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Milner and Orr Funeral Home and Cremation Services located in Paducah, Kentucky and three other western Kentucky towns – at Milner and Orr they believe in families helping families. You can find Milner and Orr on Facebook, as well.
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Are you in need of new eye glasses? New contacts? Perhaps you need an eye exam. Then be sure and visit the Eye Care Associates of western Kentucky (the Paducah location).
For all of your families eye care needs. Visit their web-site here. Or, you can also visit their Facebook page.
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Best at Enabling Body Shop Profitability since 1996. Located In Paducah Kentucky and Evansville Indiana; serving all customers in between. They provide Customer Service, along with all the tools necessary for body shops to remain educated and competitive. Click the logo above for their main web-site. You can find McClintock Preferred Finishes on Facebook, as well
Expressway Carwash and Express Lube are a locally owned and operated full service Carwash and Lube established in 1987. They have been proudly serving the community for 29 years now at their Park Avenue location and 20 years at their Southside location. They have been lucky enough to partner with Sidecar Deli in 2015, which allows them to provide their customers with not only quality service, but quality food as well. . If you haven’t already, be sure to make Expressway your one stop shop, with their carwash, lube and deli. For hours of operation and pricing visit www.expresswashlube.com or Expressway Carwash on Facebook.
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I have launched the new weather texting service! I could use your help. Be sure and sign up and fully support all of the weather data you see each day.
This is a monthly subscription service. Supporting this helps support everything else. The cost is $3 a month for one phone, $5 a month for three phones, and $10 a month for seven phones.
Winter storm forecasts will be posted on the www.weathertalk.com website. Look under the Daily Weather Summary tab. Forecasts begin the week of Thanksgiving.
For more information visit BeauDodsonWeather.com
Or directly sign up at Weathertalk.com
This forecast update covers far southern Illinois, far southeast Missouri, and far western Kentucky. See the coverage map on the right side of the blog
Winter storm forecasts will be posted on the www.weathertalk.com website (under the Daily Weather Summary tab). Remember, a typical month costs me over $700 to provide everyone the data and forecasts. Your support is important. Thank you.
The winter storm forecasts can be found under the Daily Weather Summary tab. You will also find the password there. The password will NOT be the one you use to sign into your personal weather talk account.
A new winter weather outlook will be posted on Monday or Tuesday of this week (19th/20th)
Here is the link to the new update – Daily Weather Summary tab
Your proceeds also help support the Shadow Angel Foundation projects. Including our yearly teddy bear program. We purchase brand new GUND bears for Child Watch and PASAC. We are planning on adding a new charity in January. Stay tuned for that announcement!
Also, big announcement on Christmas Day!
Contest:
Twenty-Five days of Christmas giving! I will be giving away weather radios and some other items! There will be forty winners. Contest begins now.
Here is the link for the contest. Click here
You may enter once every 24 hours! For example, if you enter at 10 on Friday then you can enter again at 10 am on Saturday.
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December 18, 2016
Sunday Night: Mostly clear. Perhaps a few clouds (especially eastern and southern counties in Kentucky/Tennessee). Bitterly cold. Coldest air of the season, thus far. Low wind chill values.
What impact is expected? Cold temperatures. Low wind-chill values. Frost bite.
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying: High. This forecast should verify.
Temperatures: Lows in the 4-11 degree range. Locally colder.
Wind Chill: -5 to 10 above
Winds: North at 4-8 mph
What is the chance for precipitation? MO ~ 0%. IL ~ 0%. KY ~ 10% . TN ~ 10%
Coverage of precipitation: None
Will there be a chance for frozen precipitation? No.
Is severe weather expected? No
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but it will be cold.
Sunday will be at 4:40 p.m.
Moonrise will be at 10:03 p.m. and moonset will be at 10:42 a.m. Waning Gibbous
Monday morning wind chills
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December 19, 2016
Monday: Mostly sunny. Perhaps some high clouds.
What impact is expected? Bitterly cold temperatures before 12 pm. Frost bite.
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying: High. This forecast should verify.
Temperatures: High temperatures in the 22-26 degree range.
