with gusts to 16 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Scattered wet roadways.  Summer thunderstorms can produce torrential downpours, gusty winds, and small hail.  Frequent cloud to ground lightning, as well.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium
Is severe weather expected? Summer thunderstorms can occasionally produce pockets of high winds.
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No, but monitor radars
UV Index: 9 to 11  Very high
Sunrise: 5:34 AM

 

Monday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast:  Partly cloudy.  Scattered thunderstorms possible.
Temperatures:  MO ~ 72 to 75       IL ~ 72 to 74       KY ~ 72 to 75        TN ~ 72 to 75
What is the chance of precipitation?  MO ~ 30%      IL ~  20%       KY ~  20%          TN ~ 20%
Coverage of precipitation: Widely scattered
Winds: South and southwest 5 to 10 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Scattered wet roadways.  Summer thunderstorms can produce torrential downpours, gusty winds, and small hail.  Frequent cloud to ground lightning, as well.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium
Is severe weather expected? Summer thunderstorms can occasionally produce pockets of high winds.
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No, but monitor radars
Sunset: 8:18 PM
Moonrise: 10:59 AM Waxing Crescent
Moonset: 12:01 AM

 

June 18, 2018
Tuesday F
orecast Details
Forecast
:  Partly cloudy.  A few thunderstorms possible.  Hot and muggy.
Temperatures:  MO ~ 88 to 94      IL ~ 88 to 94       KY ~ 88 to 94       TN ~  88 to 94
What is the chance of precipitation?  MO ~ 30%      IL ~ 30%       KY ~ 30%          TN ~ 30%
Coverage of precipitation: Widely scattered
Winds: Southwest at 4 to 8 mph with gusts to 14 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Scattered wet roadways.  Summer thunderstorms can produce torrential downpours, gusty winds, and small hail.  Frequent cloud to ground lightning, as well.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium
Is severe weather expected? Summer thunderstorms can occasionally produce pockets of high winds.
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No, but monitor radars
UV Index: 9 to 11  Very high
Sunrise: 5:34 AM

 

Tuesday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast:  Partly cloudy.  Scattered thunderstorms possible.
Temperatures:  MO ~ 72 to 75       IL ~ 72 to 74       KY ~ 72 to 75        TN ~ 72 to 75
What is the chance of precipitation?  MO ~ 30%      IL ~  30%       KY ~  30%          TN ~ 30%
Coverage of precipitation: Widely scattered
Winds: South and southwest 5 to 10 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Scattered wet roadways.  Summer thunderstorms can produce torrential downpours, gusty winds, and small hail.  Frequent cloud to ground lightning, as well.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium
Is severe weather expected? Summer thunderstorms can occasionally produce pockets of high winds.
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No, but monitor radars
Sunset: 8:18 PM
Moonrise: 12:06 PM Waxing Crescent
Moonset: 12:34 AM

 

June 18, 2018
Wednesday F
orecast Details
Forecast
:  Partly cloudy. Scattered thunderstorms.  Hot and muggy.
Temperatures:  MO ~ 88 to 94      IL ~ 88 to 94       KY ~ 88 to 94       TN ~  88 to 94
What is the chance of precipitation?  MO ~ 40%      IL ~ 40%       KY ~ 40%          TN ~ 40%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
Winds: Southwest at 4 to 8 mph with gusts to 14 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Scattered wet roadways.  Summer thunderstorms can produce torrential downpours, gusty winds, and small hail.  Frequent cloud to ground lightning, as well.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium
Is severe weather expected? Summer thunderstorms can occasionally produce pockets of high winds.
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No, but monitor radars
UV Index: 9 to 11  Very high
Sunrise: 5:34 AM

 

