Beau Dodson's WeatherTalk Blog

August 23rd and 24th. Spectacular forecast.

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Interactive Weather Radar Page.  Choose the city nearest your location:  Click this link
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Weather Talk subscribers ~ I have hired a team of long-range meteorologist to help cover agriculture forecasts.  Videos are updated once or twice each day (Monday through Friday).
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Videos can be viewed at this link.    Long Range Video Update

If you believe you missed a video then you can also click the LIVE FEED link on the Weather Talk website.  That page holds links for several days.

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This forecast update covers southern Illinois, southeast Missouri, western Kentucky. and northwest Tennessee.
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The following link is for Weather Text subscribers.  This is the page where short and long range video outlooks have been posted.  The videos are being produced by a team of meteorologists.  Some of the best in the region.
https://weathertalk.com/app/beaucast

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August 23, 2017
Wednesday Night Forecast Details:

The September outlook has been posted for subscribers. 

Click here to view that outlook


Forecast
:  Mostly clear and cooler.  Less humid.  Patchy fog possible.  Leave the windows open kind of night.
Temperatures:   MO ~ 52 to 56      IL ~ 50 to 56      KY ~ 55 to 60      TN ~ 55 to 50
Winds: Northerly winds 5 to 10 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  Most likely none.  Patchy fog perhaps.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: High.  This forecast should verify.
Is severe weather expected?  No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph winds or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
What is the chance of precipitation
?  MO ~ 0%    IL ~ 0%    KY ~ 0%    TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation
:  None anticipated.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No

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August 24, 2017
Thursday F
orecast Details
Forecast:  Mostly sunny.  Pleasant.  Not as humid as earlier in the week.
Temperatures:   MO ~ 78 to 82     IL ~ 78 to 82     KY ~78 to 82     TN ~78 to 82
Winds:  North at 4 to 8 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  None
My confidence in the forecast verifying:  High.  This forecast should verify.
Is severe weather expected?  No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph winds or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
What is the chance of precipitation
?  MO ~ 0%    IL ~ 0%    KY ~ 0%    TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation
: None
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No
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Thursday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast
:  Mostly clear to partly cloudy. Patchy fog.  Cool.
Temperatures:   MO ~ 52 to 56      IL ~ 52 to 56      KY ~ 56 to 62       TN ~ 56 o 62
Winds: Light from the north
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Patchy fog could lower visibility in some areas.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: High.  This forecast should verify.
Is severe weather expected?  No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph winds or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
What is the chance of precipitation
?  MO ~ 0%    IL ~ 0%    KY ~ 0%    TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation
:  None
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No

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August 25, 2017
Friday F
orecast Details
Forecast:  Mostly sunny.   A few passing clouds as a weak system passes through the area.
Temperatures:   MO ~ 76 to 82     IL ~ 76 to 82     KY ~ 76 to 82     TN ~ 76 to 82
Winds:  East and northeast at 4 to 8 mph.  Winds variable at times.
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  None
My confidence in the forecast verifying:  High.  This forecast should verify.
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph winds or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
What is the chance of precipitation
?  MO ~ 0%    IL ~ 0%    KY ~ 0%    TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation
: None
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No
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Friday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast
:  Mostly clear.  Patchy fog possible.
Temperatures:   MO ~ 55 to 60      IL ~ 55 to 60        KY ~ 55 to 60        TN ~ 55 to 60
Winds:  Light from the east less than 5 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  Patchy fog could lower visibility in some areas.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: High.  This forecast should verify.
Is severe weather expected?  No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph winds or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
What is the chance of precipitation
?  MO ~ 0%    IL ~ 0%    KY ~ 0%    TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation
:  None
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No

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August 26, 2017
Saturday F
orecast Details
Forecast:  Mostly sunny.  Pleasant.
Temperatures:   MO ~ 76 to 82      IL ~ 76 to 82     KY ~76 to 82      TN ~76 to 82
Winds:  Northeast and east at 4 to 8 mph with gusts to 12 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  None
My confidence in the forecast verifying:  High.  This forecast should verify.
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph winds or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
What is the chance of precipitation
?  MO ~ 0%    IL ~ 0%    KY ~ 0%    TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation
: None
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
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Saturday night Forecast Details:
Forecast
:  Mostly clear.
Temperatures:   MO ~ 58 to 64      IL ~ 58 to 64      KY ~ 58 to 64      TN ~ 58 to 64
Winds: Northeast and east at 5 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Patchy fog could lower visibility in some areas.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: High.  This forecast should verify.
Is severe weather expected?  No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph winds or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
What is the chance of precipitation
?  MO ~ 0%    IL ~ 0%    KY ~ 0%    TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation
:  None
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No

