Beau Dodson's WeatherTalk Blog

January 20th and 21st: More unsettled and mild weather.

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2015-12-18_21-14-12

I have launched a new weather texting service!  Be sure and sign up and fully support all of the weather data you see each day.

Weather Talk is a monthly subscription texting (and more) service.  Supporting this helps cover the daily costs (average monthly costs are $700+) or all of the data, my time, and the Shadow Angel Foundation.  The cost is $3 a month for one phone, $5 a month for three phones, and $10 a month for seven phones.  You can sign up and opt out of the text messages, as well.

For more information visit BeauDodsonWeather.com

If you would like to receive a text notification, when the winter weather outlooks are updated, then make sure you have opted in to text option three.  These are found behind the Personal Notification Settings on the weathertalk.com page.

 

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This forecast update covers far southern Illinois, far southeast Missouri, and far western Kentucky. See the coverage map on the right side of the blog

NOTICE!

I will be starting a weather watcher program soon. One requirement is at least one spotter class from the NWS. These are free and the NWS will be hosting online classes and in person.
 
There are a few classes over the coming weeks
 
Please let me know when you attend one of the classes.  

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January 20, 2017
Friday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast: Some clouds.   Windy.  Well above normal temperatures.  Will need to monitor fog chances.
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Gusty winds.  Will monitor fog chances.
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph winds or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes:
What is the chance of precipitation?  MO ~ 10%  IL ~ 10%   KY ~ 10%   TN ~ 10%
Coverage of precipitation: Most likely none.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No
My confidence in the forecast verifying: High.  This forecast should verify.
Temperatures:  MO ~ 48 to 54  IL ~ 48 to 54    KY ~ 48 to 54    TN ~ 50 to 54
Winds: South at  10 to 20 mph with gusts to 30 mph.   Gusts might be a bit higher.
Wind Chill when applicable:  N/A
Will there be a chance for wintry precipitation?  No
Moonrise will be at 12:36 a.m. and moonset will be at 11:57 a.m.  Waning Crescent.

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January 21, 2017
Saturday Forecast Details:
Forecast
: Perhaps some morning fog.  Warm.  WELL above normal temperatures with a mix of sun and clouds.  A chance for spotty showers.  
What impacts are anticipated from the weather
?  Wet roadways.  Morning fog possible.
Is severe weather expected
?  Unlikely, but let’s keep an eye on northeast AR, MO Bootheel, and western TN.
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph winds or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes     
What is the chance of precipitation?  MO ~ 30%  IL ~ 30%   KY ~ 30%   TN ~ 30%
Coverage of precipitation
:  Isolated
Should I cancel my outdoor plans
? No
My confidence in the forecast verifying
: Medium.  Some adjustments are possible.
Temperatures
:  MO ~65 to 70  IL ~ 65 to 70    KY ~ 66 to 72    TN ~ 66 to 72
Winds
:  South and southeast at 7 to 14 mph with gusts to 20 mph.
Wind Chill when applicable
: N/A
Will there be a chance for wintry precipitation
? No
Sunrise will be at 7:03  a.m. and sunset will be at 5:08 p.m.
UV Index
: 0 to 2
Moonrise 
will be at 1:31 a.m. and moonset will be at 12:31 p.m.  Waning Crescent

Saturday Night Forecast Details
Forecast
:  Cloudy.  A chance for showers and thunderstorms.  Chances for rain increase through the night.  Well above normal temperatures.  A few strong storms possible.  
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  Wet roadways.  Lightning.  There is a small risk for severe thunderstorms.  A non-zero risk.
Is severe weather expected?  Small risk.  Monitor updates in case there are changes.
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph winds or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes:
What is the chance of precipitation?  MO ~ 40%  before 11 pm and 60% after 11 pm   IL ~ 40%   before 11 pm and 60% after 11 pm   KY ~ 40% before 11 pm and 60% after 11 pm    TN ~ 40% before 11 pm and 60% after 11 pm
Coverage of precipitation:  Increasing coverage from south and southwest towards the north and northeast.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  Monitor radars.
My confidence in the forecast verifying:  Medium.  Some adjustments are possible.
Temperatures:  MO ~ 48 to 52  IL ~ 48 to 52    KY ~ 50 to 52   TN ~ 50 to 54
Winds: South and southeast at 5 to 10 mph and higher gusts.
Wind Chill when applicable: N/A
Will there be a chance for wintry precipitation?  No
Moonrise will be at 1:31 a.m. and moonset will be at 12:31 p.m.  Waning Crescent