Wednesday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast:  Partly cloudy.  Scattered thunderstorms possible.
Temperatures:  MO ~ 72 to 75       IL ~ 72 to 74       KY ~ 72 to 75        TN ~ 72 to 75
What is the chance of precipitation?  MO ~ 40%      IL ~  40%       KY ~  40%          TN ~ 40%
Coverage of precipitation: Widely scattered
Winds: South and southwest 5 to 10 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Scattered wet roadways.  Summer thunderstorms can produce torrential downpours, gusty winds, and small hail.  Frequent cloud to ground lightning, as well.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium
Is severe weather expected? Summer thunderstorms can occasionally produce pockets of high winds.
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No, but monitor radars
Sunset: 8:18 PM
Moonrise: 1:10 PM Waxing Crescent
Moonset: 1:09 AM

 

June 19, 2018
Thursday F
orecast Details
Forecast
:  Partly cloudy. Scattered thunderstorms.  Hot and muggy.
Temperatures:  MO ~ 88 to 94      IL ~ 88 to 94       KY ~ 88 to 94       TN ~  88 to 94
What is the chance of precipitation?  MO ~ 40%      IL ~ 40%       KY ~ 40%          TN ~ 40%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
Winds: Southwest at 6 to 12 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Scattered wet roadways.  Summer thunderstorms can produce torrential downpours, gusty winds, and small hail.  Frequent cloud to ground lightning, as well.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium
Is severe weather expected? Summer thunderstorms can occasionally produce pockets of high winds.
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No, but monitor radars
UV Index: 9 to 11  Very high
Sunrise: 5:34 AM

 

Thursday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast:  Partly cloudy.  Scattered thunderstorms possible.
Temperatures:  MO ~ 72 to 75       IL ~ 72 to 74       KY ~ 72 to 75        TN ~ 72 to 75
What is the chance of precipitation?  MO ~ 40%      IL ~  40%       KY ~  40%          TN ~ 40%
Coverage of precipitation: Widely scattered
Winds: South and southwest 5 to 10 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Scattered wet roadways.  Summer thunderstorms can produce torrential downpours, gusty winds, and small hail.  Frequent cloud to ground lightning, as well.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium
Is severe weather expected? Summer thunderstorms can occasionally produce pockets of high winds.
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No, but monitor radars
Sunset: 8:18 PM
Moonrise: 2:13 PM First Quarter
Moonset: 1:41 AM

 

Learn more about the UV index readings.  Click here.

 

 

A stalled front will remain in the region over the coming days.

If we have thunderstorms, the best chance would be today and this evening.  Chances decrease Thursday through Sunday.  Isolated storms, if any, during that time frame.

Here is the latest WPC / NOAA rainfall forecast.

We are in a summer pattern.  That means a WIDE range of rainfall totals (even within the same county).

This graphic will not cover those wild swings in rainfall totals that occur from locally heavy thunderstorms.

This first map is through Sunday night.  As you can see, not a lot of rain.  Again, thunderstorms will produce MUCH higher totals.

 

 

This next image is the WPC 7 day rainfall totals.  It picks up a bit as we move into next week.  Again, thunderstorms will produce higher totals than shown on this map.

Thunderstorm activity should increase again next week as the ridge of high pressure weakens.

 

 

This next graphic is the NAM model guidance rainfall forecast

This is Saturday through 1 PM

Click images to enlarge

 

 

This next graphic is the 3K NAM

This is through Friday at 1 PM

 

 

This next graphic is the GFS model rainfall

This is from now through Saturday at  1 PM

 

 

.

 

We offer interactive local city live radars and regional radars.   If a radar does not update then try another one.

If a radar does not appear to be refreshing then hit Ctrl F5 on your keyboard.

You may also try restarting your browser.

The local city view radars also have clickable warnings.

During the winter months, you can track snow and ice by clicking the winterize button on the local city view interactive radars.

 

Questions?  Broken links?  Other questions?

You may email me at beaudodson@usawx.com

 

 

The National Weather Service defines a severe thunderstorm as one that produces quarter size hail or larger, 58 mph winds or greater, and/or a  tornado.

 

Wednesday through Sunday:  A few strong thunderstorms are possible this afternoon into this evening.  Coverage is forecast to be more isolated than yesterday’s event.