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August 27, 2017
Sunday F
orecast Details
Forecast:  Partly to mostly sunny.  Mild.
Temperatures:   MO ~ 80 to 85    IL ~ 80 to 85     KY ~ 80 to 85     TN ~80 to 85
Winds:  Variable at 5 to 10 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? None
My confidence in the forecast verifying:  High
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph winds or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
What is the chance of precipitation
?  MO ~ 0%    IL ~ 0%    KY ~ 0%    TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation
: None
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  No
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Sunday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast
:  Partly cloudy.  A late night shower possible.
Temperatures:   MO ~ 56 to 62      IL ~ 56 to 62      KY ~ 56 to 62       TN ~ 56 to 62
Winds: Light and variable
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways.
My confidence in the forecast verifying:  Medium.  Adjustments are possible.
Is severe weather expected?  No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph winds or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
What is the chance of precipitation
?  MO ~ 20%    IL ~ 20%    KY ~ 20%    TN ~ 20%
Coverage of precipitation
:  Perhaps a few late night showers
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No

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August 28, 2017
Monday F
orecast Details
Forecast:  Some clouds.  A chance for a shower or thunderstorm.
Temperatures:   MO ~ 76 to 82    IL ~ 76 to 82     KY ~78 to 84     TN ~78 to 84
Winds:  Southeast at 5 to 10 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways
My confidence in the forecast verifying:  Low.  Significant adjustments are possible.
Is severe weather expected?  No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph winds or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
What is the chance of precipitation
?  MO ~ 40%    IL ~ 40%    KY ~ 40%    TN ~ 40%
Coverage of precipitation
:  Scattered
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  Monitor
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Monday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast
:  Cloudy.  Scattered showers and thunderstorms possible.
Temperatures:   MO ~ 58 to 64      IL ~ 58 to 64      KY ~ 58 to 64      TN ~ 58 to 64
Winds: Variable at 5 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  Wet roadways.
My confidence in the forecast verifyingLow.  Significant adjustments are possible.
Is severe weather expected?  No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph winds or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
What is the chance of precipitation
?  MO ~ 40%    IL ~ 40%    KY ~ 40%    TN ~ 40%
Coverage of precipitation
:  Scattered
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  Monitor

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August 29, 2017
Tuesday F
orecast Details
Forecast:  Cloudy.  Showers and thunderstorms possible.
Temperatures:   MO ~ 76 to 82    IL ~ 76 to 82     KY ~78 to 84     TN ~78 to 84
Winds:  Southeast at 5 to 10 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways
My confidence in the forecast verifying:  Low.  Significant adjustments are possible.
Is severe weather expected?  No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph winds or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
What is the chance of precipitation
?  MO ~ 30%    IL ~ 30%    KY ~ 30%    TN ~ 40%
Coverage of precipitation
:  Scattered
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  Monitor
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Tuesday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast
:  Cloudy.  Scattered showers and thunderstorms possible.
Temperatures:   MO ~ 58 to 64      IL ~ 58 to 64      KY ~ 58 to 64      TN ~ 58 to 64
Winds: Variable at 5 mph
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?  Wet roadways.
My confidence in the forecast verifyingLow.  Significant adjustments are possible.
Is severe weather expected?  No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph winds or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
What is the chance of precipitation
?  MO ~ 30%    IL ~ 30%    KY ~ 30%    TN ~ 40%
Coverage of precipitation
:  Scattered
Should I cancel my outdoor plans?  Monitor

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Don’t forget to check out the Southern Illinois Weather Observatory web-site for weather maps, tower cams, scanner feeds, radars, and much more!  Click here

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A severe thunderstorm is defined as a storm that produces quarter size hail or larger, 58 mph winds or greater, and/or a tornado.  That is the official National Weather Service definition of a severe thunderstorm

Wednesday night through Sunday: Severe weather is not anticipated.

Monday through Wednesday of next week:  I will be monitoring a possible tropical system moving into the Mississippi Valley.  Too far out for details on track and impacts.  Monitor updates.

 

beausanalysis

 

One of our latest local charity projects has been completed!

Beau Dodson Weather and Weather Talk in your community.  If you would like to help support these projects then sign up for www.beaudodsonweather.com

A portion of the subscription fee is used for community projects!

We were excited about this project!  So happy to be able to help.  This project was funded by Weather Talk.

This was Calloway County School District.  Murray, Kentucky.  Grades 3 through 5.

Dear Beau Dodson,

I cannot even begin to thank you enough for the resources that you have donated to my classroom. My class has already benefited greatly from having Chromebooks to access grade level standards and activities and we just started the school year! Because of your generous donation, I am able to ability group my students, while scaffolding their work to meet their individual needs. Without these Chromebooks, this simply would not be a possibility. My students are now sure to grow by leaps and bounds while accessing materials in a fun and engaging way. Thank you for digging deep in order to help others succeed! I am truly grateful for you and this generous donation!

