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This forecast update covers far southern Illinois, far southeast Missouri, and far western Kentucky. See the coverage map on the right side of the blog
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Interactive Weather Radar Page. Choose the city nearest your location: Click this link
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April 7, 2017
Friday Night Forecast Details:
Frost possible.
Forecast: Mostly clear and cold. Frost likely.
Temperatures: MO ~ 34 to 38 IL ~ 34 to 38 KY ~ 34 to 38 TN ~ 35 to 40 Some areas could experience slightly cooler temperatures. Favored cold spots.
Winds: Northwest winds at 4 to 8 mph early and then 0 to 5 mph late
My confidence in the forecast verifying: High. This forecast should verify.
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Frost is a possibility.
Is severe weather expected? No.
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph winds or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 0% IL ~ 0% KY ~ 0% TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation: None.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
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April 8, 2017
Saturday Forecast Details
Forecast: Mostly sunny. Perhaps a few passing clouds. Milder.
Temperatures: MO ~65 to 70 IL ~ 65 to 68 KY ~ 65 to 70 TN ~ 66 to 72
Winds: Winds becoming south and southwest at 6 to 12 mph.
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? None
My confidence in the forecast verifying: High. This forecast should verify.
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph winds or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 0% IL ~ 0% KY ~ 0% TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation: None anticipated
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Sunrise will be at 6:28 a.m. and sunset will be at 7:23 p.m.
Saturday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast: Mostly clear. Windy. Not as cold.
Temperatures: MO ~ 48 to 54 IL ~ 48 to 54 KY ~ 48 to 54 TN ~ 50 to 54
Winds: South winds at 15 to 30 mph with gusts to 35 mph.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium. Some adjustments are possible.
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Gusty winds west of the MS River (especially)
Is severe weather expected? No.
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph winds or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 0% IL ~ 0% KY ~ 0% TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation: None.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Winds will be highest over our western counties. Here is a map forecast for wind gusts on Saturday afternoon
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April 9, 2017
Sunday Forecast Details
Forecast: Mostly sunny during the morning. Warm and windy. Perhaps some high clouds during the afternoon.
Temperatures: MO ~ 74 to 78 IL ~ 74 to 78 KY ~ 75 to 78 TN ~ 76 to 60
Winds: South winds at 10 to 20 mph with gusts to 40 mph.
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? None
My confidence in the forecast verifying: High. This forecast should verify.
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph winds or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 0% IL ~ 0% KY ~ 0% TN ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation: None anticipated
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Sunrise will be at 6:26 a.m. and sunset will be at 7:24 p.m.
Sunday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast: Windy. Increasing clouds. A 20% for a shower after 3 am. Milder.
Temperatures: MO ~ 54 to 58 IL ~ 54 to 58 KY ~ 54 to 58 TN ~ 54 to 58
Winds: South winds at 15 to 35 mph with higher gusts likely.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium. Some adjustments are possible.
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? None
Is severe weather expected? No.
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph winds or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 20% IL ~ 20% KY ~ 20% TN ~ 20%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered showers possible towards morning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
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April 10, 2017
Monday Forecast Details
Forecast: A mix of sun and clouds. A few showers possible, esp during the afternoon. Mild.
Temperatures: MO ~ 72 to 77 IL ~ 72 to 77 KY ~ 74 to 78 TN ~ 74 to 78
Winds: South winds at 10 to 20 mph and gusty.
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Perhaps some wet roadways.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium. Some adjustments are possible.
Is severe weather expected? No
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph winds or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 30% IL ~ 30% KY ~ 30% TN ~ 30%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered (mainly afternoon hours)
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Sunrise will be at 6:25 a.m. and sunset will be at 7:25 p.m.
Monday Night Forecast Details:
Forecast: Cloudy. A 50% for showers. Thunder possible.
Temperatures: MO ~ 54 to 58 IL ~ 54 to 58 KY ~ 54 to 58 TN ~ 54 to 58
Winds: South and southwest winds at 7 to 14 mph.
My confidence in the forecast verifying: Medium. Some adjustments are possible.
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways. Perhaps lightning.
Is severe weather expected? No.
The NWS defines severe weather as 58 mph winds or great, 1″ hail or larger, and/or tornadoes
What is the chance of precipitation? MO ~ 60% IL ~ 50% KY ~ 50% TN ~ 50%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered early and then perhaps becoming numerous.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but I would monitor radars and updated rain forecasts.
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Don’t forget to check out the Southern Illinois Weather Observatory web-site for weather maps, tower cams, scanner feeds, radars, and much more! Click here
An explanation of what is happening in the atmosphere over the coming day
Severe thunderstorm outlook.
Remember that a severe thunderstorm is defined as a thunderstorm that produces 60 mph winds or higher, quarter size hail or larger, and/or a tornado.
Friday night through Sunday: Severe weather is not anticipated.
Sunday night: Severe weather is not anticipated.
Monday and Monday night: Thunderstorms are possible. Lightning is the main concern. Monitor updates. Severe weather is currently not anticipated.
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Your day by day analysis
Friday night into the weekend:
You know, I could get used to this calm weather. We have experienced a crazy 45 days. We have earned every bit of calm that nature can muster.