I am expecting less thunderstorm coverage as we push through the week.

Where storms occur there will be heavy rain, gusty winds, small hail, and frequent cloud to ground lightning.  At this time, organized severe weather appears unlikely.   Monitor updates.

The risk of severe thunderstorms is low.  Isolated severe storm concerns.

 

 

Interactive live weather radar page.  Choose the city nearest your location. If one of the cities does not work then try a nearby one.  Click here.

National map of weather watches and warnings. Click here.

Storm Prediction Center.  Click here.

Weather Prediction Center.  Click here.

 

Live lightning data: Click here.

 

Interactive GOES R satellite.  Track clouds.  Click here.

 

Here are the latest local river stage forecast numbers Click Here.

Here are the latest lake stage forecast numbers for Kentucky Lake and Lake Barkley Click Here.

 

The spring and preliminary summer outlooks have been posted for subscribers.  Scroll down to see the outlook.Not a subscriber?  Learn more at this link.

 

 

 

Weather Headlines

  1. Hot and muggy weather into next week.
  2. Back door cold front Thursday could mean somewhat cooler air for our northeast counties.
  3. Thunderstorm chances will be less than 10% Thursday through Sunday.
  4. Heat index values of 96 to 104 Thursday into Sunday.

 

Hot weather will be with us into the weekend.

Daily highs will be in the 90’s and overnight lows in the 70’s. Next index values will range from 96 to 104 degrees.

There is one brief reprieve.

A cold front will push southwest into the region late Wednesday night and Thursday.  That means somewhat cooler and drier air for our northeast counties.  That would include portions of southeast Illinois and northwest Kentucky.

Most of us, however, will not feel this drier air and will remain hot and muggy.

Notice on the GFS model how a portion of the region is cooler Thursday.  Just not sure I buy into this.

We will see.  Perhaps a few degrees cooler.  This seems way overdone to me.

 

 

Otherwise, a typical summer pattern is underway.

We will have a chance of scattered storms today.  Shower and thunderstorm chances decrease considerably as we move into Thursday through Sunday.  Rain chances will drift below 10%.

Looking ahead to next week.

Very high PWAT values are forecast to push into the region next week.  Thunderstorms that form next week will be prolific rain producers.  We will have to keep a close eye on thunderstorm complexes that form around the edge of a center of high pressure.

These thunderstorm complexes, also called MCS’s, could produce very heavy rain for portions of the region.

Much like this week, some areas will receive inches of rain and some areas will receive very little rain.

It is still a bit early to know details on next weeks thunderstorm chances.

Here is the PWAT value animation for Monday through Wednesday.  This is the GFS model.

The GFS is showing numbers north of two inches.  That is considered extreme for PWAT values.

 

 

 

Senior citizens, young children, and those working outside will have to deal with high heat index values over the coming days.  Especially true Friday into Sunday.

 

 

Do you know the symptoms of heat related illness?

 

 

Also, don’t forget our outdoor friends.

 

 

The preliminary July forecast has been updated.  The heat will likely be the big story.

These graphics are for subscribers.

Subscribe at www.weathertalk.com

 

 

These are bonus videos and maps for subscribers.

I bring these to you from the BAMwx team.  I pay them to help with videos.  They have a great team of meteorologists.  The Ohio and Missouri Valley videos cover most of our area.  They do not have a specific Tennessee Valley forecast but may add one in the future.

The long-range video is technical.  Over time, you can learn a lot about meteorology from the long range video.  Just keep in mind, it is a bit more technical.

 

NOTE:  THESE ARE USUALLY NOT UPDATED ON SATURDAY OR SUNDAY.

 

 

 

These graphics are for subscribers.

Subscribe at www.weathertalk.com

Illinois/Ohio Valley

 

 

These graphics are for subscribers.

Subscribe at www.weathertalk.com

Missouri Valley and Central Plains

 

 

These graphics are for subscribers.