Wind Chill: -5 to 10 degrees
Winds: North and northeast at 4-8 mph
What is the chance for precipitation? MO ~ 0%. IL ~ 0%. KY ~ 0% TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation? None anticipated.
Will there be a chance for frozen precipitation? No
Is severe weather expected? No
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Have a plan B. Cold temperatures and low wind chill values.
Sunrise will be at 7:03 p.m. and sunset will be at 4:40 p.m.
UV Index: 1-2
Moonrise will be at 11:02 p.m. and moonset will be at 11:19 a.m. Waning Gibbous
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December 19, 2016
Monday Night: Mostly clear and bitterly cold.
What impact is expected? Cold temperatures. Frost bite.
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying: High. This forecast should verify.
Temperatures: Lows in the 12-16 degree range. Locally colder temperatures are possible.
Wind Chill: 6-12 degree range
Winds: Northeast and east at 0-5 mph
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 0%. IL ~ 0%. KY ~ 0% . TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation: None
Will there be a chance for frozen precipitation? No
Is severe weather expected? No
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but it will be cold.
Sunset will be at 4:40 p.m.
Moonrise will be at 11:02 p.m. and moonset will be at 11:19 a.m. Waning Gibbous
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December 20, 2016
Tuesday: Mostly sunny and cold. Not as cold as Monday.
What impact is expected? Bitterly cold air during the morning hours.
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying: High. This forecast should verify.
Temperatures: High temperatures in the 36-40 degree range.
Wind Chill: 8-10 degrees before 10 am and 25-35 degrees after 10 am
Winds: South winds developing at 5 mph
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 0%. IL ~ 0%. KY ~ 0% TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation? None anticipated.
Will there be a chance for frozen precipitation? No
Is severe weather expected? No
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Sunrise will be at 7:04 a.m. and sunset will be at 4:41 p.m.
UV Index: 1-3
Moonrise will be at 11:59 p.m. and moonset will be at 11:51 a.m. Last Quarter
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Tuesday Night: Mostly clear. Cold.
What impact is expected? None anticipated.
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying: High. This forecast should verify.
Temperatures: Lows in the 22 to 26 degree range
Wind Chill: 15-20 degree range
Winds: South and southwest at 3-6 mph
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 0%. IL ~ 0%. KY ~ 0% . TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation: None
Will there be a chance for frozen precipitation? No
Is severe weather expected? No
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but it will be cold.
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December 21, 2016
Wednesday: Mostly sunny. Not as cold.
What impact is expected? None
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying: High. This forecast should verify.
Temperatures: High temperatures in the 42-46 degree range.
Wind Chill:
Winds: South winds at 5 mph
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 0%. IL ~ 0%. KY ~ 0% TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation? None anticipated.
Will there be a chance for frozen precipitation? No
Is severe weather expected? No
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Sunrise will be at 7:04 a.m. and sunset will be at 4:41 p.m.
UV Index: 1-3
Moonrise will be at —- p.m. and moonset will be at 12:22 a.m. Waning Crescent
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Wednesday Night: Partly cloudy. Not as cold.
What impact is expected? None anticipated.
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying: High. This forecast should verify.
Temperatures: Lows in the 28 to 34 degree range
Wind Chill:
Winds: Southwest winds becoming west and northwest at 3-6 mph
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 0%. IL ~ 0%. KY ~ 0% . TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation: None
Will there be a chance for frozen precipitation? No
Is severe weather expected? No
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
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December 22, 2016
Thursday: Partly sunny and cool.
What impact is expected? Bitterly cold air during the morning hours.
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying: High. This forecast should verify.
Temperatures: High temperatures in the 38 to 44 degree range.
Wind Chill:
Winds: West winds at 5 mph
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 0%. IL ~ 0%. KY ~ 0% TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation? None anticipated.
Will there be a chance for frozen precipitation? No
Is severe weather expected? No
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Sunrise will be at 7:05 a.m. and sunset will be at 4:42 p.m.
UV Index: 1-3
Moonrise will be at 12:56 a.m. and moonset will be at 12:53 p.m. Waning Crescent
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Thursday Night: Mostly clear.
What impact is expected? None anticipated.
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying: High. This forecast should verify.
Temperatures: Lows in the 23 to 26 degree range
Wind Chill:
Winds: Northwest winds becoming variable at 3-6 mph
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 0%. IL ~ 0%. KY ~ 0% . TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation: None
Will there be a chance for frozen precipitation? No
Is severe weather expected? No
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
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December 23, 2016
Friday: Mostly sunny
What impact is expected? Bitterly cold air during the morning hours.
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying: High. This forecast should verify.
Temperatures: High temperatures in the 43-46 degree range.
Wind Chill:
Winds: Northeast winds becoming east/southeast winds at 4-8 mph
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 0%. IL ~ 0%. KY ~ 0% TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation? None anticipated.
Will there be a chance for frozen precipitation? No
Is severe weather expected? No
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Sunrise will be at 7:05 a.m. and sunset will be at 4:42 p.m.
UV Index: 0-2
Moonrise will be at 1:51 a.m. and moonset will be at 1:24 p.m. Waning Crescent
Friday Night: Partly cloudy. Rain showers possible.
What impact is expected? Wet roadways.
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying: Medium. Some adjustments are possible.
Temperatures: Lows in the 34-38 degree range
Wind Chill:
Winds: South at 3-6 mph
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 30%. IL ~ 30%. KY ~ 30% . TN ~ 30%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
Will there be a chance for frozen precipitation? No
Is severe weather expected? No
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Monitor updates
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December 24, 2016
Saturday: Cloudy. Rain showers possible.
What impact is expected? Wet roadways.
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying: Medium. Some adjustments are possible.
Temperatures: High temperatures in the 48-52 degree range
Wind Chill:
Winds: South winds 5-10 mph.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 40%. IL ~ 40%. KY ~ 40% TN ~ 40%
Coverage of precipitation? Scattered
Will there be a chance for frozen precipitation? No
Is severe weather expected? Not at this time
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Monitor updates
Sunrise will be at 7:06 a.m. and sunset will be at 4:43 p.m.
UV Index: 0-1
Moonrise will be at 2:45 a.m. and moonset will be at 1:57 p.m. Waning Crescent
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Saturday Night: Cloudy. Rain possible.
What impact is expected? Wet roadways.
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying: Medium. Some adjustments are possible.
Temperatures: Lows in the middle 40’s
Wind Chill:
Winds: South at 6-12 mph
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 40%. IL ~ 40%. KY ~ 40% . TN ~ 40%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
Will there be a chance for frozen precipitation? No
Is severe weather expected? Not at this time
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Monitor updates.
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December 25, 2016
Christmas Day
Sunday: Cloudy. Rain showers possible. Breezy.
What impact is expected? Wet roadways.
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying: Medium. Some adjustments are possible.
Temperatures: High temperatures in the 50-55 degree range.
Wind Chill:
Winds: South and southwest winds at 8-16 mph.
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 40%. IL ~ 40%. KY ~ 40% TN ~ 40%
Coverage of precipitation? Scattered
Will there be a chance for frozen precipitation? No
Is severe weather expected? Not at this time
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Monitor updates
Sunrise will be at 7:06 a.m. and sunset will be at 4:44 p.m.
UV Index: 0-1
Moonrise will be at 3:40 a.m. and moonset will be at 2:31 p.m. Waning Crescent
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Sunday Night: Cloudy.
What impact is expected?
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying: Medium. Some adjustments are possible.
Temperatures: Lows in the 30-35 degree range
Wind Chill:
Winds: Southwest winds becoming west and northwest at 6-12 mph
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 0%. IL ~ 0%. KY ~ 0% . TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Will there be a chance for frozen precipitation?
Is severe weather expected? No
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?
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December 26, 2016
Monday: Partly sunny.
What impact is expected?
My confidence in this part of the forecast verifying: Low. Significant adjustments are possible.
Temperatures: High temperatures in the 35-40 degree range.
Wind Chill:
Winds:
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 0%. IL ~ 0%. KY ~ 0% TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation?