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January 22, 2017
Sunday Forecast Details:
Forecast:  Cloudy.  Showers likely.  Breezy.  Well above normal temperatures.
What impacts are anticipated from the weather
?  Wet roadways.
Is severe weather expected
?  No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph winds or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
What is the chance of precipitation
?  MO ~ 60%  IL ~ 60%   KY ~ 60%   TN ~ 60%
Coverage of precipitation
:  Perhaps numerous
Should I cancel my outdoor plans
?  Have a plan B
My confidence in the forecast verifying
: Medium.  Some adjustments are possible.
Temperatures
:  MO ~ 56 to 64  IL ~  56 to 64  KY ~ 56 to 64   TN ~ 56 to 64
Winds
: Variable winds at 8 to 16 mph and gusty.  Winds may become strong and gusty during the evening hours.
Wind Chill when applicable
: N/A
Will there be a chance for wintry precipitation
?  No
Sunrise will be at 7:03  a.m. and sunset will be at 5:09 p.m.
UV Index
: 0 to 1
Moonrise 
will be at 2:23 a.m. and moonset will be at 1:03 p.m.  Waning Crescent

Sunday Night Forecast Details
Forecast:  Cloudy.  Windy.  Showers likely before 10 pm and then scattered showers after 10 pm.  Above normal temperatures.
What impacts are anticipated from the weather
?  Wet roadways.   High winds.
Is severe weather expected
?  No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph winds or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
What is the chance of precipitation
?  MO ~ 40%  IL ~ 40%   KY ~ 40%   TN ~ 40%
Coverage of precipitation
:  Perhaps numerous early. 
Should I cancel my outdoor plans
? Have a plan B
My confidence in the forecast verifying
:  Medium.  Some adjustments are possible.
Temperatures
:  MO ~ 38 to 44   IL ~ 38 to 44   KY ~ 38 to 44    TN ~ 38 to 44
Winds
:  West and northwest at 15 to 35 mph and gusts to 40 mph possible.
Wind Chill when applicable
: N/A
Will there be a chance for wintry precipitation
? No
Moonrise will be at 2:23 a.m. and moonset will be at 1:03 p.m.  Waning Crescent

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January 23, 2017
Monday Forecast Details
Forecast
: Partly cloudy.  Breezy. Above normal temperatures.  
What impacts are anticipated from the weather
?  Most likely none.
Is severe weather expected
?  No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph winds or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
What is the chance of precipitation
?  MO ~ 10%  IL ~ 10%   KY ~ 10%   TN ~ 10%
Coverage of precipitation
: Most likely none.  Perhaps isolated.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans
?  No
My confidence in the forecast verifying
:  Medium.  Some adjustments are possible.
Temperatures
:  MO ~ 46 to 52   IL ~ 46 to 52   KY ~ 48 to 54    TN ~ 48 to 54
Winds
:  North and northwest at 10 to 20 mph and gusty
Wind Chill when applicable
:  N/A
Will there be a chance for wintry precipitation
? No
Sunrise will be at 7:02  a.m. and sunset will be at 5:10 p.m.
UV Index
: 0 to 2
Moonrise 
will be at 3:19 a.m. and moonset will be at 1:48 p.m.  Waning Crescent


Monday Night Forecast Details
:
Forecast
:  Partly cloudy.   Above normal temperatures.
What impacts are anticipated from the weather
?  Most likely none.  Monitor fog chances.
Is severe weather expected
?  No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph winds or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
What is the chance of precipitation
?  MO ~ 10%  IL ~ 10%   KY ~ 10%   TN ~ 10%
Coverage of precipitation
: None
Should I cancel my outdoor plans
?  No
My confidence in the forecast verifying
: Medium.  Some adjustments are possible.
Temperatures
:  MO ~ 32 to 36    IL ~ 32 to 36    KY ~ 32 to 46    TN ~ 32 to 36
Winds
:  North and northwest at 8 to 16 mph and gusty before 10 pm.  North and northwest at 5 to 10 mph.
Wind Chill when applicable
:  N/A
Will there be a chance for wintry precipitation
?  No
Moonrise will be at 3:19 a.m. and moonset will be at 1:48 p.m.  Waning Crescent