Subscribe at www.weathertalk.com

Long Range

 

 

I bring these to you from the BAMwx team.  They are excellent long-range forecasters.

Remember, long-range outlooks are a bit of skill, understanding weather patterns, and luck combined.  It is not an exact science.

 

 

Outlook definitions

EQ = Equal chances of above or below normal
BN= Below normal
M/BN = Much below normal
AN = Above normal
M/AN = Much above normal
E/AN = Extremely above normal.

Normal high temperatures for this time of the year are around 88 degrees.
Normal low temperatures for this time of the year are around 65 degrees.

Normal precipitation during this time period ranges from 0.60″ to 0.80″

This outlook covers June 12th through June 18th

 

These graphics are for subscribers.

Subscribe at www.weathertalk.com

 

 

These graphics are for subscribers.

Subscribe at www.weathertalk.com

 

The precipitation forecast is PERCENT OF NORMAL.  For example, if your normal rainfall is 1.00″ and the graphic shows 10%, then that would mean 0.10″ of rain is anticipated.

 

These graphics are for subscribers.

Subscribe at www.weathertalk.com

 

 

 

This outlook covers June 22nd through July 5th

 

These graphics are for subscribers.

Subscribe at www.weathertalk.com

 

And precipitation

 

These graphics are for subscribers.

Subscribe at www.weathertalk.com

 

June temperature and precipitation outlook

 

These graphics are for subscribers.

Subscribe at www.weathertalk.com

 

 

 

 

Outlook definitions

EQ = Equal chances of above or below normal
BN= Below normal
M/BN = Much below normal
AN = Above normal
M/AN = Much above normal
E/AN = Extremely above normal.

Temperature outlook for April through June.

 

These graphics are for subscribers.

Subscribe at www.weathertalk.com

 

Precipitation outlook for March through May.

 

These graphics are for subscribers.

Subscribe at www.weathertalk.com

 

 

Temperature outlook for June through August.

 

These graphics are for subscribers.

Subscribe at www.weathertalk.com

 

July temperature and precipitation outlook

 

These graphics are for subscribers.

Subscribe at www.weathertalk.com

 

August temperature and precipitation outlook

 

These graphics are for subscribers.

Subscribe at www.weathertalk.com

 

 


A new weather podcast is now available!  Weather Geeks (which you might remember is on The Weather Channel each Sunday)

To learn more visit their website.  Click here.

 

 

WeatherBrains Episode 647

WeatherBrains Episode 647 is now online (June 11, 2018).

If you are crazy about weather, this is THE netcast audio program for you!

This week’s Guest WeatherBrain is a Philom. We will find out exactly what that means in a moment. He is the seventh editor of Farmers’ Almanac, which is significant, given that it was founded in 1818. Peter Geiger, welcome to WeatherBrains!

Other discussions in this weekly podcast include topics like:

Sun spot cycles
Tropical disturbance in the Caribbean
Meaning of the word “Philom”
Astronomy Outlook with Tony Rice
and more!

.

.
Previous episodes can be viewed by clicking here.

 

We offer interactive local city live radars and regional radars.   If a radar does not update then try another one.  If a radar does not appear to be refreshing then hit Ctrl F5.  You may also try restarting your browser.

The local city view radars also have clickable warnings.

During the winter months, you can track snow and ice by clicking the winterize button on the local city view interactive radars.

You may email me at beaudodson@usawx.com

 

Find me on Facebook!

Find me on Twitter!

2016-11-19_11-50-24

 

Did you know that a portion of your monthly subscription helps support local charity projects?

You can learn more about those projects by visiting the Shadow Angel Foundation website and the Beau Dodson News website.

I encourage subscribers to use the app vs regular text messaging.  We have found text messaging to be delayed during severe weather.  The app typically will receive the messages instantly.  I recommend people have three to four methods of receiving their severe weather information.

Remember, my app and text alerts are hand typed and not computer generated.  You are being given personal attention during significant weather events.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *