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This forecast covers the counties in red. The counties in orange are covered by the forecast discussion further down in the blog.
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The winter outlook has been posted on the subscriber site
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December 1, 2017
Friday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast: Mostly clear early in the night. A few passing clouds late. Chilly. A slight chance of a sprinkle or light rain.
Temperatures: MO ~ 32 to 36 IL ~ 32 to 36 KY ~ 32 to 36
Wind chill values: N/A
Accumulating snow or ice: No
Winds: Variable at 0 to 6 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Most likely none. Small chance of a shower.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Is freezing rain, sleet, or snow expected? No
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 20% IL ~ 20% KY ~ 20%
Coverage of precipitation: None to isolated.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans: No
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December 2, 2017
Saturday Forecast Details
Forecast: Some morning clouds possible. Becoming mostly sunny.
Temperatures: MO ~ 55 to 60 IL ~ 55 to 58 KY ~ 55 to 58
Wind chill values: N/A
Accumulating snow or ice: No
Winds: East and southeast winds becoming south and southwest at 5 to 10 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? None
My confidence in the forecast verifying: High
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Is freezing rain, sleet, or snow expected? No
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 0% IL ~ 0% KY ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation: None
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
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Saturday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast: Mostly clear and cool.
Temperatures: MO ~ 35 to 40 IL ~ 35 to 40 KY ~ 35 to 40
Wind chill values: N/A
Accumulating snow or ice: No
Winds: West and southwest at 4 to 8 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? None
My confidence in the forecast verifying: High
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Is freezing rain, sleet, or snow expected? No
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 0% IL ~ 0% KY ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation: None
Should I cancel my outdoor plans: No
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December 3, 2017
Sunday Forecast Details
Forecast: Partly to mostly sunny. Warmer.
Temperatures: MO ~ 60 to 64 IL ~ 58 to 64 KY ~ 58 to 64
Wind chill values: N/A
Accumulating snow or ice: No
Winds: East winds becoming more southerly at 5 to 10 mph with gusts to 18 mph (higher winds over IL/MO vs KY/TN)
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? None
My confidence in the forecast verifying: High
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Is freezing rain, sleet, or snow expected? No
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 0% IL ~ 0% KY ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation: None
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
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Sunday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast: Partly cloudy early with increasing clouds overnight.
Temperatures: MO ~ 43 to 46 IL ~ 43 to 46 KY ~ 43 to 46
Wind chill values: N/A
Accumulating snow or ice: No
Winds: South and southeast at 6 to 12 mph with gusts to 15 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? None
My confidence in the forecast verifying: High
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Is freezing rain, sleet, or snow expected? No
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 10% IL ~ 0% KY ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation: Most likely none
Should I cancel my outdoor plans: No
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December 4, 2017
Monday Forecast Details
Forecast: Partly sunny. Breezy. Some increase in clouds possible, especially late in the day. Isolated showers or thunderstorms possible.
Temperatures: MO ~ 63 to 66 IL ~ 63 to 66 KY ~ 63 to 66
Wind chill values: N/A
Accumulating snow or ice: No
Winds: Southerly at 6 to 12 mph with gusts to 26 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways. Lightning.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Is freezing rain, sleet, or snow expected? No
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 30% IL ~ 20% KY ~ 20%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
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Monday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast: Becoming cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms developing. Temperatures may hold steady or rise a bit in front of the cold front. Timing of the front will be key to when the band of showers and storms moves through the region. A few strong storms possible. Gusty winds, as well.
Temperatures: MO ~ 45 to 50 IL ~ 45 to 50 KY ~ 45 to 50
Wind chill values: N/A
Accumulating snow or ice: No
Winds: South at 10 to 20 mph with gusts to 35 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways. Lightning. Locally heavy downpours.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium
Is severe weather expected? A few storms could be strong. The severe weather threat remains uncertain.
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Is freezing rain, sleet, or snow expected? No
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 80% IL ~ 80% KY ~ 80%
Coverage of precipitation: Perhaps widespread as the night wears on.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans: No, but monitor updates.
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December 5, 2017
Tuesday Forecast Details
Forecast: Partly cloudy. Showers possible. Perhaps a thunderstorm early in the morning. Breezy, at times. Rain ending from west to east. Turning cooler behind the cold front. Small chance for a wintry mix at the end of the system.
Temperatures: MO ~ 50 to 55 with falling temps possible IL ~ 50 to 55 with falling temps possible KY ~ 50 to 55 with falling temps possible
Wind chill values: N/A
Accumulating snow or ice: No
Winds: Winds becoming west and northwest at 15 to 30 mph. Gusty.
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways and lightning (early)
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium
Is severe weather expected? Not at this time
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Is freezing rain, sleet, or snow expected? No
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 60% IL ~ 60% KY ~ 60%
Coverage of precipitation: Numerous early in the day. Ending from west to east as the day wears on.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Morning plans may be interrupted by rain.
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Tuesday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast: Evening clouds. Most of the precip should have ended. Decreasing clouds overnight. Turning colder.
Temperatures: MO ~ 28 to 32 IL ~ 28 to 32 KY ~ 28 to 32
Wind chill values: 25 to 30
Accumulating snow or ice: No
Winds: North and northwest at 5 to 10 mph with gusts to 15 mph.