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January 24, 2017
Tuesday Forecast Details
Forecast
: Partly cloudy.  Breezy.  Above normal temperatures.
What impacts are anticipated from the weather
?  Most likely none.
Is severe weather expected
?  No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph winds or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
What is the chance of precipitation
?  MO ~ 10%  IL ~ 10%   KY ~ 10%   TN ~ 10%
Coverage of precipitation
: Most likely none.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans
?  No
My confidence in the forecast verifying
:  Medium.  Some adjustments are possible.
Temperatures
:  MO ~ 54 to 58   IL ~ 52 to 56   KY ~ 52 to 56    TN ~ 52 to 56
Winds
:  South and southwest at 7 to 14 mph
Wind Chill when applicable
:  N/A
Will there be a chance for wintry precipitation
? No
Sunrise will be at 7:02  a.m. and sunset will be at 5:11 p.m.
UV Index
: 0 to 1
Moonrise 
will be at 4:11 a.m. and moonset will be at 2:32 p.m.  Waning Crescent


Tuesday Night Forecast Details
:
Forecast
:  Partly cloudy.  Cool.  Above normal temperatures.
What impacts are anticipated from the weather
?  Most likely none.
Is severe weather expected
?  No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph winds or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
What is the chance of precipitation
?  MO ~ 10%  IL ~ 10%   KY ~ 10%   TN ~ 10%
Coverage of precipitation
:  Most likely none.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans
?  No, but monitor updates
My confidence in the forecast verifying
: Medium.  Some adjustments are possible.
Temperatures
:  MO ~ 42 to 46    IL ~ 42 to 46   KY ~ 44 to 48   TN ~ 45 to 50
Winds
:  South and southwest turning out of the west at 10 to 20 mph and gusty.
Wind Chill when applicable
:  N/A
Will there be a chance for wintry precipitation
?  No
Moonrise will be at 4:11 a.m. and moonset will be at 2:32 p.m.  Waning Crescent

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January 25, 2017
Wednesday Forecast Details
Forecast
:  Partly sunny.  Above normal temperatures.
What impacts are anticipated from the weather
?  Maybe wet roadways.
Is severe weather expected
?  No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph winds or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
What is the chance of precipitation
?  MO ~ 10%  IL ~ 10%   KY ~ 10%   TN ~ 10%
Coverage of precipitation
: Most likely none.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans
?  No
My confidence in the forecast verifying
:  Low.  Significant adjustments are possible.
Temperatures
:  MO ~ 54 to 58   IL ~ 54 to 58   KY ~ 54 to 58    TN ~ 54 to 58
Winds
:  West at 8 to 16 mph
Wind Chill when applicable
:  N/A
Will there be a chance for wintry precipitation
? No
Sunrise will be at 7:01  a.m. and sunset will be at 5:12 p.m.
UV Index
: 1 to 2 
Moonrise 
will be at 5:02 a.m. and moonset will be at 3:22 p.m.  Waning Crescent


Wednesday Night Forecast Details
:
Forecast
:  Partly cloudy.  A 20% for showers.  Above normal temperatures.
What impacts are anticipated from the weather
?  Small chance for wet roadways. 
Is severe weather expected
?  No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph winds or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
What is the chance of precipitation
?  MO ~ 20%  IL ~ 20%   KY ~ 20%   TN ~ 20%
Coverage of precipitation
: None to isolated.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans
?  No
My confidence in the forecast verifying
: Low.  Significant adjustments are possible.
Temperatures
:  MO ~ 28 to 34    IL ~ 28 to 34   KY ~ 28 to 34   TN ~ 30 to 35
Winds
:  West at 7 to 14 mph.  Gusty early
Wind Chill when applicable
:  N/A
Will there be a chance for wintry precipitation
?  No
Moonrise will be at 5:02 a.m. and moonset will be at 3:22 p.m.  Waning Crescent

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January 26, 2017
Thursday Forecast Details
Forecast
:  Partly sunny. Cooler.
What impacts are anticipated from the weather
?  
Is severe weather expected
?  No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph winds or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
What is the chance of precipitation
?  MO ~ 10%  IL ~ 10%   KY ~ 10%   TN ~ 10%
Coverage of precipitation

Should I cancel my outdoor plans
?  No
My confidence in the forecast verifying
:  Low.  Significant adjustments are possible.
Temperatures
:  MO ~ 40 to 45   IL ~ 40 to 45  KY ~ 40 to 45   TN ~ 40 to 45
Winds
:  North and northwest at 5 to 10 mph
Wind Chill when applicable
:  N/A
Will there be a chance for wintry precipitation
? No
Sunrise will be at 7:00  a.m. and sunset will be at 5:14 p.m.
UV Index
: 1 to 2 
Moonrise 
will be at 5:50 a.m. and moonset will be at 4:14 p.m.  Waning Crescent


Thursday Night Forecast Details
:
Forecast
:  Clearing and colder.
What impacts are anticipated from the weather
?  
Is severe weather expected
?  No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph winds or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
What is the chance of precipitation
?  MO ~ 10%  IL ~ 10%   KY ~ 10%   TN ~ 10%
Coverage of precipitation
: None
Should I cancel my outdoor plans
?  No
My confidence in the forecast verifying
: Low.  Significant adjustments are possible.
Temperatures
:  MO ~ 24 to 28    IL ~ 24 to 28   KY ~ 24 to 28   TN ~ 24  to 28
Winds
:  
Wind Chill when applicable

Will there be a chance for wintry precipitation
?  No
Moonrise will be at 5:50 a.m. and moonset will be at 4:14 p.m.  Waning Crescent

 

More information on the UV index.  Click her

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Don’t forget to check out the Southern Illinois Weather Observatory web-site for weather maps, tower cams, scanner feeds, radars, and much more!  Click here

beausanalysis

An explanation of what is happening in the atmosphere over the coming day

  1.  Thunderstorm chances late Saturday?
  2.  Mild and mild.
  3.  Is winter over?

 

Friday night
Confidence:  HIGH

Temperatures will remain WELL above normal through the weekend.  Temperatures will remain above normal through at least next Wednesday night.

Some patchy fog will again be possible in the region.  Use care, if fog does develop.

Gusty winds are possible as we move into Friday evening and night.  Winds may gust 25 to 30 mph.  Occasional higher gusts possible.

The risk for showers Friday night is low.

Saturday and Saturday night
Confidence:  Medium

Saturday will deliver well above normal temperatures.  Highs well into the 60’s.  Again, odd for January.  I suppose we are now used to the spring temperatures.

Here is the temperature map for Saturday afternoon.  Could someone hit 70 degrees?  Possibly.

How many degrees above normal are temperatures forecast to be?

A few spotty showers are possible on Saturday morning and afternoon.  Perhaps a rumble of thunder, as well.

Rain and storm chances will ramp up on Saturday night into Sunday.  This will occur as an area of low pressure moves across the Tennessee Valley.

 

Severe weather?

The main concern on Saturday is the threat for severe weather over portions of our region.  This is a chance for previous updates.  The Storm Prediction Center has placed portions of the region in a marginal and slight risk for severe thunderstorms.  This includes the Missouri Bootheel, into western Tennessee, and western Kentucky.

I am skeptical of the risk.

There remains some discussion on the outlook.  The outlook was adjusted northward because the possibility of an area of low pressure developing over southwest Arkansas and moving northeast into our region.  This would enhance thunderstorm chances and could aid in the development of heavy storms.

I am, at least right now, skeptical of the severe weather risk locally.  Let’s monitor trends on Saturday.

Here is the official severe weather outlook from NOAA.  There might be adjustments in this map.  The SPC will update this map three or four more times between now and Saturday afternoon.

The marginal risk does extend into parts of Kentucky.  The slight risk is a notch above the marginal.  Both the marginal and slight risk mean that a few storms could reach severe levels.  Severe is defined as quarter size hail, 58+ mph winds, and/or a tornado.

Dark green is the marginal risk zone.  Yellow is the slight risk zone.  Orange is the highest risk zone on this map.  That would be the enhanced risk.


Tornado ingredients spike to our south on Saturday afternoon and night.

Let’s take a look at some additional maps.

This is the future-cast radar map for 4 PM on Saturday.  What radar might look like.  Keep in mind this is model guidance and not gospel.

This next map is for 11 PM on Saturday.  Let’s keep an eye on the storm to our southwest.

This next map is for 3 AM on Sunday

This next map is for 7 AM on Sunday.  Let’s keep an eye on these storms.  The risk for severe weather is not zero.

Here is the surface based CAPE map from the NAM model.  It does show CAPE in our region.  Typically it does not take much CAPE (during the winter months).  CAPE is a measure of energy in the atmosphere.  That energy can equal thunderstorms.

This map is for 6 PM on Saturday.  The best chance for heavier storms might be later into the night.  Again, let’s monitor Saturday evening into Saturday night/Sunday morning.

 

Sunday and Sunday night

Confidence:  High

A storm system will track to our south and southeast on Sunday.  This will help precipitation develop over our region.  Typically, this is a winter storm track for our region.  Not in 2017.  Rain and thunderstorms will be the forecast.

Rainfall totals from Saturday night into Sunday night could be locally heavy if thunderstorms develop.  The heaviest rain will likely fall over far southeast Missouri, extreme southern Illinois, Kentucky, and Tennessee.

Areas further north will see rain totals taper.

Totals of 0.30″ to 0.60″ are forecast for the southern half of the region.  Lesser totals as you travel north (see rain maps further down in the blog update).  Again, higher totals are likely to occur.  Some guidance is indicating totals above one inch.  The NAM even shows a band of two increase across the Missouri Bootheel into western Kentucky.

 

Gusty winds are likely to occur on Sunday afternoon into Sunday night.  Some gusts above 30 mph will be possible.

Here are the wind gust maps from the NAM guidance

Sunday 3 PM map

Sunday 6 PM map

Sunday 9 PM wind gust map

Monday 12 AM wind gust map

Monday
Confidence:  High

Our rain maker will pull away from the region on Monday.  Clouds may linger.  Precipitation chances will dwindle.  I have been trying to leave the Monday forecast dry.  I did include a 20% chance for a shower.

Temperatures will be cooler on Monday.  Normal high temperatures are around 40 to 43 degrees.  Cool on Monday, but nothing out of the ordinary.

 

Pattern Change:

There appears to be a battle setting up.  This battle will decide the rest of winter.  If the ridge over the southeast United States wins then winter is all but over.  The ridge would pump heights in our region and that would equal more above normal temperatures..

If the ridge loses then several significant cold air shots will push into our region during the Month of February.  Analogs are mixed on what will happen..

The models are battling the organic forecasting solutions.  The organic forecasting solutions show the ridge winning.  The models show the ridge losing and a wintry month ahead (February).

The two are at odds.  Time will tell.  Time is running out for snow lovers.  This has not been your year, thus far.

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WINTER WEATHER OUTLOOK was updated on Monday, January 16th.  The next update will be this coming weekend

Winter weather outlooks will be posted on the www.weathertalk.com website.  Look under the Winter Weather Outlook tab.  These are updated at least twice each week.

To register and receive the winter weather outlooks, please visit BeauDodsonWeather.com

If you would like to receive a text notification, when the winter weather outlooks are updated, then make sure you have opted into text option three.  The text options are found under the Personal Notification Settings tab on the weathertalk.com website.


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rainfallforecast

How much rain is expected over the coming days?

24 Hour Precipitation Totals

Click to enlarge these images from weatherbell.com

This first image is 6 AM Saturday through 6 AM Sunday

This first image is 6 AM Sunday through 6 AM Monday

Notice these totals have decreased somewhat.  That is because the system is tracking further south.

If you were to add the above maps together then you would end up with this solution.

Broad brushed rainfall for the next few days.

 

High and Low-Temperature Outlook 

Saturday morning low temperatures


Saturday afternoon high temperatures


Sunday morning low temperatures


Sunday Afternoon high temperatures

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Adjusted thunderstorm wording for Saturday and Saturday night.  Updated winds.

 

whatamiconcered

Morning fog is a concern.

Some strong storms are possible Saturday afternoon and night.  This is especially true for the Missouri Bootheel and western Tennessee.  Monitor updates.

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Severe thunderstorm outlook.

Remember that a severe thunderstorm is defined as a thunderstorm that produces 58 mph winds or higher, quarter size hail or larger, and/or a tornado.

Friday night:  Severe weather is not anticipated.

Saturday into Sunday night:  Some thunderstorms are possible during this time frame.  There is some indication that a weak area of low pressure will track into northeast Arkansas on Saturday evening/night.  The Storm Prediction Center has posted a marginal and slight risk for severe thunderstorms late Saturday afternoon into Saturday night for portions of southeast Missouri and western Tennessee.

The marginal risk extends into western Kentucky.  Let’s monitor updated forecasts, watches, and possible warnings.

Some general non-severe storms are possible on Sunday into Sunday evening.

The SPC will update this graphic SEVERAL more times between now and Saturday evening.

12345r

We have regional radars and local city radars – if a radar does not update then try another one. Occasional browsers need their cache cleared. You may also try restarting your browser. That usually fixes the problem. Occasionally we do have a radar go down. That is why I have duplicates. Thus, if one fails then try another one.

During the winter months you can track snow and ice by clicking the winterize button on the local city view interactive radars.

If you have any problems then please send me an email beaudodson@usawx.com

Interactive Weather Radar Page.  Choose the city nearest your location:  Click this link

National interactive radar:  Click this link.

Local interactive city radars include St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, Memphis, Nashville, Dyersburg, and all of eastern Kentucky.  These are interactive radars.  Local city radars – click here

Regional Radar
http://www.weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm

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Here are the current river stage forecasts.   You can click your state and then the dot for your location.  It will bring up the full forecast and hydrograph.

Click Here For River Stage Forecasts

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The official 6-10 day and 8-14 day temperature and precipitation outlook.  Check the date stamp at the top of each image (so you understand the time frame).

The forecast maps below are issued by the Weather Prediction Center (NOAA)

The latest 8-14 day temperature and precipitation outlook.  Note the dates are at the top of the image.  These maps DO NOT tell you how high or low temperatures or precipitation will be.  They simply give you the probability as to whether temperatures or precipitation will be above or below normal.

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Who do you trust for your weather information and who holds them accountable?

I have studied weather in our region since the late 1970’s.  I have 39 years of experience in observing our regions weather patterns.  My degree is in Broadcast Meteorology and a Bachelor’s of Science.

My resume includes:

Member of the American Meteorological Society.

NOAA Weather-Ready Nation Ambassador. 

Meteorologist for McCracken County Emergency Management.  I served from 2005 through 2015.

Meteorologist for McCracken County Rescue.  2015 through current

I own and operate the Southern Illinois Weather Observatory.

I am the chief meteorologist for Weather Talk LLC.  I am the owner of Weather Talk LLC.

I am also a business owner in western Kentucky.

Recipient of the Mark Trail Award, WPSD Six Who Make A Difference Award, Kentucky Colonel, and the Caesar J. Fiamma” Award from the American Red Cross

In 2005 I helped open the largest American Cross shelter in U.S. history in Houston, Texas.  I was deployed to help after Hurricane Katrina and Hurricane Rita.  I was a shelter manager of one of the Houston, Texas shelter divisions.

In 2009 I was presented with the Kentucky Office of Highway Safety Award. 

Recognized by the Kentucky House of Representatives for my service to the State of Kentucky leading up to several winter storms and severe weather outbreaks.

If you click on the image below you can read the Kentucky House of Representatives Resolution.

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I am also President of the Shadow Angel Foundation which serves portions of western Kentucky and southern Illinois.

There is a lot of noise on the internet.  A lot of weather maps are posted without explanation.  Over time you should learn who to trust for your weather information.

My forecast philosophy is simple and straight forward.

  • Communicate in simple terms
  • To be as accurate as possible within a reasonable time frame before an event
  • Interact with you on Twitter, Facebook, email, texts, and this blog
  • Minimize the “hype” that you might see on some television stations or through other weather sources
  • Push you towards utilizing wall-to-wall LOCAL TV coverage during severe weather events

Many of the graphics on this page are from www.weatherbell.com

WeatherBell is a great resource for weather model guidance.

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awaremail

You can sign up for my AWARE email by clicking here I typically send out AWARE emails before severe weather, winter storms, or other active weather situations. I do not email watches or warnings. The emails are a basic “heads up” concerning incoming weather conditions

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