Will there be a chance for frozen precipitation?
Is severe weather expected?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?
Sunrise will be at 7:06 a.m. and sunset will be at 4:44 p.m.
UV Index: 1-2
Moonrise will be at 4:34 a.m. and moonset will be at 3:10 p.m. Waning Crescent
More information on the UV index. Click here
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The School Bus Stop Forecast is sponsored by Heath Health and Wellness. Located next to Crowell Pools in Lone Oak, Kentucky.
Visit their website here. And. visit Heath Health Foods on Facebook!
Heath Health Foods is a locally owned and operated retail health and wellness store. Since opening in February 2006; the store has continued to grow as a ministry with an expanding inventory which also offers wellness appointments and services along with educational opportunities. Visit their web-site here. And. visit Heath Health Foods on Facebook
Don’t forget to check out the Southern Illinois Weather Observatory web-site for weather maps, tower cams, scanner feeds, radars, and much more! Click here
CHRISTMAS GIVEAWAY!!! FORTY WINNERS.
I am giving away 25 Midland NOAA Weather Radios (a value of $60 per radio). I am giving away 14 one year subscriptions to the texting service. I am giving away a $100 Amazon gift certificate!
You may enter once per day through Christmas. You must wait 24 hours before re-entering. The contest ends at 6 pm on Christmas Day! There will be FORTY winners!
Winners will be randomly drawn through the service that runs my contests.
You can find more information on the Beau Dodson Weather Facebook page and/or the daily weather blog updates.
The contest ends on Christmas Day at 6 pm.
You may enter once each day! You have to wait 24 hours before each entry. For example, if you enter at 10 on Friday then you can enter again at 10 am on Saturday.
Click graphic to enter the contest.
An explanation of what is happening in the atmosphere over the coming day
- Bitterly cold temperatures. Dangerous wind chills on Sunday night/Monday morning.
- Moderating temperatures mid-week
- Several systems to monitor
- BIG Christmas giveaway contest continues. I am giving away 25 Midland 300 NOAA weather radios (valued at $60 each)! Subscriptions to the texting service! A $100 gift card from Amazon. The contest is open NOW! You must wait 24 hours before entering each day. See details below. There will be FORTY winners!
Wow. What a weekend. I am not sure I can remember such a dramatic cold front in this part of the country. Some of you experienced temperatures reaching into the middle and upper 70’s on Saturday afternoon. This morning you were in the teens. Some locations dropped more than 50 degrees. Amazing. A rare event. One for the books.
Temperatures were 6-12 degrees warmer on Saturday than anticipated. This caused the CAPE numbers to go up. This is why we had severe weather. Some areas had golf ball to baseball size hail. Lone Oak, Kentucky recorded 2.2″ size hail. New Madrid County, Missouri had nearly baseball size.
I was thinking the severe threat was low (when I mentioned it on Friday). That quickly changed Saturday morning when I saw temperatures moving into the 70’s. Had to ramp up fast.
Several tornado warnings were issued. Numerous severe thunderstorm warnings were issued.
The weather has calmed down. Now we are dealing with bitterly cold air.
Lows tonight will dip into the single digits to lower teens. Wind chills tonight and Monday morning will range from -5 to 5 above. COLD! Kids at the bus stop should have gloves on. It would not take much time for frost bite to develop.
Dry weather is anticipated through Wednesday. There has been some on and off hints of precipitation late in the week. I will monitor trends. Friday is the time frame to monitor. EC guidance shows rain.
I am monitoring a series of storm systems. One of those might hit during Christmas weekend. Rain? Storms? Frozen? Too soon to know. We need to closely monitor storm track. As always, monitor updates.
Check out these 24 hour temperature drops. Impressive. That is an understatement.
Click image for a larger view.
Graphical model map of changes from noon Saturday to noon Sunday (some of these numbers were actually larger than shown)
Here are the three systems I am monitoring.
The GFS shows this one hitting Christmas Day and the day after. I have been tracking this system for a month.
Another system showing up around December 29th and 30th
Another system showing up around January 3rd. Wow, busy busy.
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How much rain is expected over the coming days?
This image is the official NOAA/WPC/NWS rainfall forecast graphic.
No rain or snow through Wednesday.
Temperature Outlook
Monday morning low temperatures
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Monday afternoon temperatures at 4 pm
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Tuesday morning low temperatures
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Tuesday afternoon high temperatures
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.Regional Radar
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We have regional radars and local city radars – if a radar does not seem to be updating then try another one. Occasional browsers need their cache cleared. You may also try restarting your browser. That usually fixes the problem. Occasionally we do have a radar go down. That is why I have duplicates. Thus, if one fails then try another one.
If you have any problems then please send me an email beaudodson@usawx.com
WEATHER RADAR PAGE – Click here —
We also have a new national interactive radar – you can view that radar by clicking here.
Local interactive city radars include St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, Memphis, Nashville, Dyersburg, and all of eastern Kentucky – these are interactive radars. Local city radars – click here
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Live Lightning Data – zoom and pan: Click here
Live Lightning Data with sound (click the sound button on the left side of the page): Click here
Can we expect severe thunderstorms over the next 24 to 48 hours? Remember that a severe thunderstorm is defined as a thunderstorm that produces 58 mph winds or higher, quarter size hail or larger, and/or a tornado.
Sunday night through Thursday: Severe weather is not anticipated.
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No major changes.
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Bitterly cold air on Sunday night/Monday morning. Single digits possible. Lower teens likely. Wind chills will be even colder.
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The latest 8-14 day temperature and precipitation outlook. Note the dates are at the top of the image. These maps DO NOT tell you how high or low temperatures or precipitation will be. They simply give you the probability as to whether temperatures or precipitation will be above or below normal.
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Here are the current river stage forecasts. You can click your state and then the dot for your location. It will bring up the full forecast and hydrograph.
Who do you trust for your weather information and who holds them accountable?
I have studied weather in our region since the late 1970’s. I have 38 years of experience in observing our regions weather patterns. I hold a Bachelor’s of Science in Geo-sciences with a concentration in Broadcast Meteorology. I graduated from Mississippi State University.
My resume includes:
Member of the American Meteorological Society.
NOAA Weather-Ready Nation Ambassador.
Meteorologist for McCracken County Rescue Squad. I served from 2005 through 2015
Meteorologist for the McCracken County Rescue Squad 2015-current
I own and operate the Southern Illinois Weather Observatory.
Recipient of the Mark Trail Award, WPSD Six Who Make A Difference Award, Kentucky Colonel, and the Caesar J. Fiamma” Award from the American Red Cross.
In 2009 I was presented with the Kentucky Office of Highway Safety Award.
Recognized by the Kentucky House of Representatives for my service to the State of Kentucky leading up to several winter storms and severe weather outbreaks.
I am also President of the Shadow Angel Foundation which serves portions of western Kentucky and southern Illinois.
There is a lot of noise on the internet. A lot of weather maps are posted without explanation. Over time you should learn who to trust for your weather information.
My forecast philosophy is simple and straight forward.
- Communicate in simple terms
- To be as accurate as possible within a reasonable time frame before an event
- Interact with you on Twitter, Facebook, and the blog
- Minimize the “hype” that you might see on television or through other weather sources
- Push you towards utilizing wall-to-wall LOCAL TV coverage during severe weather events
I am a recipient of the Mark Trail Award, WPSD Six Who Make A Difference Award, Kentucky Colonel, and the Caesar J. Fiamma” Award from the American Red Cross. In 2009 I was presented with the Kentucky Office of Highway Safety Award. I was recognized by the Kentucky House of Representatives for my service to the State of Kentucky leading up to several winter storms and severe weather outbreaks.
If you click on the image below you can read the Kentucky House of Representatives Resolution.
Many of my graphics are from www.weatherbell.com – a great resource for weather data, model data, and more
You can sign up for my AWARE email by clicking here I typically send out AWARE emails before severe weather, winter storms, or other active weather situations. I do not email watches or warnings. The emails are a basic “heads up” concerning incoming weather conditions.