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Most likely none. Perhaps patchy fog.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Is freezing rain, sleet, or snow expected? No
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 10% IL ~ 10% KY ~ 20%
Coverage of precipitation: Most likely none
Should I cancel my outdoor plans: No
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December 6, 2017
Wednesday Forecast Details
Forecast: Mostly sunny and colder.
Temperatures: MO ~ 38 to 44 IL ~ 38 to 44 KY ~ 38 to 44
Wind chill values: 34 to 38
Accumulating snow or ice: No
Winds: North at 5 to 10 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? None
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Is freezing rain, sleet, or snow expected? No
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 0% IL ~ 0% KY ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation: None anticipated
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
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Wednesday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast: Partly cloudy and colder.
Temperatures: MO ~ 23 to 26 IL ~ 23 to 26 KY ~ 23 to 26
Wind chill values: 20 to 25
Accumulating snow or ice: No
Winds: Variable winds at 5 to 10 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Most likely none
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Is freezing rain, sleet, or snow expected? No
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 0% IL ~ 0% KY ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation: None
Should I cancel my outdoor plans: No
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December 7, 2017
Thursday Forecast Details
Forecast: Mostly sunny and colder.
Temperatures: MO ~ 38 to 44 IL ~ 38 to 44 KY ~ 38 to 44
Wind chill values: 34 to 38
Accumulating snow or ice: No
Winds:
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? None
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Is freezing rain, sleet, or snow expected? No
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 0% IL ~ 0% KY ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation: None anticipated
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
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Thursday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast: Increasing clouds. A 30% of snow.
Temperatures: MO ~ 23 to 26 IL ~ 23 to 26 KY ~ 23 to 26
Wind chill values: 20 to 25
Accumulating snow or ice: Monitor updates
Winds: Variable winds at 7 to 14 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
My confidence in the forecast verifying: LOW
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph wind or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
Is freezing rain, sleet, or snow expected? No
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 30% IL ~ 30% KY ~ 30%
Coverage of precipitation:
Should I cancel my outdoor plans: Monitor updates
I am monitoring December 14th through the 16th for a storm system.
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Saturday through next Tuesday morning: Accumulating snow or ice is not anticipated.
Next Wednesday through next Sunday: Winter precipitation can not be ruled out, but confidence is low.
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The National Weather Service definition of a severe thunderstorm is one that produces quarter size hail or larger, 58 mph winds or greater, and/or a tornado.
Saturday through Tuesday: Thunderstorms are possible on Monday afternoon into Tuesday morning. Some of the storms could produce strong and gusty winds. Lightning. There is a small risk of severe weather. Monitor updates.
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Weather Highlights:
A long winter weather outlook today on the subscriber page. Numerous graphics and videos.
You may subscribe at www.beaudodsonweather.com
You can view the winter outlook by visiting this website
https://weathertalk.com/app/dailysummary
Look for the Friday, December 1, 2017 post (it will say winter weather outlook with a link underneath)
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We offer regional radars and local city radars – if a radar does not update then try another one. Occasional browsers need their cache cleared. You may also try restarting your browser. This will usually fix any problems.
During the winter you can track snow and ice by clicking the winterize button on the local city view interactive radars.
You may email me at beaudodson@usawx.com
Interactive Weather Radar Page. Choose the city nearest your location: Click this link
National interactive radar: Click this link.
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Whom do you trust for your weather information?
I have studied weather, in our region, since the late 1970’s. I have 40 years of experience in observing our regions weather patterns. My degree is in Broadcast Meteorology and a Bachelor’s of Science.
My resume includes:
Member of the American Meteorological Society.
NOAA Weather-Ready Nation Ambassador.
Meteorologist for McCracken County Emergency Management. I served from 2005 through 2015.
Meteorologist for McCracken County Rescue. 2015 through current
I own and operate the Southern Illinois Weather Observatory.
I am the chief meteorologist for Weather Talk LLC.
I am also a business owner in western Kentucky.
Recipient of the Mark Trail Award, WPSD Six Who Make A Difference Award, Kentucky Colonel, and the Caesar J. Fiamma” Award from the American Red Cross.
In 2005, I helped open the largest American Cross shelter in U.S. history. This was in Houston, Texas. I was deployed to help with the aftermath of Hurricane Katrina and Hurricane Rita. I was a shelter manager of one of the Houston, Texas shelter divisions.
In 2009 I was presented with the Kentucky Office of Highway Safety Award.
Recognized by the Kentucky House of Representatives for my service to the State of Kentucky leading up to several winter storms and severe weather outbreaks.
If you click on the image below you can read the Kentucky House of Representatives Resolution.
I am President of the Shadow Angel Foundation which serves portions of western Kentucky and southern Illinois.
There is a lot of noise on the internet. A lot of weather maps are posted without explanation. You need a trusted source for information.
My forecast philosophy is simple and straight forward.
- Communicate in simple terms
- To be as accurate as possible within a reasonable time frame before an event
- Interact with you on Twitter, Facebook, email, texts, and this blog
- Minimize the “hype” that you might see through other weather sources
- Push you towards utilizing wall-to-wall LOCAL TV coverage during severe weather events