With gratitude,
Mrs. Falwell

Some photos from the project

The weather is going to be AMAZING right on through Sunday.

Lower dew points, lower temperatures, and plenty of sunshine.

Some of you likely still need rain, but at least it won’t be miserable outside!  Five star forecast temp wise.

I am monitoring the tropics (see the September outlook on the subscriber page for more information.

Thursday lows

Thursday highs

Friday lows

Friday highs

Saturday lows

Saturday highs

Sunday highs

Sunday lows

Are you subscribing to the Weather Talk texts and videos?

We now have premiere videos for the short and long range forecasts!  Make sure you have text option four turned on (green).

Sign up at www.beaudodsonweather.com

We also have an Apple and Android app (scroll down to bottom of the page for more information)

Were you aware that I have hired some help for long range videos?  Short range videos, as well.  An amazing team of meteorologists.

Click the link below to read more

http://cms.weathertalk.com/meet-the-team/

Weather Talk subscribers now have some of the best short and long range weather videos produced across the eastern United States.

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Find me on Twitter

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We have regional radars and local city radars – if a radar does not update then try another one. Occasional browsers need their cache cleared. You may also try restarting your browser. That usually fixes the problem. Occasionally we do have a radar go down. That is why I have duplicates. Thus, if one fails then try another one.

During the winter you can track snow and ice by clicking the winterize button on the local city view interactive radars.

If you have any problems then please send me an email beaudodson@usawx.com

Interactive Weather Radar Page.  Choose the city nearest your location:  Click this link

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Local interactive city radars include St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, Memphis, Nashville, Dyersburg, and all of eastern Kentucky.  These are interactive radars.  Local city radars – click here

 

The Beau Dodson Weather APP is ready for Apple and Android users.  The purpose of this app is for me to deliver your text messages instantly.  ATT and Verizon have not always been reliable when it comes to speed.  The app allows instant delivery.

Some of you have asked if you can keep receiving the texts on your phone and the app.  The answer to that is, yes.  The Android app will automatically allow that to happen.  On the Apple app, however, you will need to go into your app and click settings.  Make sure the green tab is OFF.  Off means you will still receive the texts to your phone and the app.  If you have any questions, then email me at beaudodson@usawx.com

The app is for text subscribers.

The direct download, for the Apple app, can be viewed here

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The Android app is also ready.

Remember, the app’s are for www.weathertalk.com subscribers.  The app allows your to receive the text messages faster than ATT and Verizon.

Here is the download link for the Android version  Click Here

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Who do you trust for your weather information and who holds them accountable?

I have studied weather in our region since the late 1970’s.  I have 39 years of experience in observing our regions weather patterns.  My degree is in Broadcast Meteorology and a Bachelor’s of Science.

My resume includes:

Member of the American Meteorological Society.

NOAA Weather-Ready Nation Ambassador.

Meteorologist for McCracken County Emergency Management.  I served from 2005 through 2015.

Meteorologist for McCracken County Rescue.  2015 through current

I own and operate the Southern Illinois Weather Observatory.

I am the chief meteorologist for Weather Talk LLC.  I am the owner of Weather Talk LLC.

I am also a business owner in western Kentucky.

Recipient of the Mark Trail Award, WPSD Six Who Make A Difference Award, Kentucky Colonel, and the Caesar J. Fiamma” Award from the American Red Cross.

In 2005 I helped open the largest American Cross shelter in U.S. history in Houston, Texas.  I was deployed to help after Hurricane Katrina and Hurricane Rita.  I was a shelter manager of one of the Houston, Texas shelter divisions.

In 2009 I was presented with the Kentucky Office of Highway Safety Award.

Recognized by the Kentucky House of Representatives for my service to the State of Kentucky leading up to several winter storms and severe weather outbreaks.

If you click on the image below you can read the Kentucky House of Representatives Resolution.

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I am also President of the Shadow Angel Foundation which serves portions of western Kentucky and southern Illinois.

There is a lot of noise on the internet.  A lot of weather maps are posted without explanation.  Over time you should learn who to trust for your weather information.

My forecast philosophy is simple and straight forward.

  • Communicate in simple terms
  • To be as accurate as possible within a reasonable time frame before an event
  • Interact with you on Twitter, Facebook, email, texts, and this blog
  • Minimize the “hype” that you might see on some television stations or through other weather sources
  • Push you towards utilizing wall-to-wall LOCAL TV coverage during severe weather events

Many of the graphics on this page are from www.weatherbell.com

WeatherBell is a great resource for weather model guidance.

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You can sign up for my AWARE email by clicking here I typically send out AWARE emails before severe weather, winter storms, or other active weather situations. I do not email watches or warnings. The emails are a basic “heads up” concerning incoming weather conditions

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