I believe the last count was 20 to 25 tornadoes since February 28th. That is in our local area. That is a LOT of tornadoes.
Frost is possible Friday night and Saturday morning. Temperatures will range from 35 to 40 degrees. Light winds will make conditions more favorable for frost tonight.
A frost advisory is in effect for much of the area. Those outside of the frost advisory could also experience frost, but the NWS is not as confidence. Either way, frost is possible tonight. You might want to protect your sensitive plants.
Calm, dry, sunny, and mild weather is anticipated for both Saturday and Sunday. Highs on Saturday should reach into the 60’s to near 70 degrees. Highs on Sunday, with gusty southerly winds, should climb well into the 70’s!
Rain chances increase on Monday and Monday night. Showers and a few thunderstorms. The good news is that severe weather is not anticipated.
There are some questions about rain coverage on Monday. I am going to hold the forecast at 50%-60% for now. It may need to be raised. Exact timing of the rain will need to be monitored.
Rain may linger into Tuesday. Low confidence on this part of the forecast.
The GFS model actually shows rain lingering into Wednesday. This will need to be monitored and there is a lower than normal confidence in the forecast.
Here is the latest rainfall totals forecast
Let me show you the future-cast precipitation coverage from the GFS model.
This image is for 7 PM on Monday
Tuesday 1 AM
Green represents rain (this is one model’s opinion)
This next image is for Tuesday at 1 PM
This next image is for 7 PM on Tuesday
This next image is for 1 AM on Wednesday
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We have regional radars and local city radars – if a radar does not update then try another one. Occasional browsers need their cache cleared. You may also try restarting your browser. That usually fixes the problem. Occasionally we do have a radar go down. That is why I have duplicates. Thus, if one fails then try another one.
During the winter you can track snow and ice by clicking the winterize button on the local city view interactive radars.
If you have any problems then please send me an email beaudodson@usawx.com
Interactive Weather Radar Page. Choose the city nearest your location: Click this link—
National interactive radar: Click this link.
Local interactive city radars include St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, Memphis, Nashville, Dyersburg, and all of eastern Kentucky. These are interactive radars. Local city radars – click here
Regional Radar
The official 6-10 day and 8-14 day temperature and precipitation outlook. Check the date stamp at the top of each image (so you understand the time frame).
The forecast maps below are issued by the Weather Prediction Center (NOAA)
The latest 8-14 day temperature and precipitation outlook. Note the dates are at the top of the image. These maps DO NOT tell you how high or low temperatures or precipitation will be. They simply give you the probability as to whether temperatures or precipitation will be above or below normal.
The Beau Dodson Weather APP is ready for Apple and Android users. The purpose of this app is for me to deliver your text messages instantly. ATT and Verizon have not always been reliable when it comes to speed. The app allows instant delivery.
Some of you have asked if you can keep receiving the texts on your phone and the app. The answer to that is, yes. The Android app will automatically allow that to happen. On the Apple app, however, you will need to go into your app and click settings. Make sure the green tab is OFF. Off means you will still receive the texts to your phone and the app. If you have any questions, then email me at beaudodson@usawx.com
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Who do you trust for your weather information and who holds them accountable?
I have studied weather in our region since the late 1970’s. I have 39 years of experience in observing our regions weather patterns. My degree is in Broadcast Meteorology and a Bachelor’s of Science.
My resume includes:
Member of the American Meteorological Society.
NOAA Weather-Ready Nation Ambassador.
Meteorologist for McCracken County Emergency Management. I served from 2005 through 2015.
Meteorologist for McCracken County Rescue. 2015 through current
I own and operate the Southern Illinois Weather Observatory.
I am the chief meteorologist for Weather Talk LLC. I am the owner of Weather Talk LLC.
I am also a business owner in western Kentucky.
Recipient of the Mark Trail Award, WPSD Six Who Make A Difference Award, Kentucky Colonel, and the Caesar J. Fiamma” Award from the American Red Cross.
In 2005 I helped open the largest American Cross shelter in U.S. history in Houston, Texas. I was deployed to help after Hurricane Katrina and Hurricane Rita. I was a shelter manager of one of the Houston, Texas shelter divisions.
In 2009 I was presented with the Kentucky Office of Highway Safety Award.
Recognized by the Kentucky House of Representatives for my service to the State of Kentucky leading up to several winter storms and severe weather outbreaks.
If you click on the image below you can read the Kentucky House of Representatives Resolution.
I am also President of the Shadow Angel Foundation which serves portions of western Kentucky and southern Illinois.
There is a lot of noise on the internet. A lot of weather maps are posted without explanation. Over time you should learn who to trust for your weather information.
My forecast philosophy is simple and straight forward.
- Communicate in simple terms
- To be as accurate as possible within a reasonable time frame before an event
- Interact with you on Twitter, Facebook, email, texts, and this blog
- Minimize the “hype” that you might see on some television stations or through other weather sources
- Push you towards utilizing wall-to-wall LOCAL TV coverage during severe weather events
Many of the graphics on this page are from www.weatherbell.com
WeatherBell is a great resource for weather model guidance.
You can sign up for my AWARE email by clicking here I typically send out AWARE emails before severe weather, winter storms, or other active weather situations. I do not email watches or warnings. The emails are a basic “heads up” concerning incoming weather conditions
